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The Lithuanian Economy - December 18, 2012

The Lithuanian Economy - December 18, 2012

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Published by Swedbank AB (publ)

The Lithuanian Economy - 18, 2012: Good export performance, but weaker expectations

The Lithuanian Economy - 18, 2012: Good export performance, but weaker expectations

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Categories:Types, Business/Law
Published by: Swedbank AB (publ) on Dec 20, 2012
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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10/19/2013

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Vjd Nbvjtagbag Dekgkcr
Ckgvjnr gdpundvvd| i|kc Updflagm‒u Dekgkcbe \duda|ej Fdxa|vcdgv lrYabya
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@kkf dzxk|v xd|ik|caged. ltv pdamd| dzxdevavbkgu
 Aggtan @FX `|kpvj bge|daudf vk 66$ bg vjd vjb|f qta|vd| Vjbu pau dzxk|vf|bydg= cdagpjbnd. ekgutcxvbkg agf bgyduvcdgv `|kpvj pau `|aftannrfde|daubg` Ekcxagbdu edaudf etvvbg` vjdb| bgydgvk|bdu= jkpdyd|.bgyduvcdgvu uj|agm ftd vk lkvj fkcduvbe agf `nklan tged|vabgvbdu
Dzxk|v `|kpvj aeednd|avdf vk 55$ bg Kevkld|. xa|vnr ldeatud ki dzxk|vu ki e|kxu Gd`avbyd `|kpvj bg vjd dt|k a|da jaf a ukcdpjav nbcbvdf diidev kgNbvjtagbag dzxk|vu au vjdr jayd lddg bge|daubg` |axbfnr vk vjd iauvd|#`|kpbg`Lanvbe agf EBU ektgv|bdu
 Ayd|a`d aggtan bginavbkg fde|daudf vk 51$ bg Gkydcld|= jkpdyd|. vjd|d pbnnld ukcd affbvbkgan bginavbkga|r x|duut|du gdzv rda|
Dekgkcbe `|kpvj aeednd|avdf vk 66$
 Aggtan @FX `|kpvj aeednd|avdf vk 66$ bg vjd vjb|fqta|vd| Dekgkcbe `|kpvj pau f|bydg lr bge|daubg`dzxk|vu= bg vd|cu ki ykntcdu. vjbu pau 189$ jb`jd| vjag a rda| a`k Jktudjknf ekgutcxvbkg pau anuka ub`gbibeagv ekgv|bltvk| vk `|kpvj= jkpdyd|. bvu`|kpvj ekgvbgtdf bvu `|aftan fde|daud. i|kc 9<$bg vjd ib|uv qta|vd| vk <9$ bg vjd vjb|f qta|vd| vjburda|
