Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Kyrgyzstan Affirmative
Table of Contents Inherency: Manas Base Lease Indeterminable ....................................................................................................... 2 Harm: Kyrgyzstan Economy ................................................................................................................................ 3 Harm: Weak NATO ................................................................................................................................................ 4 Harm: Afghanistan Terrorism ................................................................................................................................. 5 Significance: Weak NATO Terrorism ............................................................................................................... 6 Significance: Terrorism Worst Impact.................................................................................................................... 7 SUGGESTED PLANS............................................................................................................................................ 8 Solvency: Kyrgyzstan Economy ............................................................................................................................. 9 Solvency: NATO .................................................................................................................................................. 10 Solvency: Afghanistan .......................................................................................................................................... 11 Advantage: Democracy......................................................................................................................................... 12 Advantage Impact: Democracy............................................................................................................................. 13 Advantage: Human Rights .................................................................................................................................... 14 Advantage Impact: Human Rights ........................................................................................................................ 15

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative The US base lease is being extended but is indefinite as to how long. Kyrgyzstan to extend US lease on key airbase, Associated Press, April 13, 2010

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Inherency: Manas Base Lease Indeterminable

Kyrgyzstan's interim government will extend the lease of a US airbase vital to the war in Afghanistan, the country's acting president said today . Roza Otunbayeva said the agreement allowing the US to use the Manas base would be prolonged after the current one-year deal expires in July. "It will be automatically extended," she said, without specifying how long the extension would last. The US base at the capital's international airport provides refuelling flights for warplanes over Afghanistan, and serves as an important transit hub for troops.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Harm: Kyrgyzstan Economy

The Kyrgystan economy is suffering, causing regional conflict. Kyrgyzstan on the brink, David Trilling, The Nation, June 25, 2010 There was no proper investigation of the 1990 events, no discussionno one wanted to talk about it, said Nazira Satyvaldiyeva, an expert in conflict resolution and director of the Eurasia Foundations Osh field office. Both Kyrgyz and Uzbeks are responsible for the current crisis. Animosities persisted, but most Uzbeks and Kyrgyz continued living in mixed villages or adjoining neighborhoods. Yet as established farmers and traders, Uzbeks have traditionally been wealthier. Kyrgyzstans economy has been stagnant for a generation, fostering nationalist jealousies. Ninety percent of cafes, restaurants, shops and large trading centers belong to Uzbeks. They should have been happy with what they had, but they wanted more. They started to demand political rights, said Dr. Shairbek Sulaymanov, director of the Osh Regional Hospital, on his tenth straight day working round-the-clock and sleeping in his office. We need to make the policy stricter toward them. Uzbeks have become more assertive in promoting their rights. This is not correct. This must be changed.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Harm: Weak NATO

NATOs operations in Central Asia are failing. Central Asia: Living in Afghanistans Shadow, Martha Brill Olcot, Norwegian Peacebuilding Center, November 2009 Nato military operations in Afghanistan have provided quick benefits for the Central Asian states, destroying camps of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) in Taliban-controlled territories and killing many IMU leaders. Subsequent projects provided funding and training for reforming the militaries of all five Central Asian countries and for improved border management. But Nato funding priorities shifted elsewhere before this task was completed, and armed bands are again entering Central Asia from Afghanistan.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Harm: Afghanistan Terrorism

Terrorism in Afghanistan is increasing. Terror Attacks Increase in Pakistan, Afghanistan, CBN News, April 29, 2010 Terrorist attacks in Pakistan and Afghanistan are increasing, meaning more civilian casualties. A new Pentagon report says nearly 7,000 civilians were killed or injured in Afghanistan last year. That's a 44 percent jump from the previous year. The number is even higher in Pakistan. Afghanistan saw more than 2,000 terrorism attacks in 2009. That's almost double the year before.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Significance: Weak NATO Terrorism

A weak NATO in Central Asia leads to terrorism. Central Asia: Living in Afghanistans Shadow, Martha Brill Olcot, Norwegian Peacebuilding Center, November 2009 It is difficult to exaggerate how damaging Nato withdrawal would be for the Central Asian states. Weak states like Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan would be at heightened risk of state failure from the increase in drug trafficking and other forms of illicit trade across their borders. The victory of jihadists in Afghanistan would put all the Central Asian countries, as well as Russia, at risk of terrorist attacks by jihadist groups. Uzbekistan and Russia would likely be first targets, given their current place in the pantheon of Islams enemies.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Significance: Terrorism Worst Impact

