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Peter Franchot - Dec 10, 2012 Polling Summary for 2014 Maryland Governor

Peter Franchot - Dec 10, 2012 Polling Summary for 2014 Maryland Governor

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Published by David Moon
Peter Franchot for Maryland Governor polling summary from NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES - 12/10/12
Peter Franchot for Maryland Governor polling summary from NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES - 12/10/12

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Published by: David Moon on Dec 14, 2012
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12/17/2012

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NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES FINALNPA2652 December 2012 Maryland Governor 
Hello, my name is ______________ and I'm calling from _______, a national public opinion research firm. We are not tryingto sell you anything. We're conducting a survey today in Maryland on a number of public issues and your telephone number was selected at random. According to the research procedure, could I speak to the member of the household who is 18years of age or older with the nearest upcoming birthday. A. Are you registered to vote at this address?
[IF YES]
How are you registered, as a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN,an INDEPENDENT or something else?DEMOCRAT ................................................... 100%REPUBLICAN ..................................
TERMINATE
INDEPENDENT ...............................
TERMINATE
 SOMETHING ELSE .........................
TERMINATE
 YES, DON’T KNOW .........................
TERMINATE
 NO/DON'T KNOW ............................
TERMINATE
 B. And which of the following is closer to what you USUALLY do with regard to Democratic primary elections, do you ALWAYS vote in the Democratic primary, OCCASIONALLY vote or do you usually SKIP THE PRIMARY and justvote in the general election? ALWAYS ........................................................... 80%OCCASIONALLY .............................................. 19SKIP THE PRIMARY .......................
TERMINATE
 (DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 11. Would you say things in the nation today are generally headed in the RIGHT DIRECTION or would you say thingsare off on the WRONG TRACK?RIGHT DIRECTION .......................................... 62%WRONG TRACK ............................................... 24(DON'T KNOW) ................................................. 142. What about here in Maryland? Would you say things in Maryland today are generally headed in the RIGHTDIRECTION or would you say things are off on the WRONG TRACK?RIGHT DIRECTION .......................................... 60%WRONG TRACK ............................................... 24(DON'T KNOW) ................................................. 163. Now, I'm going to read you a list of public figures and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE opinion of each person using a scale that runs from 0 to 10. A 0 on this scale means you have a VERY LOW or VERY UNFAVORABLE opinion of that person. A 10 on this scale means you have a VERY HIGH or VERY FAVORABLE opinion of that person.Now, you can use any number between 0 and 10 to tell me your opinion of each person. If you have never heard of a name, or don't know enough to rate them, please just say so.
VeryFavSmwtFav NtrlSmwtUnfavVeryUnfav CR NHTotalFavTotalUnfavNameID
a. Barack Obama 56% 29 5 3 4 3 <1 85% 7% 97%b. Martin O’Malley 27% 43 8 8 7 5 2 70% 15% 93%c. Doug Gansler 7% 23 10 3 1 28 28 31% 4% 44%d. Anthony Brown 10% 26 11 5 2 23 25 35% 6% 52%e. Ken Ulman 4% 11 6 2 1 32 43 15% 3% 25%f. Peter Franchot 8% 29 10 6 2 19 27 36% 8% 54%
 
NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES NPA2652 MD GOV
24. If the Democratic primary for Governor was being held today and the candidates were:
[RANDOMIZE]
 
Anthony Brown
Peter Franchot
Doug Gansler 
Ken Ulmanfor whom would you vote?
[IF UNDECIDED]
Well, which candidate do you lean towards supporting?BROWN ............................................................ 18%(LEAN BROWN) ................................................. 4FRANCHOT ...................................................... 10(LEAN FRANCHOT) ........................................... 3GANSLER ........................................................... 7(LEAN GANSLER) .............................................. 2ULMAN ............................................................... 3(LEAN ULMAN) ................................................... 1(UNDECIDED) .................................................. 52TOTAL BROWN ................................................ 22%TOTAL FRANCHOT ......................................... 13%TOTAL GANSLER .............................................. 8%TOTAL ULMAN ................................................... 4%5. On a scale of EXCELLENT, GOOD, ONLY FAIR or POOR, how would you rate the job:
ONLY TOTAL TOTAL
 
