Two Global Crises, Ethics Renewal, and Governance Reform
Andrew Brennan
and
Y. S. Lo
La Trobe UniversityMelbourne
Introduction – two global crises
Humanity is faced with two global crises of prosperity. Each one raises questions about the predominantways of life in contemporary consumer societies, and the ways in which our value, motives, behaviours andcapacities are moulded, if not determined, by the various systems of transaction in which our lives are set.The first is the deepening problem of climate change – one which until recently was met with corporate andgovernment denial, confusion, and disorientation. Responses to scientific warnings have been widely held byscientists to be inadequate to the problems faced in a world with rising sea levels, failing crops, water scarcity, intensifying storms and the other damaging effects of a changing climate. Likewise, radical criticsand a minority of journalists themselves have long been critical of the biased reporting of climate changeissues.However, public opinion and beliefs on the issue have changed during the last ten years. The idea of contracting industrial countries’ carbon emissions, aiming for convergence, if not equity, across the globe in per capita emissions, now appears to have achieved some credence in both the mainline media andmainstream social and political movements of the rich industrial countries. Moreover, talk about carbon taxesand caps have entered the standard vocabulary of politics, with both US presidential candidates in the 2008election advocating at least a 60% reduction below 1990 levels by 2050 in the United States’ own carbonemission. While conservation groups and many scientists have criticized the Australian government for advocating a greenhouse gas reduction of not more than 80% over 2000 levels by 2050, at least discussionsabout climate change have now entered mainstream public debate in Australia after years of being the focusonly of academics, scientists and other minority groups.Talk is one thing; action another. What we want to draw attention to here are the reasons given for action – the motives. The press release for the official Australian government review of climate change, conducted byeconomist Ross Garnaut states: “Without strong, effective and early action by all major economies, it is probable that Australians, over the 21st century and beyond, will experience disruption in their enjoyment of life and increasingly of their prosperity” (Garnaut
Media
2008). Debate around the report centred on levelsof atmospheric carbon expressed in parts per million by volume (ppmv), with particular focus on whether targets should be 450 rather than 550 ppmv. The report itself indicates that at an atmospheric carbon targetof 450 ppmv, the Great Barrier Reef would be severely bleached and damaged, while at 550 ppmv “therewould be a disappearance of the Reef as we know it” (Garnaut 2008, 127). As far a species loss is concerned,the report also indicates that “the 550 ppmv outcome would lead to a greater incidence of species extinction.Under the expected temperature outcome from the 550 ppmv scenario, 12 per cent of species are predicted to be at risk of extinction. This percentage is reduced to almost 7 per cent under the 450 scenario” (Garnaut2008, 11). Not surprisingly, critics of the Garnaut report have pointed out that the environmental cost of the 550strategy is unacceptably high. Clive Hamilton, one of Australia’s best-known radical economists and greenadvocates, points out that the Garnaut review seems to lack even a convincing economic rationale. Accordingto Hamilton, using Garnaut’s own figures, the economic difference between aiming for 550 ppmv rather than450ppmv by 2050 is actually very small. Australia’s GNP is set to double, Hamilton argues, by 2040. Byadopting the 550 strategy, that doubling is deferred by two years to 2042. With a 450 ppmv target, thedoubling will take just another six months beyond that. Over the whole century, the difference between thetwo strategies is economically negligible. Hamilton writes:
Even to ask whether it’s worth waiting an extra six months for our incomes to double in exchange for a much better chance of averting climate chaos is bizarre. To conclude, as Professor Garnaut has, that the trade-off is notacceptable to the Australian community is possible only if economic growth has become a fetish.Does anyone believe that Australians would be less happy if they had to wait an extra six months before they
Brennan and Lo, Two Global Crises
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