Terrorism risks extinction and is worse than war. Deliver Us from Evil: Defeating Terrorism, Despotism, and Liberalism, Sean Hannity, Fox News Political Analyst, 2004, p. 6 But the terrorists are no mere political sideshow. Though it manifests itself differently, the threat they represent is every bit as grave as the one we experienced during World War II or the Cold War. There is no appeasing this enemy; they will stop at nothing in their quest to destroy the United States, and they will lay waste to every human life they can in the process. As you read these words, the evildoers are plotting the disruption of our lives, the destruction of our property, the murder of our families. Today or tomorrow, fanatical extremists could come in possession of suitcase nuclear weapons or other weapons of mass destruction, whether through rogue nations or via black-market thugs from the former Soviet Union. We face the possibility of our civilization being destroyed, as surely as we did during the Cuban Missile Crisis; indeed, with recent advances in technology and the ongoing instability in the Middle East and around the world, the danger may be worse than ever.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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SUGGESTED PLANS
PLAN: The US will substantially reduce troops in Turkey and move them to the Manas Base in Kyrgyzstan. PLAN: The US will substantially reduce troops in Kuwait and move them to the Manas Base in Kyrgyzstan. PLAN: The US will substantially reduce troops in Iraq and move them to the Manas Base in Kyrgyzstan.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Solvency: Kyrgyzstan Economy

Moving troops to Manas will solve Kyrgyzstans weak economy. Small Steps for U.S. Security Interests in Kyrgyzstan, PONARS Policy Memo No. 264, Kimberly Zisk Marten, Columbia University, October 2002 U.S. payments that are directly related to the air base are significant. According to analyst John Hendren, the Air Force purchases locally the petroleum used for aircraft refueling at the Ganci base, and also pays hefty landing fees to airport authorities. Together these expenditures add up to around $40 million per year. The U.S. government also gave the Kyrgyz military a donation of $3.5 million in December 2001 to be used in repairing Kyrgyz aircraft. Furthermore, U.S. soldiers reportedly make daily so-called recreation patrols to local businesses around the base, helping to keep the local economy afloat.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Solvency: NATO
Using the Manas base will allow for NATO to re-establish itself in Central Asia. Kyrgyz officials order Uzebeks to Remove Barriers, Clifford J. Levy, New York Times, June 19, 2010 The minority Uzbeks have accused the majority Kyrgyz of carrying out widespread atrocities in the conflict that began on June 10 in southern Kyrgyzstan and lasted several days. Numerous Uzbek neighborhoods were all but destroyed by arson fires. Uzbeks have said the Kyrgyz military took part in the attacks, and they have repeatedly said that they will not get rid of the barricades because they have no confidence that the provisional Kyrgyz government will protect them. Ethnic Kyrgyz also died in the rioting, but it appears that most of the casualties and damage were in Uzbek neighborhoods. The violence has severely destabilized Kyrgyzstan, a poor former Soviet republic that has a strategic location in Central Asia. The United States has a military base in the country that plays a significant role in supporting the NATO mission in Afghanistan.

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Solvency: Afghanistan
The Manas air base allows the US and NATO to deploy to Afghanistan more efficiently. Small Steps for U.S. Security Interests in Kyrgyzstan, PONARS Policy Memo No. 264, Kimberly Zisk Marten, Columbia University, October 2002 According to U.S. military analyst John Hendren, the Manas airport is particularly valuable for U.S. military operations in the Central Asian and Middle Eastern regions because of its extra-long runway, originally built to accommodate large Soviet transport planes. It has been used extensively for operations in Afghanistan, not only by U.S. forces but also by those from France and other coalition countries, to launch both air attacks and search-and-rescue missions. It is also a common refueling stop for cargo- and troop-carrying aircraft headed to major Afghan cities.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Advantage: Democracy
The US presence will provide democratization. Off base, Stephen Kinzer, The Boston Globe, April 13, 2010 Because the United States was focused on its need for an airbase in Kyrgyzstan, it turned a blind eye to Bakiyevs sins. Americans claimed to need the base in order to fight for democracy in Afghanistan, but to secure it, they had to support an undemocratic regime in Kyrgyzstan. This contradiction, which is inherent in any imperial project, naturally alienated Kyrgyz citizens who believe they too are entitled to live in freedom. The United States wound up looking like the enemy of groups supporting American ideals, while propping up a regime based on principles it professes to detest. Bakiyevs son, widely seen as one of his most loathsome henchmen, was in Washington last week for what were supposed to be friendly talks; anger over Americas willingness to receive him helped set off last weeks explosion. The United States has seen Kyrgyzstan as a military staging ground, but it is something more: a nation struggling toward freedom. Democracy has a better chance in Kyrgyzstan than anywhere else in Central Asia. If the new regime manages to consolidate itself in the coming days, the United States should approach it with humility rather than more demands. If it does, Kyrgyzstan not Afghanistan or Pakistan might emerge as the regions democratic leader. That would be the kind of victory for freedom that American leaders say they want to win in this deeply troubled region.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Advantage Impact: Democracy

