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CSC Presentation 7 September 2012

CSC Presentation 7 September 2012

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05/18/2014

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Army,
 
People
 
and
 
State:
 
Where
 
are
 
we
 
headed?
Presentation
 
to
 
Intermediate
Level
 
Education
 
classFort
 
Lee,
 
Virginia7 September
 
2012Douglas
 
Macgregor,
 
PhDColonel
 
(ret)
 
U.S.
 
Army+1
 
703
 
975
 
6954
The
 
Army
 
through
 
a “Looking
 
Glass”
 
The
 
People:
 
Uncertainty,
 
Fear
 
and
 
Anger
“In
 
short,
 
the
 
official
 
estimates
 
members
 
of 
 
Congress
 
hear
 
from
 
their
 
budget
 
office
 
are
 
under
estimating
 
our
 
dire
 
economic
 
predicament.
 
If 
 
fiscal
 
policy
 
is
 
not
 
brought
 
under
 
control,
 
things
 
will
 
be
 
much,
 
much
 
worse.”
Fed
 
Chairman
 
Ben
 
Bernanke,
 
9
 
February
 
2011
“The
 
French
 
government
 
in
 
the
 
1780’s
 
drew
 
nearer
 
and
 
nearer
 
to
 
bankruptcy,
 
and
 
with
 
each
 
expedient
 
to
 
avoid
 
bankruptcy
 
brought
 
nearer…
 
the
 
signal
 
for
 
revolution.”
 
Crane
 
Brinton,
 
 Anatom
 
of 
 
Revolution
,
 
1938
“Americans’
 
values
 
and
 
basic
 
beliefs
 
are
 
more
 
polarized
 
along
 
partisan
 
lines
 
than
 
at
 
any
 
point
 
in
 
the
 
past
 
25
 
years.”
Pew 
 
Research
 
Center 
,
 
4
 
June
 
2012
 
 
Markets
 
plagued
 
by
 
fear
 
of 
 
coming
 
Eurozone
 
collapse,
 
uncertainty;
American
 
public
 
supports
 
defense
 
cuts
 
(
no
 
existential 
 
military 
 
threat 
);
 
Shrinking
 
resources
 
means
 
a
 
destructive
 
inter
Service
 
fight
 
inside
 
a
 
fragmented
 
defense
 
establishment
 
(
emphasis
 
on
 
effort,
 
not 
 
results
);
Industrial 
 
 Age
 
inefficiencies
 
and 
 
duplications
 
not
 
only
 
reduce
 
the
 
operational
 
impact
 
of 
 
the
 
nation’s
 
armed
 
forces,
 
they
 
also
 
perpetuate
 
unsustainable
 
“cost
 
exchange
 
ratios”
 
with
 
even
 
the
 
weakest
 
adversaries
 
without
 
armies,
 
air
 
forces
 
or
 
air
 
defenses.
The
 
politicians
 
have
 
no
 
palatable
 
solutions
 
that
 
work
‐‐
the
 
solutions
 
that
 
will
 
work
 
unpopular
 
with
 
an
 
electorate
 
raised
 
on
 
trust
 
in
 
"fair"
 
vs.
 
free
 
markets
 
and
 
the
 
myth
 
that
 
government
 
creates
 
and
 
sustains
 
prosperity.
The
 
State:
 
Economic
 
triage
The
 
realization
 
that
 
the
 
United
 
States
 
is
 
in
 
a
 
fiscal
 
“free
 
fall”
 
is
 
sinking
 
in;
 
a
 
race
 
to
 
economic
 
crisis
 
that
 
bailouts
 
can’t
 
stop.
 
Now,
 
on
 
the
 
precipice
 
of 
 
future
 
cuts
 
in
 
defense
 
spending
 
with
 
the
 
survival
 
of 
 
Social
 
Security,
 
Medicare
 
and
 
Medicaid
 
at
 
stake,
 
the
 
American
 
defense
 
status
 
quo
 
and
 
the
 
behaviors
 
it
 
creates
 
are
 
simply
 
unaffordable.
 

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