[BLOOMBERGVN MARKET OVERVIEW] TNG KT TH TRNG T 10/12/2012 n 02/01/2013

1.

NHN XT TH TRNG CHUNG

1.1. Nhn xt INDEX :

Hnh 1.1.1 Bng tn hiu VNINDEX t ngy 23/11/2012 n ngy 10/12/2012

Hnh 1.1.2. Bng tn hiu HNXINDEX t ngy 29/11/2012 n ngy 10/12/2012 Tn hiu mua chun ngy 29/11 khi : Score VNINDEX v HNXINDEX u >=-1. Tn hiu Confirm Trend sm nht 5/12/2012 khi kt hp vi bng Sector v nhm N30 th l iu kin s dng Margin.

Hnh 1.1.3. Bng tn hiu VNINDEX t ngy 10/12/2012 n ngy 02/01/2013

Hnh 1.1.4. Bng tn hiu HNXINDEX t ngy 10/12/2012 n ngy 02/01/2013

t sng t 29/11/2012 n 02/01/2013 tuy c 1 vi phin rung lc 18/12, 20/12, 21/12 nhng h thng Pro Scanning vn bo BUY & HOLD.

1.2. Tng kt cc c phiu cho li nhun cao t u sng 29/11-nay:

Hnh 1.2.1 Tng kt li nhun t u sng theo h thng Pro Scanning 2.5

Hnh 1.2.2 Tn hiu mua chun ngy 29/11/2012

NHN XT: Phn ln cc m cho li nhun cao u c chung c im l t chun theo h thng Pro Scanning 2.5. C th: Score c phiu khe hn Score Index t thi im pht tn hiu (Score >=-1) v UFO >= UFO min(VNINDEX,HNXINDEX) c th l >=-6 Sng va ri c coi l sng MIX khi cc c phiu UFO <-4 (dng tin y hi k thut) v UFO>=-2 (dng tin to trend) u tng kh.

Li nhun bnh qun ca Index tng khong 10% th nu danh mc tng >20% c th coi l qun l danh mc tt.

Hnh 1.2.3 Li nhun 230 c phiu tiu biu khong 18%

2. KIM BIG PROFIT D DNG, C HAY KHNG?

Giai on 10/12/2012 n 02/01/2013 th trng BNG N . Cc c phiu ca cc Sector khc nhau cng to sng ng thi v u c c phiu lead nn khng th dng phng php o nhp cc Sector c. Khi 2 hay nhiu nhm ngnh chnh cng tng ng thi th ch c BUY & HOLD mi to ra li nhun cao. Vic nhy sng i hi phi c phng php. Khi no th trng PHN HA , IU CHNH phng php nhy sng mi em li hiu qu cao.

Vy BUY & HOLD th no cho hiu qu ? Trong thi gian qua BLOOMBERGVN gii thiu v phng php "BUY ri": C th l chn cc m c cc kt cu tham s (Score, UFO, Volume, Signal T+2, Signal T+4, % T+4..) ghp li khe so vi VNINDEX v HNXINDEX. Phng php trn c minh ha c th qua Thut ton Benchmark sau:

Hnh 2.1: Top cc c phiu theo Benchmark ca BLOOMBERGVN

Tm tt: - Benchmark l 1 cng thc ca BLOOMBERGVN tng hp cc yu t v khe ca c phiu, tnh n nh , dng tin, cc thng s chung t Pro Scanning 2.5 ra 1 kt qu duy nht. - Qua bng Benchmark thi gian qua ta nhn thy ch c nhng c phiu siu li mi c th to Benchmark khe hn VNINDEX. - VNINDEX ng rank 6 trong Benchmark, HNXINDEX rank 99 - Trong thi gian va qua BLOOMBERGVN khuyn ngh khch hng vo cc c phiu c Benchmark : HNXINDEX < c phiu < VNINDEX .

3. XU HNG SP TI, QUN L DANH MC NH TH NO?

- Nh u t cn s dng Pro Scanning 2.5 quan st tn hiu INDEX hng ngy, thc hin HOLD khi INDEX vn cho tn hiu HOLD v gim t trng danh mc khi INDEX cho tn hiu SELL. - Vic ra quyt nh cho cc c phiu c th nh u t nn tham kho Benchmark trn v h thng Pro Scanning 2.5 realtime c quyt nh nhanh, chnh xc nht.

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