MEMORANDUM
TO:INTERESTED PARTIESFROM:PATRICK LANNE -- PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIESSUBJECT:RECENT NY-20 POLL RESULTSDATE:FEBRUARY 5, 2009Public Opinion Strategies recently conducted a district-wide survey of 400 likely special electionvoters on behalf of the Tedisco for Congress campaign. The poll was conducted February 3-4,2009 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases. The purpose of this memo isto review some of the key findings of that poll.
Key Findings
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Jim Tedisco has deep roots in the district.
Jim Tedisco’s personal image rating reflects his long history of representing the region’sinterest in the State Assembly. Fifty-one percent (51%) of 20
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District voters hold afavorable impression of Assemblyman Jim Tedisco, compared to just 13% holding anunfavorable impression. In the Albany media market (76% of the district), Tedisco’simage is 61% favorable – 14% unfavorable – including a 48% favorable rating amongDemocrats in the market.
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Conversely Scott Murphy is a blank slate.
While Jim Tedisco is well-known and well-liked in the district, newcomer Scott Murphycarries very little name identification into this short campaign. Just 17% of voters haveformed an opinion of Murphy, 12% favorable – 5% unfavorable.
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The ballot test shows a strong Tedisco advantage.
Tedisco’s image advantage propels him into a wide double-digit lead on the head-to-head ballot test, 50%-29%. Aside from Democrats and liberals, Tedisco leads across every sub-group in the poll. Tedisco more than doubles Murphy (53%-25%) among Independents or non-enrolled voters – a constituency that must be won by a Democratic nominee in thisheavily Republican district.He currently beats Murphy in each major geographic region – Saratoga County (55%-29%), North Country (52%-30%) and the Hudson Valley portion of seat (45%-30%).
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The Republican base is rallying around Tedisco.
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