http://bookstore.usip.org • 1-800-868-8064United States Institute of Peace Press • Spring Books 2013
6 x 9$24.95 (paper)
Part I: Understanding Deadly Conict
Global Conict in the 21st Century
Causeso Conict and Peace
Risk Assessment and Early Warning
Part II: Tools or the Trade
Conict Assessment Frameworks
Conict Mapping and SystemsMapping
Part III: From Analysis to Action
Navigating Cognitive Minefelds
Conict Analysis in the Planning Process
The Valueo Collaborative Analysis
Appendices(Early Warning Watchlists and Reports,Conict Metrics, Private Strategic Forecasters,Conict Assessment Frameworks, USIP Narrative Analysis Framework, Conict Mapping Tools, A Logical Framework Matrix)
Conict Analysis Resources
Understanding Causes, Unlocking Solutions
“A must read or all analysts and practitioners seeking to cope with conict. The bookis broadly rooted in the literature on analysis and planning and provides goodconcrete examples at every point. A deep and thoroughly practical handbook.”
—Dean G. Pruitt, Institute or Conict Analysis and Resolution,George Mason UniversityThe change in the patterns and nature o deadly conicts since the end o the Cold Warhas spurred many organizations in and outside governments to develop robust strate-gies to anticipate, prevent, and respond to these conicts. Conict analysis is the criticalfrst step toward meeting these objectives.
Conict Analysis: Understanding Causes, Unlocking Solutions
is a guide or practitio-ners seeking to prevent deadly conict or mitigate political instability. Governments,nongovernmental organizations, and businesses operating in conict zones will fnd thisvolume to be a practical, accessible reerence or understanding and communicatingpersuasively about threats o organized violence. This handbook integrates theory andpractice and emphasizes the importance o analyzing the causes o peace as well asthe causes o conict. It stresses that conict analysis is a social as well as an intellec-tual process, helping practitioners translate analysis into eective action. To illustratekey points, Levinger draws on both historical and contemporary cases, including theCuban missile crisis, the Israeli-Palestinian conict, the Yugoslav wars o secession, theRwandan genocide, the 9/11 attacks, and the Iraq and Aghanistan wars.Part I examines contemporary global conict trends, perspectives on the causes o conict and peace, and quantitative models or early warning and risk assessment.Part II provides practitioners with a menu o analytical tools or systematically assessingcauses and potential trajectories o deadly conicts. Part III ocuses on the role o conict analysis in decision making and program implementation, including the socialdimensions o conict analysis.The analytical tools in this volume illuminate emerging trends in complex, volatile, andambiguous environments and will enable practitioners to anticipate and respond withgreater agility to threats and opportunities.
is visiting proessor o international aairs and director o theNational Security Studies Program at The Elliott School o International Aairs, GeorgeWashington University. Among his previous positions, he was a senior program ofcerat USIP’s Academy o International Conict Management and Peacebuilding, directoro the Academy or Genocide Prevention at the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum, anda William C. Foster Fellow at the U.S. Department o State.
is the second volume o the U.S. Institute o Peace Academy Guides,a series developed by the Institute’s Academy or International Conict Management and Peacebuilding. Combining theory and practice and emphasizing strategic thinking, the Guides are geared or policymakers and third parties working in conict zones, as well as or students o conict management and peacebuilding.
UNDERSTANDING CAUSES,UNLOCKING SOLUTIONS
UNITED STATESINSTITUTE of PEAcE