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Dustin Darcy - Miscellaneous Q& A

Dustin Darcy - Miscellaneous Q& A

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Misc
 
Q&A
 
By Dustin Darcy (Jan. 1
st 
2011, revised: Feb. 2
nd
)
Online at 
-
-
-
Q
-
 
Q: Doesn’t examining the Great Extinctions and speciation rates sweep the rug out fromunder the sinusoidal theory? Please explain the mathematical model in more detail.
Historically speaking I'll be the first to admit that societies have moved both forwards and backwards which would seem to fly in the face of any idea of cultural evolution. However, Ithink we may be observing noise in a larger shaping algorithm. A physics analogy might help toexplain how this position might be true. Classical physics works beautifully on the macro level, but the quantum standard model does a vastly better job of explaining the whole. Unfortunatelyquantum mechanics fails to account for gravity. This continues to vex physicists.Clearly since both are accurate descriptions of physical reality, even the lay person can seethere must be something that fills in the gap and merges the two systems. There’s plenty of conjecture as to what this unifying structure might look like (string theory, loop quantum gravity,Penrose spins networks, E8 supersymmetry, etc), but no one has, as of yet, definitively found it.So in the here and now we make do with Einstein’s general-relativity and the standard model.Similarly I believe the behavioral sciences may be looking at the "quantum" perspective whenthere's a larger algorithm at work that's describing the classical mechanics of anthropology.Thinking along these lines ultimately led to the study of several physical-anthropology booksdescribing energy consumption rates of future civilizations such as Leslie A White's
. In doing this it became obvious the S.H. concept, as a logarithmic spiral (not a circle),had a strong connection to Kardashev's scale and even seemed to fit the description as elaboratedon in
, on p.146, "Kardashev estimated that any civilization growing ata modest rate of a few percent per year in energy consumption will progress rapidly from onetype to the next, within a matter of a few thousand years to tens of thousands of years."
1
 Furthermore the idea expressed in the graph, as seen in Fig.1,
2
suggests that if we're to imagine"a most exigent scenario" it would have to be in relation to a sentience because exigence has nomeaning absent an actor. Sentience defined here "as
any
life-form that has the capability of evolving in to a self-aware species with some form of physical appendage or mechanism to work its environment." So at some point between4.5 Gaand2 Maspeciation eventually resulted in a  branch of Hominoidea where behavior morphed from purely selfish characteristics (beyond parental care) to genuine group based collaboration (i.e. Marx and Engels' theorized "primitivecommunism"
3
). What doubled me over when I first saw it was that at the point of greatestexigence — an extinction level event — we see the transition from "self" based behavior to
1
 
For
 
a
 
full
 
technical
 
treatment
 
see:
 
Kardashev,
 
Nikolai.
 
"
On
 
the
 
Inevitability 
 
and 
 
the
 
Possible
 
Structures
 
of 
 
Supercivilizations
",
 
The
 
search
 
for
 
extraterrestrial
 
life:
 
Recent
 
developments;
 
Proceedings
 
of 
 
the
 
Symposium,
 
Boston,
 
MA,
 
June
 
18–21,
 
1984
 
(A86
38126
 
17
88).
 
Dordrecht,
 
D.
 
Reidel
 
Publishing
 
Co.,
 
1985,
 
p.
 
497–504.
 
 
2
 
Primary
 
Graph,
 
v1.8.9
 
[Fig.
 
1].
 
3
 
Mode
 
of 
 
Production
 
(2004).
 
Wikipedia.
 
