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AN OUTSIDERS INSIDE VIEW
(A MORTGAGE UNDERWRITERS OPINION)
I started saving articles, newspapers and mortgage documents in 2003 because I new the daywould come when the housing industry would implode. Eighteen months ago I started putting the information together. My original intent was to enlighten the public, not just mywife and friends, on what I believed was a mortgage meltdown in the works. One so largethat the money the government spent to bail out the S&Ls’ would seem like chump change.The catalyst was this headline:
Countrywide may cut 12,000 jobs:
twenty per cent of their workforce! Since that news story first broke 15 months ago all hell has broken loose, soinstead of explaining why I thought the mortgage industry was going to crash I would like toshare my opinions on why it did crash. I don’t’ claim to be an authority on mortgages but Ido believe my 30 years in the industry as an Appraiser, Loan Officer and for most of thattime a Underwriter gives me more knowledge than most people on the subject. Mycredentials also include being a FHA DE approved underwriter, FHA approved buildinginspector and VA/LAPP approved underwriter.Three years ago I was working for Clayton, a due diligence and mortgage underwritingcompany. We traveled throughout the country, at clients requests, to “perform” due diligence,(i.e. quality) control on mortgages they were interested in purchasing. The perspectiveinvestors gave Clayton the parameters they felt were stringent enough to risk a purchase. If the loans or the overall pool of loans met their criteria a deal was struck. It was a numbersgame; look to see if the loans met the investor’s guidelines, record the information on alaptop and move on.Mortgages were purchased by companies and added to portfolios. Although these higher yielding instruments were riskier, it was because of the risk that they were more profitable.Houses were appreciating at record rates so even the shakiest of loans was still worth therisk. And, when combined with the safer stocks, precious metals, gold, etc. it made a nice blend for higher returns.These are some sub-prime credit guidelines I remember that investors deemed acceptablecredit. You could have a combination of no late payments on the mortgage for the mostrecent year; or no late payments in the last 6 months on the mortgage combined with any 30day late payments on a credit card. The investor may require 3 major lines of credit be listedon the credit report, such as a Visa and major department stores or Visa, MC and AmericanExpress, most any combination worked.The third line of credit could be inactive for the last year but, when is it was active the payment history had to be good. Investors might accept a 2 times thirty late or a one times 60late within the last year combined with a FICO score as low as 575. In rare instances theFICO score could drop to 520 providing very good compensating factors were presented. Ionce saw a loan that was approved 1 day after a bankruptcy was dismissed. The majority of the loans using sub-prime credit standards were also using a 100% financing.If the person was breathing companies like New Century and Aegis made the loan becausethey knew some idiot investment banker or insurance company would buy it! I doubt the people who decided what the credit criteria should be ever underwrote mortgages or had anycredit experience. They were
INVESTMENT BANKERS!
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