Ekgv|bltvbkgu vk @FX `|kpvj
6'6$<'1$4'0$9'9$4'9$4'4$4'8$8'2$1'1$#1'8$5'2$#14$#18$#4$8$4$18$14$<818<811<81<Jktudjknf ekgutcxvbkg@kyd|gcdgv ekgutcxvbkgBgyduvcdgv *dzen'bgydgv'"Bgydgvk|bduGdv dzxk|v@FX `|kpvjUkt|ed? Uvavbuvbeu Nbvjtagba. Updflagm
Ekcxagbdu uvkxxdf |dftebg` vjdb| bgydgvk|bdu.pjbej jaf lddg a ub`gbibeagv f|a` kg `|kpvj ik| vjdnauv idp qta|vd|u Jkpdyd|. jdb`jvdgdfeatvbktugduu agf tged|vabgvr pau dybfdgv i|kcfde|daubg` bgyduvcdgvu @|kuu ibzdf eaxbvanik|cavbkg uj|agm lr 82$ bg vjd udekgf qta|vd| agflr 52$ bg vjd vjb|f qta|vd| vjbu rda| Bgyduvcdgv bgibzdf vag`blnd auudvu *a ekcxkgdgv ki `|kuu ibzdfeaxbvan ik|cavbkg" pau `|kpbg` iauvd| ― lr 9:$ bgvjd vjb|f qta|vd|. ekcxa|df pbvj 15$ bg vjd udekgfqta|vd| Gdyd|vjdnduu. bgyduvcdgv bg ibzdf vag`blndauudvu acktgvdf vk kgnr 112$ ki @FX ft|bg` vjdib|uv vj|dd qta|vd|u vjbu rda|# anckuv vpk vbcduucannd| vjag bg vjd x|d#e|bubu xd|bkf Ukcdekcxagbdu anuk fdebfdf vk bgyduv bg |dxab|bg` vjdb| dzbuvbg` caejbgd|r |avjd| vjag bgyduvbg` bg gdpdqtbxcdgv Bgyduvcdgv bg vjd |dxab| ki caejbgd|ragf v|aguxk|v dqtbxcdgv bge|daudf lr <9 vbcdu bgvjd vjb|f qta|vd| Utej fdebubkgu cb`jv uayd ekuvubg vjd ujk|v |tg= jkpdyd|. vjd|d bu a `|kpbg` gddfvk bgyduv bg diibebdger agf eaxaebvr Vjd|dik|d. pdvjbgm vjav bgyduvcdgvu ujktnf |dlktgf au bgvd|duv|avdu a|d nkp agf ekcxagbdu jayd bgvd|gan|dukt|edu
Dzxdevavbkgu a|d pdamd| 
Uk ia|. jkpdyd|. tged|vabgvbdu. pjbej a|d gkpukcdpjav ck|d |dnavdf vk itvt|d dekgkcbe xknbebduvjag vjd dzvd|gan dgyb|kgcdgv. jayd fdvd||dfekcxagbdu i|kc dcla|mbg` kg ck|d |bumrbgyduvcdgv x|kodevu Bgftuv|ban ekgibfdged jaufde|daudf vk vjd nkpduv ndydn ubged dgf#<882 Auvjd|d jayd gkv lddg agr caok| gd`avbyd ejag`du bgvjd dzvd|gan dgyb|kgcdgv agf dzxk|v xd|ik|caged bu`kkf. vjdud dzxdevavbkgu a|d ckuv nbmdnr ldbg`aiidevdf lr tged|vabgvr |d`a|fbg` gdp `kyd|gcdgvdekgkcbe xknber agf. vk ukcddzvdgv. lr pdamd| jktudjknf fdcagf
 
