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2535

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2536)






2516
2535



2535 2538






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3


19 2538




( 2536)
(
2536)


2538

1
2

8
9
14
17
20

24
25
29

33
34
38
43
48
53
57
62
66

2535/2536

70
71
76
81
86
90
93


1

13 2535
23 2535
20
?
19

3


... ...

.
19


6

.. .. 7
(.. 2489)

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(.. 2489) . (.. 2500) ...
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(
1)


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( 2) 8


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54

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..
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37.6 15.2 ( 4)

10.5
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67 19.5
( 5)

4
7 3
( 3
2476) ... ( 38 2519)
( 39 2520)


2490




2490
5 ...

5
1

2475 - 2535
()

10

10

19

2

2475 - 2535
()

PPE

19

(1)

(2) PPE = Philosophy, Politics, and Economics

6
3

2475 - 2535
()

40

40-44

21.1

45-49

31.6

50-54

10.5

55-59

10.5

60-64

15.8

65-69

10.5

70

19

100.0

2475 - 2535

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10

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2. ..

42

17

53 3

3.

52

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59

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.. ..

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2475 - 2535

31

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. 2535

16
2537



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The System is Here to Stay ( 28
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17

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2523-2531

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18

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26








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29

7
...
11 2538

...
2 2537 The Economist (November 5, 1994) ...
Silvio Shinawatra (Silvio Berlusconi)
...




...
.. 2534 ( 5) ..2538

2475
4 2492
2517 2521 2534 ( 1) 2


"" 17 2538

30





2517

2534 ( 5) ..
2538 2517
2475

2517 2516
2534 ( 5) ..2538 2535


2492 2490



/ `' `'
2521 2534
/ ..

/
..

2521 ( 86 97)
2534 ( 96 108)
..
2517 2534 ( 5) .. 2538

31
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..

4 ( 1)

..
4 ..
..


4
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..






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32



2475-2538

1.

2.


3.

1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4

. 2492 143
. 2517 180
. 2521 149
. 2534 163
. 2534
( 5) 2538 167
. 2492 80(3)
. 2517 103(2)
. 2521 97(2)
. 2534 108(2)

3.1 . 2517 103(2)


3.2 . 2534
( 5) 2538 114(2)

33

34

8






















`'
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35






`'



`'

3


15,000
405 150
1,300 2535
27 2535
13,700

36




(AFTA)


(comparative
advantage)








37

38

9
(.)
"" ""




.
2

5 2536 .


19 2536 .




"
.. 2536" 25 2536

(1)
(2)
(3)

"" 29 2536

39
.
""




. ""
.. 2522 .
. 8 2536
27
.
.
NGOs

4 2536 18
... "" ""

NGOs

20 2536

?



. .

... .. 2522
.
.
.

40


.

...
.. 2504

... .. 2522


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20 2536
NGOs
.
11 2536 .
12 8
( 22 2536) .

.
.

.

. .
.
.
.
(sustainable tourism)

41
.
8
.


. .
.
.
. .
.

. .
.
.

.

.

(nominal policy) .

.

... .. 2504
. ...
.. 2522
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"" (real policy)
" "
" "

42

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43

10

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... .. 2522



... .. 2504

10 .

`' `'


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31
2536
10

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2536

44
30 2534

19 2536


.

() .



9
2536 ( 22 2536)
12 2536
(Bangkok Post, September 13, 1993) 7
.



( 8 2536)




( 22 2536)

45
13 2536 ...
`' `'
18


.

( 19 2536)
18 2536


( 18 2536)

` '

7 .
100-200
. ( 18
2536)


.
. 9
11 2536
( 22 2536) .

46
`
' `' (
18 2536)
13 2536 2
.

... .. 2522



( Bangkok Post 14 2536)
14 2536
.
?
.

100200 .

18 2536

( 18 2536)
19 2536
(
20 2536) NGOs


`'
13 2536

47


`
'
20
2536

.
9 11 2536
13
.
?
?
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48

11

2536 (Morihito Hosokawa)




3









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2537

49


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5
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2533




51










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)
` B' (
) `'


52


53

12
17 2537



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.
2
..

(Hopewell)

..

..


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..
12

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2537

54

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.


.
..
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.

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.


9-12 16
2536 ..
2536

55


9 2533
6 2534 6
2538
1,400 .
2



.. .