[RANDOMIZE] EXLT GOOD FAIR POOR [DK] POS NEG
a. Barack Obama is doing as President ...............................40% 41 11 6 2 81% 17%b. Martin O’Malley is doing as Governor ..............................19% 45 20 11 5 64% 31%c. Anthony Brown is doing as Lieutenant Governor ...............9% 32 20 2 36 42% 22%d. Doug Gansler is doing as Attorney General ......................9% 32 18 1 40 42% 18%e. Peter Franchot is doing as Comptroller ...........................10% 32 19 3 36 42% 22%f. Ken Ulman is doing as Howard County Executive .............4% 14 8 1 73 18% 9%6. Generally speaking, how would you rate the Maryland economy these days—EXCELLENT, GOOD, NOT SOGOOD or POOR?EXCELLENT ....................................................... 5%GOOD ............................................................... 53NOT SO GOOD ................................................ 33POOR ................................................................. 7(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 3TOTAL POSITIVE ............................................. 58%TOTAL NEGATIVE ........................................... 39%
 
NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES NPA2652 MD GOV
37. Now, let’s say that Peter Franchot was to run for re-election as Maryland Comptroller. Do you think you would voteto RE-ELECT Peter Franchot, would you CONSIDER SOMEONE ELSE or would you vote to REPLACE Franchot?
GO TO Q100
à
 
RE-ELECT ........................................................ 42%CONSIDER SOMEONE ELSE ......................... 20
GO TO Q100
à
 
REPLACE ........................................................... 4(DON'T KNOW) ................................................. 338. Let me ask a slightly different way. If the election were held today, would you vote to RE-ELECT Peter Franchot or would you vote to REPLACE Franchot with someone else?
(n=267)
 RE-ELECT ........................................................ 12%REPLACE ......................................................... 16(DON'T KNOW) ................................................. 72
Recalculated Franchot Re-Elect
RE-ELECT ........................................................ 42%LEAN RE-ELECT ................................................ 6LEAN REPLACE ................................................. 9REPLACE ........................................................... 4(DON’T KNOW) ................................................ 39TOTAL RE-ELECT ............................................ 49%TOTAL REPLACE ............................................. 13%
[READ]:
Now, I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
 
100. SEX
(OBSERVATION: DO NOT ASK)
 MALE ................................................................ 42%FEMALE ............................................................ 58101. What is your age?
(RECORD IN PROPER CATEGORY) (READ CODES IF NECESSARY)
 18-29 ................................................................... 7%30-34 ................................................................... 535-39 ................................................................... 840-44 ................................................................. 1045-49 ................................................................... 850-54 ................................................................. 1255-59 ................................................................. 1160-64 ................................................................. 1065-69 ................................................................... 970+ .................................................................... 16(REFUSED) ........................................................ 4102. What is the last grade you completed in school?SOME GRADE SCHOOL (1-8) ......................... <1%SOME HIGH SCHOOL (9-11) ............................. 4GRADUATED HIGH SCHOOL ......................... 19TECHNICAL/VOCATIONAL ............................... 2SOME COLLEGE ............................................. 19GRADUATED COLLEGE ................................. 25GRADUATE/PROFESSIONAL ......................... 28(DON’T KNOW/REFUSED) ................................ 3103. Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are VERY LIBERAL, SOMEWHAT LIBERAL, MODERATE,SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE or VERY CONSERVATIVE?VERY LIBERAL ................................................ 19%SOMEWHAT LIBERAL ..................................... 24MODERATE ...................................................... 35SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE ........................ 14VERY CONSERVATIVE ..................................... 4(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 4

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