 
2
 
"group" based dynamics, seemingly bearing out the validity of the concept and its mathematicalrepresentation (Fig.2)
4
.While I doubt this was an overnight transition. It suggests our early ancestors adapted to theenvironmental devastation by engaging in group oriented collaboration to ensure their individualself preservation.Similarly at point
(b)
we see something that further corroborates the concept.At the inception of the universe, since there was no life, there would have also been 0exigence. Likewise since this process resulted in the creation of everything. We can very easilydescribe this point as being "infinite in value" or, at the very least, self perpetuating. Furthermorethe very fact that the universe is speeding up is an indicator the universe will more than likelyexpand indefinitely (
 NASA WMAP data 2008
)
5,6
. So it should hardly be contentious saying theuniverse is the closest thing we observe that exhibits "infinite" characteristics.That's two data points at
(b)
and
(c)
each fitting the hypothesis in a surprisingly consistentmanner. So what of point
(d)
then?As our species continues to evolve, what have we collectively worked towards? We've strivedto offload our burdens to be borne by some other force. Whether that be a beast of burden, anatural process like windmills, water-wheels, or in the modern day, nuclear processes; through-out our goal has been to overcome nature enforced exigency. The closer we come toaccomplishing this, what's been the result? Greater "life as a good to be consumed" for allindividuals. To accomplish this though we've needed more "value to be produced andreproduced" to support the increased number of people living "life as a good to be consumed."Eminent physicist and founder of string field theory, Dr. Michio Kaku, expects within 100 to200 years
7
we should to a large extent be able to control the physical processes of our planet. Soif everything on Earth can be controlled, then there's no reason any living person should ever have to suffer since future humans would possess a full accounting of the planets resources
8
andhave the capability to manipulate any local outcome. If we can accomplish this it would beequivalent to 0 exigency because we'd have a fully-managed closed system. Assuming this is possible in reaching 0 exigence we would simultaneously provide -1 good (the greatest good to be consumed for the group). This would manifest as the complete self-empowerment of all people (possibly as some form of over-unity energy source
9
).So the concept bears out in many ways. If there's still any doubt about the accuracy of acyclical representation, here's another example that hopefully brings the point home. We can
4
 
Addendum,
 
v2.0.8
 
[Fig
 
2
 
&
 
3].
 
5
 
Krauss,
 
Lawrence.
 
(2009
10
21).
 
AAI
 
Lecture.
 
 A
 
Universe
 
 from
 
Nothing.
 
 
6
 
Wilkinson
 
Microwave
 
Anisotropy
 
Probe
 
(2010
01
26).
 
NASA.
 
7
 
Kaku,
 
Michio
 
(2008
3
26).
 
Will 
 
we
 
ever 
 
be
 
a
 
galactic
 
civilization?” 
 
[TV
 
Production].
 
The
 
Circuit.
 
4m
 
overview
 
of 
 
Kardashev
 
scale.
 
Event
 
occurs
 
at
 
1:00.
 
8
 
Cohen,
 
David
 
(2007
5
23).
 
Earth’s
 
natural 
 
wealth:
 
an
 
audit.
 
New
 
Scientist.
 
(2605):
 
34
41.
 
 
9
 
Personal
 
notes
 
(2010
2
27).
 
Understanding
 
End 
 
Self 
 
&
 
the
 
Q3/Q4
 
crossover.
 
 
3
 
assume humans will continue to find things to quantitate and compete over, even if we succeedin overcoming material scarcity. Here's a fairly powerful example of what I've dubbed "ordinalscarcity" or the "original earth conundrum,"
[Scarcity] seems to form all imperatives. Even more so it seems to expose a crucial element of how the human brain works. Scarcity is fundamentally a part of our psychological make-up. It's not just something imposed on us by reality through the forces of nature, but something that we strive for and actually seek out.Consider that many millions upon millions of years from now, when humanity has the abilityto fundamentally convert matter to energy and energy back to matter perfectly recycling all transitions (potentially beating the 2nd law of thermodynamics
 ‒ 
see figure 1, point (a)); and when man has the ability to replicate and create anything whether it be cloning an exact copyof yourself, creating a planet, or summoning in to existence a TV or what-have-you:Scarcity will still exist.Why? Because there is no way to replicate the exact instance of the original Earth. Put another way there is only one original NY. Even if we can recreate Earth exactly as it currently exists and drop it in to another system, precisely modeled on our current solar  system, there would still be only one original Earth. Due to this people would still have battles over property and the value of a house would be subject to the whims of the individuals bidding on it. For example, the house in NY on theoriginal earth would necessarily be worth more than the copy because it would be known byall parties as the first, authentic incarnation. So the qualitative association is what would create the value despite the two houses, environments, and conditions otherwise being  physically identical.Thus scarcity still exists as a concept in people’s minds and because of this future people will  still need some mechanism to determine resource allocation (likely a stored social value system like money). Now let me explain where this is really coming from. A = AThey're not equal.They're two separate things though identical in almost every way, but they're two separateinstances (i.e. one is on the left, the other is on the right). Thus we create scarcity and inequality even when it doesn't exist. We seek out difference wherever we can find it. Now imagine if you could even remove that. If we can do that we haven't removed a real  scarce thing, we've removed a part of human psychology.

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