2533
4 .. (2533)
( 2534) ( 2535)
( 2535) ( 2536) .


..
..

..
.

. 4,000
..


.

56
..
.. .
?

57


13


2537 2537

2537
4.2% 4.8% 2537
5.0% 2537




5%


`'
2500

2-3%
2510
4% `'

13

"" 28 2537

58
2516
2-3%
2516-2525
8%

5% 2537 `
'
5% `' 2537
2533-2536
5.98% 2533 3.29% 2536 ( 1) 2537
5%
5%

27
2537 ( 3 2537)


4-5%








( 28 2537)


59

2537


(Demand Inflation)
(Supply Inflation)
(Aggregate Demand)
21%

(Credit - Deposit Ratio) 118%


183,184
2536 200,000 2537
8 2537
237,644 49,456 2536





2538

60


2539


7% 8%
2537 9.0% 9.5%

14 2537

() 20%
5 25%
() 15%
5 20%
4 2537





2537 5%
2537
`'

61
1
2533-2536
( 2529 = 100)
(%)

2533
2534
2535
2536

5.98
5.72
4.14
3.29

62

14




5% 2537

24 2537








( 28 2537)

2529
(Socio-economic Survey)

14

"" 11
2537

63



2-10 4,000-11,000



39.56%

39.56%

30 50%




40%
`'









64




2522
2522-2524 2523
1

`' `'
(truth)



(The Sunday Post, October 23, 1994)




(Congressional
Budget Office = CBO)
CBO Bureau of Labor Statistics
0.2-0.8%

65

1%
6,500

66

15

?

2538

(The Nation, December 27, 1994)

6
( 27 2537)



" ()

" ( 28 2537)



2 - 3

15

"" 13 2538

67
(Socio-Economic
Survey) 5
2
2535 2537

2505
(absolute poverty)

(relative poverty)

68




`'




(urban bias)


(real policy) (stated
policy)


(information cost)

(2515 - 2519)

"
" .. 2524
` '


69


(Export - oriented Industrialization)



(labour-intensive products) (medium-high
technology products)

(assembly industry)

70

71

. 16
2535/2536
(.)

10 2535 .
5,000
(packing credit) .
1% . .
90 5%
15% 4,100
100 . 16
2535

3 .
3

.
.
.
.
2528/2529 .
2

16

"" 23
2536

72

.

2528/2529
. 2
.
80 .
. 70 2533/2534
90


2533/2534

2535/2536 .
.

.
(80% 70% )
.
.
15%

.
.


.

73
3-6
.
13

. .

2535/2536 . 3.37 186,962
3.19

(90% 80%
)

. .
.
.
.
21 2536 .
8,000
10.5% 1 . 8,000
90% 4,100-4,200
. .
.
(.)

. 2,000
2536 . 700,000
35% .
.
2533/2534

74
2534/2535

400 2535/2536 2,000

.
.
. .
. . .

.
.
. .


.



3
.
.
10% 2529/2530
2535/2536 .

.
.
.

.

75
.


.

. .

.





.
.
.

. .

76

17

15
2533

15% 200,000
261 2 4%
15% 25,000
175,000 1,373
1,272
88


63 88
2534
151
25 2534
200,000 2533
23 2535
2536 (Andrei Ambartsunnain)

17

"" 30 2536

77
Exportkhleb
Bank of Foreign Trade Department for the Russian
Federation (The Nation, January 9, 1993)
2536
17
(The Nation, February 24, 1993)
22 2536


( 23
2536)
3 2536

( 4 2536)
( 4 2536)


1,272
21.81
21.30 6 127.8
2536 149.61


1
1,282.19
(
3 2536)
2536
(Oleg Davidov)
17
( 63 )

78



(Georgiv Kunadze)
(Bangkok Post, June 3, 1993)
MI 17-V (The Nation, June
30, 1993)
200,000
2533 2


2534 (2511)
15% 200,000
(packing credit)
50 2


2,000
2535
2
15% 450,000 (
500,000 ) 280.25 ( f.o.b.)
25 2535
200 2,500
2,500 2
7.75% packing credit 10%
3-4 2535
(1.75 )
2534 (1.75 )

79
23

2535
275.25
29 2535
700,000 2535

2533


2533

..


