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I'm not talking about when your opponent scratches his eyebrow... or when he shuffles his chips... or
when he chews his gum aggressively.
I'm talking about BETTING PATTERNS.
It's been my experience that approximately 80% of the betting action at a poker table fits within
PREDICTABLE and RELIABLE patterns.
Here's what I mean:
The other day I was playing at a $2-5 no limit cash game with my buddies. I focused all of my energies
just on keeping track of PRE-FLOP RAISES and POST-FLOP BETS.
Here are some examples of the patterns I discovered...
First off, this older guy named Elroy would throw out the occasional pre-flop raise. By the end of the
night, it was almost TOO EASY to figure out what he was holding... just based on his bets.
His first pre-flop raise was $15. The hand played out and he turned over 10-9 suited.
Later he made it $40 pre-flop to play. Again, I was fortunate to see his hand... this time it was pocket
Queens.
Later he made it $25 pre-flop to play. That one ended up being pocket kings.
And he made it $15 to play on the button again later... with an A-4 of diamonds.
As the night progressed, I "cracked the code" to Elroy's betting patterns. When he had a monster like K-K
or A-A, he'd bet $25 pre-flop. It was a bet that usually gets one or two callers.
If he had pocket 10s, Jacks, or Queens, he bet $40-$50 pre-flop. This makes sense. He didn't want to see a
flop with these hands... he just wanted to steal the blinds. Or if he saw the flop, he only wanted one caller.
And his $10-$15 raises were simply "pot builders" when he had hidden hands or something decent...like
K-Q, 10-9, or A-4.
Of course... it was NOT just Elroy that fell into these predictable patterns...
Another guy at the table, let's call him Jeff, would throw out a $10 bet on the flop every time he was on a
draw.
Of the fourteen times he bet $10 on the flop, I saw his hand turned over eight times (it was an 8-hour
game). AND EVERY SINGLE TIME HE SHOWED, he was on some type of draw... whether it was for
the flush or straight.
So of course, every time the "make" card came out of the deck, I knew Jeff had the goods... and I folded
my hand.
9 Pages
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02/23/2009 |
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