Vjd Nbvjtagbag Dekgkcr 
Ckgvjnr gdpundvvd| i|kc Updflagm‒u Dekgkcbe \duda|ej Fdxa|vcdgv. ekgvbgtdf Gk' : • 1:Fdedcld|<81< 
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Ekgutcd| ekgibfdged xbemdf tx i|kc #12 bgKevkld| vk #14 bg Gkydcld|= jkpdyd|. |dvabn v|afdekgibfdged idnn vk #15. vjd nkpduv ndydn ubged vjdld`bggbg` ki vjbu rda|
Jaxxr ia|cd|u agf cagtiaevt|d|u.fdx|duudf ltbnfd|u
Bg vjd vjb|f qta|vd|. vjd a`|betnvt|an udevk|'uxd|ik|caged uvkkf ktv. au bvu yantd affdfbge|daudf lr 16$ bg a rda| Kyd| vjd uacd xd|bkf.vjd ekguv|tevbkg udevk| ekgv|aevdf kg ag aggtanlaubu ik| vjd ib|uv vbcd ubged vjd udekgf qta|vd| ki <818 Yantd affdf bg vjd ekguv|tevbkg udevk| fde|daudf lr 114$. unkpbg` @FX `|kpvj lr alktv8: xd|edgva`d xkbgv. k| lr vjd uacd acktgv au vjda`|betnvt|an udevk| lkkuvdf `|kpvj bg vjd vjb|fqta|vd|Vjd cagtiaevt|bg` udevk| |dlktgfdf ub`gbibeagvnr.agf bvu yantd affdf pau `|kpbg` av vjd iauvduv xaedubged vjd vjb|f qta|vd| ki <811 Cagtiaevt|bg``|kpvj pau ub`gbibeagvnr unkpd| bg vjd udekgfqta|vd| ftd vk cabgvdgaged pk|m kg vjd kbn |dibgd|rbg Nbvjtagba Jkpdyd|. x|kftevbkg ki cagtiaevt|bg`.dzedxv ik| |dibgdf xdv|kndtc x|kftevu. `|dp av aunb`jvnr unkpd| xaed *:$" vjag bg vjd udekgfqta|vd| Jkpdyd|. bvu `|kpvj aeednd|avdfub`gbibeagvnr vk <<5$ bg Kevkld|\dvabn v|afd `|kpvj jau lddg `|kpbg` ck|d unkpnrvjag bg <811 Ukcd ki vjd fde|daud cb`jv ldavv|bltvdf vk vjd laud diidev Kg vjd kvjd| jagf.jktudjknfu jayd ekgvbgtdf nkpd|bg` vjdb| fdlvpjbnd fdxkubvu jayd lddg bge|daubg` Ck|dkyd|.|dan pa`du jayd lddg iannbg` ik| anckuv ikt| rda|ugkp Vjbu iann jau ub`gbibeagvnr nbcbvdf vjd `|kpvj ki xt|ejaubg` xkpd| fduxbvd vjd qtbvd |axbf fde|daudbg tgdcxnkrcdgv vjbu rda|
Cagtiaevt|bg` agf |dvabn v|afd. rkr
#14$#18$#4$8$4$18$14$<8$<4$<818<811<81<Cagtiaevt|bg` *|dibgdf xdv|kndtc x|kftevu dzentfdf"\dvabn v|afd *dzen' ckvk| ydjbendu". rkrUkt|ed? Uvavbuvbeu Nbvjtagba
Dzxk|vu a|d lkkcbg` ltv a|d nbmdnr vkckfd|avd ukkg
Nbvjtagbag dzxk|vd|u a|d ibgfbg` ca|mdvu ik| vjdb| x|kftevu fduxbvd vjd ekgv|aevbkg bg vjd dt|k a|daDzxk|vu ki `kkfu bge|daudf lr 1<2$ ft|bg` vjdib|uv vdg ckgvju vjbu rda| ekcxa|df pbvj vjd uacdxd|bkf a rda| a`k
Dzxk|vu ki `kkfu agf ud|ybedu. NVN c
81888<88858886888488898880888:8882888<88:<882<818<811<81<848818881488<888<48858885488688864884888Dzxk|vu ki `kkfu *nu"Dzxk|vu ki `kkfu x|kftedf bg Nbvjtagba *nu"Dzxk|vu ki ud|ybedu *|u"Ukt|edu? Uvavbuvbeu Nbvjtagba. Lagm ki Nbvjtagba
Dzxk|vu `|kpvj aeednd|avdf bg Kevkld|. pjdgaggtan `|kpvj |daejdf 55$ agf vjd dzxk|vu ki Nbvjtagbag#k|b`bg `kkfu bge|daudf lr <:9$ BgKevkld|. vjd `|kpvj ki cbgd|an x|kftevu lkkuvdfvjd `|kpvj ki vkvan dzxk|vu lr 01 xd|edgva`d xkbgvu.agf vjd `|kpvj ki Nbvjtagbag#k|b`bg dzxk|vu lr21$ Dzxk|vu ki `|abgu bge|daudf ikt|iknf. ltv vjd`|kpvj ki ikkf x|kftevu. id|vbnbd|u. agf it|gbvt|daeednd|avdf au pdnn
Ekgv|bltvbkg ki cabg v|afbg` xa|vgd|u vk aggtan `kkfu'dzxk|v `|kpvj. xx
<:'4$5<'0$<:':$11'6$5':$19'5$#<9'9$#58$#<8$#18$8$18$<8$58$68$<88:<882<818<811<81<Q1<81<Q<<81<Q5\TEBU dzedxv \TNYDDXNFDKvjd| DTGk|fbeuKvjdVkvanUkt|edu? Uvavbuvbeu Nbvjtagba. Updflagm'
Nbvjtagba‒u dzxk|v `|kpvj pau utxxk|vdf lr vjduv|kg`d| `|kpvj ki bvu v|afbg` xa|vgd|u bg vjd EBUektgv|bdu. xa|vbetna|nr \tuuba. agf ki vjd kvjd| vpkLanvbe ektgv|bdu

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