The collapse of democracy causes extinction. Promoting Democracy in the 1990s, Carnegie Commission on Preventing Deadly Conflict, 1995 This hardly exhausts the lists of threats to our security and well-being in the coming years and decades. In the former Yugoslavia nationalist aggression tears at the stability of Europe and could easily spread. The flow of illegal drugs intensifies through increasingly powerful international crime syndicates that have made common cause with authoritarian regimes and have utterly corrupted the institutions of tenuous, democratic ones. Nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons continue to proliferate. The very source of life on Earth, the global ecosystem, appears increasingly endangered. Most of these new and unconventional threats to security are associated with or aggravated by the weakness or absence of democracy, with its provisions for legality, accountability, popular sovereignty, and openness. The experience of this century offers important lessons. Countries that govern themselves in a truly democratic fashion do not go to war with one another. They do not aggress against their neighbors to aggrandize themselves or glorify their leaders. Democratic governments do not ethnically "cleanse" their own populations, and they are much less likely to face ethnic insurgency. Democracies do not sponsor terrorism against one another. They do not build weapons of mass destruction to use on or to threaten one another.

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Dynasty Debate Kyrgyzstan Affirmative

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Advantage: Human Rights

The US promotes human rights by being at the Manas air base. Small Steps for U.S. Security Interests in Kyrgyzstan, PONARS Policy Memo No. 264, Kimberly Zisk Marten, Columbia University, October 2002 In addition, according to Pentagon sources there is a great deal of contact around the Manas airbase between U.S. military personnel and the local population. Daily recreational patrols by U.S. troops differ from the more traditional patrols that search for terrorist activityand photographs show that they are not dressed in the full battle rattle that is standard in more dangerous locations like the Balkans. U.S. forces are also involved in distributing donated toys and food for humanitarian purposes. A conscious effort could be made to use this contact to help build civil society (broadly defined as group-oriented, self-help related activity) in Kyrgyzstan, as well as support for the international presence. This might involve anything from holding free veterinary extension school-type clinics for sheep farmers to encouraging the formation of local baseball teams to play games against the troops and providing them with donated equipment. U.S. civil affairs and psychological operations units from the Special Operations Forces are good at these kinds of activities, and Kyrgyzstan should be a high-priority base for their deployment.

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Advantage Impact: Human Rights

The loss of human rights leads to extinction. Rhonda Copelan, law professor, New York University, New York City Law Review, 1999, p. 71-2 The indivisible human rights framework survived the Cold War despite U.S. machinations to truncate it in the international arena. The framework is there to shatter the myth of the superiority. Indeed, in the face of systemic inequality and crushing poverty, violence by official and private actors, globalization of the market economy, and military and environmental depredation, the human rights framework is gaining new force and new dimensions. It is being broadened today by the movements of people in different parts of the world, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere and significantly of women, who understand the protection of human rights as a matter of individual and collective human survival and betterment. Also emerging is a notion of third-generation rights, encompassing collective rights that cannot be solved on a state-by-state basis and that call for new mechanisms of accountability, particularly affecting Northern countries. The emerging rights include human-centered sustainable development, environmental protection, peace, and security. Given the poverty and inequality in the United States as well as our role in the world, it is imperative that we bring the human rights framework to bear on both domestic and foreign policy.

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