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See: http://www.golden.net/~pjponzo/black-scholes-3.htm
Have fun!
Enter the data in
red squares
like so:
gummy
(1) Strike Prices & Option Premiumsfor Example:
Strike =
$90.00
$100.00
$105.00
etc.
Premium =
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etc.
90%
100%
105%
These just give Strike Price
s a s p e rc e n ta g e s o f S to c k P r
(2) The Current Price of the stock
for Example:
(You can change them.)
Current Price =$100.0000
Initial Cost
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Mean Return =
10%
Std Devn =
25%
This just
Risk-free Rate
4%
gives the
(4) The start and increment for the plot (if you want to change these)
percentages
PLOT from
$80.00
increments of
$1.00
where you
(5) PLAY with the number of contracts which you write or buy
MAKE or
# contracts =
0
0
1
etc.
LOSE money
w ith in th e
NOW: gaze in awe and admiration at the plot of total gain and probabilities
\u2026 and, of course, repeat (5) till you see something you like!
This gives your initial outl
ay of m oney.
P.S. You can, of course, just INVENT a stock \u2026 with invented strike prices and
If it's negative, you RECEI
V E a (n e t) a m o u n t.
Current Stock Price.
BUT \u2026 what about the option premium?
(because of calls you WRI
T E ).
Just type in the Black-Scholes price; it's pretty accurate.
For Covered Calls, it includ
e s th e c o s t o f s h a re s .
You can choose to write C
o v e r e d o r U n c o v e r e d C a lls
price is close to the actual Option Premium. (This is an "implied volatility".)
COVE
R E D C a lls (y /n ) ?
Assuming a Log-normal Distribution of Returns,
this gives the probability that, at expiry, you'll LOSE!
Note:
Enter Expiry
M o n th a s
(3) The Return, Standard Deviation & Risk-free Rate for the stock (if you know these*)
RANGE OF T
HE PLOT
* If you don't know the Standard Deviation invent one so that the Black-Scholes
Expiry Month =
sep
ive S trike P r
i
c e
s as percentages of Stock Price.
In the range

$80 to $107
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the Max Gain is
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the Min Gain is
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LOSE m oney
within the
($0)
y o u r in itia l o u tla
y of money.
tiv e , y o u R E C E
IVE a (net) amount.
f ca
l
ls you W R
ITE).
C a lls , it in c lu d e
s the cost of shares.
ose to w rite C
overed or Uncovered Calls
C O V E R
ED Calls (y/n) ?
n
Prob. of Loss
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E n te r E x p iry M
onth asmmm (likesep
RANGE OF T
HE PLOT, currently
Stock Name
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and buying 1
COVERED Calls (y/n) ?
XYZ
90%
100%
105%
90%
100%
105%
WRITE a call
Uncovered
BUY a call
# contracts =
0
0
1
1
0
0
Strike =
$90.00
$100.00
$105.00
$90.00
$100.00
$105.00
Premium =
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Black-Scholes =
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Cumulative Distribution
Gain/Loss
BreakEven
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PLOT from
$80.00
increments of
$1.00
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Your PLOT is from 80% to 107% of the 'Current Price'
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$80.00
$83.00
$86.00
$89.00
$92.00
$95.00
$98.00
$101.00
$104.00
$107.00
$110.00
$113.00
$116.00
$119.00
$122.00
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
$80.00
$82.00
$84.00
$86.00
$88.00
$90.00
$92.00
$94.00
$96.00
$98.00
$100.00
$102.00
$104.00
$106.00
$108.00
$110.00
$112.00
$114.00
$116.00
$118.00
$120.00
$122.00
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$1
$1
$1
$1
$1
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Column O
Column AL
of 00

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