• Embed Doc
  • Readcast
  • Collections
  • CommentGo Back
\ue000\ue001\ue002\ue002\ue003\ue004\ue005\ue004
\ue007\ue008\ue009\ue003\ue005\ue00a\ue000\ue006\ue00b\ue003\ue00b\ue00c\ue00d\ue009\ue003\ue004\ue006
\ue00e\ue00f\ue010\ue006
\ue00d\ue00a\ue008\ue00d\ue008\ue002\ue005
\ue00e\ue00f\ue011
Germany : Trade surplus narrowed in December
France: Business Confidence rebounds from 22 year low in January
\ue002\ue003\ue004\ue00f\ue00c\ue007\ue000\ue006\ue007\ue008\ue009\ue003\ue005
\ue00e\ue00f\ue012

General Electric (+13.87 %) soared
10-year Treasury rate above 3.00 %
Oil below $40 /bbl

\ue00c\ue003\ue007\ue00c\ue000\ue007\ue006\ue00e\ue00c\ue010\ue000\ue006
\ue00e\ue00f\ue014\ue006
\ue009\ue015\ue003\ue004\ue007\ue006\ue008\ue016\ue006\ue007\ue015\ue00d\ue006\ue007\ue003\ue005\ue004
US 10-year Treasury rate
since September
\ue000
\ue000\ue000
\ue000
\ue000\ue003\ue004
\ue000\ue003\ue004
\ue000\ue003\ue004
\ue000\ue003\ue004\ue001
\ue001\ue001
\ue001
\ue001\ue003\ue004
\ue001\ue003\ue004
\ue001\ue003\ue004
\ue001\ue003\ue004\ue002
\ue002\ue002
\ue002\ue005\ue006\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue005\ue006\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue005\ue006\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue005\ue006\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue005\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue005\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue005\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue005\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue009\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue009\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue009\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue009\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue000\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue000\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue000\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue009\ue000\ue007\ue005\ue008
\ue005\ue009\ue007\ue005\ue006
\ue005\ue009\ue007\ue005\ue006
\ue005\ue009\ue007\ue005\ue006
\ue005\ue009\ue007\ue005\ue006
\ue005\ue000\ue007\ue005\ue006
\ue005\ue000\ue007\ue005\ue006
\ue005\ue000\ue007\ue005\ue006
\ue005\ue000\ue007\ue005\ue006
Source : Bloomber
g

The 10-year Treasury rate reached 3.05 %, the first time above 3.00 % since November 08. On Tuesday, $23 billion in one-year notes and a record $32 billion in three-year notes will be on sale. Wednesday will bring $21 billion in 10-year notes, followed by $14 billion in long bonds the following day. Both long-term debt sales are for the most ever

10 Feb. 09
Indexes
Price % 5 Days
Ytd
DJIA
8270,9
4,41%
-5,76%
S&P 500
869,9
5,52%
-3,69%
Nasdaq
1591,6
6,57%
0,92%
CAC 40
3134,9
6,99%
-2,58%
DAX
4666,8
9,27%
-2,98%
Eurostoxx 50
2349,0
6,83%
-4,03%
DJ 600
199,4
7,08%
0,50%
FTSE 100
4307,6
6,00%
-2,85%
Nikkei
7945,9
1,21%
-10,31%
Shanghai Comp
2265,2
10,59%
24,40%
Sensex (India)
9702,0
5,70%
0,57%
MICEX (Russia)
698,7
11,54%
12,78%
Bovespa (Brasil)42100,1
8,88%
12,12%
Forex
Price % 5 Days
Ytd
EUR/USD
1,2887
-1,17%
-7,76%
EUR/JPY
117,78
-0,98%
-7,05%
USD/JPY
91,40
-2,13%
0,82%
Oil
Price % 5 Days
Ytd
Brent $/b
46,0
4,30%
9,72%
Gold
Price % 5 Days
Ytd
Gold $/oz
895,0
-0,52%
1,54%
Rates
USA
Euro
Japan
Central Banks*
0,25
2,00
0,10
Overnight
0,20
1,00
0,10
3 Months
0,32
1,01
0,25
10 Years**
2,97
3,38
1,32
*US: Fed Funds; Jap: Overnight; Euro: Refi
** Euro: German Bund rate
Source : Bloomberg
\ue000 \ue001 \ue002 \ue003 \ue004 \ue005 \ue006 \ue007 \ue008 \ue003 \ue009 \ue00a \ue00b \ue002 \ue003 \ue00c\ue007
- 2-
Global Equities \u2013 Institutional Financial Services Company
23, rue Balzac \u2013 75008 Paris - Standard : + 33 (0) 1 444 333 00 \u2013 Fax : + 33 (0) 1 70 70 19 19
www.global-equities.com
\ue005\ue008\ue009\ue003\ue005\ue008\ue000\ue006\ue00f\ue00d\ue003\ue009\ue00c!\ue00e\ue00d\ue000\ue004

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke testifies before the House Financial Services Committee about the Fed's
"extraordinary efforts to provide liquidity in the current financial crisis."
New York Fed President Bill Dudley speaks at his district's conference on inflation-indexed securities.
General elections in Israel
Timothy Geithner, former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, now US Treasury secretary, is scheduled
to give evidence before a Senate oversight committee considering a new plan for the troubled asset relief programme.
A three-day summit of Israel's decision-makers, focusing on the balance of national security with regard to international
relations, society, economics and the Jewish world, begins in Herzliya
Super Return, a three-day European private equity and venture capital summit, opens in Berlin
The UK banking bill reaches its report stage in the House of Lords
World Ski Championship (Val d\u2019Is\u00e8re, France) Fev 3rd \u2013 15th