2533
2535 2537
2533 300.61
1,373
( 2533)



4%
2533 7.75% 2535
?
2533
2535


80



81

18


(Roberto Sebastian)
16 2536










( 20 2536)
35%
155,000 185


15 2536
2536 2537
18

"" 6 2536

82
155,000 3

(1) (.) 80,000 .
(.)

(2) 40,000
(3) 30,000




.
. 6,500
6,500 2,000
(The Nation, June 25, 1993)

85,350
. 34,875 . 33,774 16,701
( 20 2536) 65,200

14 2536






(Green Revolution)
(HYVs)

83
Magna Carta of Small
Farmers Republic Act

2536 Magna Carta of Small Farmers Republic


Act 8



12 2536
(The Nation, July 15, 1993)










2 . .
. .


85,350

15-15-15 16-16-8
f.o.b. c.i.f. ( 1)

84

( 20 21 2536)
85,350


155,000 250,000

The Philippine Phosphate Fertilizer
800,000
2536

85
1

()

1. 16-20-0

( f.o.b.)
121

( c.i.f.)
133

2. 16-16-8

128

120

3. 15-15-15

189

170

1. 16-20-0 16-16-8
2. 15-15-15

86

2535/2536
19
""
" "

""

2535/2536

2535/2536








19

"" 22 2536

87
2535/2536

7 796,384
1,500 19 2535 11
2536 100% 2 15% 25%
A-1 100%


1,787,354
(.) 3

2536 "

2535/2536" .
.

143,853
211,391 355,244
44.6 (
16 2536)
74 379,301 (47.6%)
( 8 )
1
61 257,230
32.3 ( 28
2536)
The Nation 5 2536


70-80%

88











""
""





1-3

89



2535/2536



100%




40%
2535/2536




2535/2536

90

2535/2536
20

2535/2536
(.)
15% 25% (.) 600
20 80
(packing credit)
()
1,700

2536
2536 .

600
. .

24
2536 . 25% 590.36 .
. 800,000 .
33 . . 2
2536

20

"" 12
2536

91
. . .
(.) .
105,585 .
10,000
. .

25%
. .
16,000 . .
. ( 20 2536)
.
.

.
. ( 5 2536)
. .
.
. .
( 9 2536)
30 2536 .
. . 800,084 .
403,932 . 396,152
. 396,152 ( 13
2536) 400,000

2536 . 400,000 .
. . 18 2536 25%
35%
210 21
. 3

92
.
200,000
. .
. . .
25%
. . 25% 35%
200,000 .
.
.
.
.
.
. .
2535/2536
.




93

2535/2536
21


2535/2536
15% 280,000
185 (f.o.b.) Peterson Agencies BV 8
2536 Peterson Agencies BV Euro Agri Inc.
15-40
9-10
2536 .. Euro Agri Inc.

...
Euro Agri Inc.

""(Iraq gate)

5

Peterson Agencies BV
15%
Peterson Agencies BV
25% 190 (f.o.b.)

21

"" 19
2536

94

The Nation
( 12 2536) Peterson Agencies
BV Peterson Agencies BV
Peterson Agencies BV

Euro Agri Inc.


Euro Agri Inc.
Euro Agri Inc.

5 2536 10,000


51.80

- 2536 Euro Agri Inc. (Paper Company)
`'

( 8 )
28 2536
Euro Agri Inc.

Euro Agri Inc.


Euro Agri Inc.
L/C

5%
Euro Agri Inc.

2536
2535/2536
Euro
Agri Inc.

95
Euro Agri Inc.
(The Nation, June 29, 1993)


( 28 2536 Bangkok Post, June 11, 1993)
1,000
Euro Agri Inc.

Euro Agri Inc.

Euro Agri Inc. 15%


f.o.b.
10%
15% 10%
5


Euro Agri Inc.

Peterson Agencies BV




2536
Euro Agri Inc. 10%
400,000 661

Euro Agri Inc.


96

10%
Euro Agri Inc. 10% 15%

Euro Agri Inc.


( 2 2536)
638

Euro Agri Inc. 15%


185 (f.o.b.) 10%
C&F 255.70
15
( 18 2536)






2530

Euro Agri Inc.



Euro Agri Inc.

97


Euro Agri Inc.



Euro Agri Inc.

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