\ue00a\ue00b\ue008\ue00e\ue008\ue002!\ue00b\ue006\ue007\ue003\ue007\ue003\ue004
\ue000\ue000\ue000
Time
Country
Indicator
Period
GE forecasts
Consensus
Previous
00.50 am
Japan
Housing loans YoY
Fourth quarter
4,2%
01.01 am United Kingdom RICS House price balance
January
- 70 %
-73,3 %
03.00 am
China
Producer price Index
January
-2,6 %
-1,1 %
03.00 am
China
Consumer price Index
January
0,8%
1,2%
06.00 am
Japan
Consumer confidence
January
26,7
06.00 am
Japan
Consumer confidence household
January
25,2
26,2
February
China
Money supply M2
10-13 February
18,4% YoY
17,8% YoY
February
China
Money supply M1
10-13 February
9,1%
February
China
Money supply M0
10-13 February
12,7 %
08.45 am
France
Industrial production
December
- 1 %, - 10,1 % YoY
-1,8 %, -10,7 % YoY
-2,4%,-9,0% YoY
08.45 am
France
Manufacturing production
December
-2,2%,-12,8% YoY
-3,1%,-11,0% YoY
10.00 am
Italy
Industrial production
December
- 1, 9%,-11,3 % YoY
-2,3%,-9,7% YoY
10.30 amUnited Kingdom Visible trade balance
December
\u00a3- 8,1 billion
\u00a3- 8,3 billion
10.30 am United Kingdom Total trade balance
December
\u00a3 -4,2 billion
\u00a3 -4,4 billion
04.00 pm United States Wholesale inventories
December
-0,7%

-0,6%
04.00 pm United States Bernanke testifies on Fed programs
11.00 pm United States ABC consumer confidence

8 th February
- 52
-52
\ue00c\ue001"\ue00c!\ue00b\ue003\ue007!\ue008\ue00e\ue004
\ue000
Results
Ciba / Gas Nat (BMO) / Faurecia / UBS / Applied
Materials
\ue00c\ue004\ue00d\ue000\ue000\ue006\ue003\ue00d#!\ue00d\ue013\ue004
\ue000Plan auto : 9 milliards d\u2019euros pour quoi faire ?
La Tribune, p 2 et 3
Nissan to cut jobs, Japan output
The Wall Street Journal,p 4
Asia\u2019s economic heart attack
Financial Times,p9
Emissions record d\u2019emprunts d\u2019Etat cette semaine
Les Echos, p 32
Paris et Berlin r\u00e9clament un sommet avant le G 20
Le Figaro \u00e9conomie, p 22
\ue00d
\ue008
\ue001
\ue00b
\ue001
\ue00e
\ue00f
\ue008
\ue007
\ue002
\ue003
\ue010
\ue003\ue007
- 3-
Global Equities \u2013 Institutional Financial Services Company
23, rue Balzac \u2013 75008 Paris - Standard : + 33 (0) 1 444 333 00 \u2013 Fax : + 33 (0) 1 70 70 19 19
www.global-equities.com
Economic data preview
No major economic data due in the United States

Watch in theF ran ce the release of the industrial production for December due at 08.45 am which is expected to pursue its drop trend as the country which was already facing big structural issues before the world economic crisis is presently strongly hit by the global economic downturn and is about to face a deflation situation. Watch as well in theU n ited -King d om the release of the trade balance for December

due at 10.30am. United -Kingdom is expected to reduce its trade balance deficit as the sharp drop of the British pound is boosting
exportation despite the global economic slowdown./JB
ate
ECONOMY
GERMANY : TRADE SURPLUS NARROWED IN DECEMBER

After the drop of German \u2018industrial production in December released last Friday (4.6%, -12.0%YoY)it is now the turn of exports to plunge. Indeed after falling by a record in November ( -10.8%),German\u2019s exports declined of -3.7% in December as the recession is strongly hitting its main trade partners , slowing down sharply the demand for German\u2019s goods abroad. In the mean time as Germany is facing a deep recession ,importations dropped 4.1% in December. As a matter of fact the trade surplus narrowed to its lowest level for 9 years at \u20ac 6.9 billion (previous \u20ac 9.9 billion)and the surplus in current account ( the measure of all trade including services) rose from \u20ac 8.7 billion in November to \u20ac 12.3 billion in December. Germany which growth model is essentially based on exportations is strongly hit by the global economic slowdown and household consumption is not taking over. Germany who was the third world\u2019s largest economy has been lately over cross by China.

FRANCE: BUSINESS CONFIDENCE REBOUNDS FROM 22 YEAR LOW IN JANUARY

After reaching its lowest level in more than two decades in December ( 67) the French manufacturing confidence rose in January at 70. The French business confidence was led up by the government plan for the car industry of \u20ac 6 billion over five years in aid on the conditions that PSA Peugeot , Citroen and Renault make commitments on future investment and production in France. This plan will be add to the \u20ac 26 billion stimulus package already granted by the French government last month.

EURO -AREA : THE SENTIX INVESTORS CONFIDENCE FELL IN FEBRUARY

The European investors confidence fell from -34.4 in January to -36.1 in February. A sub index measuring current business conditions dropped to - 52.25, the lowest since the survey started in February 2003 from -37.25. European investors confidence is logically led down by the region\u2019s worst recession since world war two. The major risk for the Area is for now to face a deflation situation in which the global offer will be much higher than the demand generating a rise of unemployment , bankruptcies \u2026 To avoid such terrible situation the European Central Bank should lower its main interest rate to 1.00% as soon as possible because soon it will be to late knowing that the time frame of a rate action take between 6 to 9 months to impact on the economy./JB

of 00

Leave a Comment

You must be to leave a comment.
Submit
Characters: ...
You must be to leave a comment.
Submit
Characters: ...