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Educational Outcomes of Occupational Postsecondary Students
Thomas Bailey*Mariana Alfonso*Marc Scott**Timothy Leinbach**Institute on Education and the Economy and the Community College Research Center Teachers College, Columbia University**Steinhardt School of Education, New York UniversityAugust 2004Prepared for the National Assessment of Vocational Education,U.S. Department of Education
 
This report was prepared for the U.S. Department of Education under Contract Number ED-00-CO-0023. Elizabeth Warner served as the contracting officer’s representative. The viewsexpressed herein do not necessarily represent the positions or policies of the Department of Education. No official endorsement by the U.S. Department of Education is intended or should be inferred.ii
 
Contents
List of Tables..................................................................................................................................ivExecutive Summary.........................................................................................................................vI. Introduction..................................................................................................................................1III. The Three Categories of Postsecondary Students......................................................................8IV. Description of the Outcome and Independent Variables.........................................................15Outcome Variables.....................................................................................................................15The Determinants of Educational Achievement........................................................................21Demographics of the Groups.....................................................................................................26V. Educational Outcomes for the Three Groups of Postsecondary Students.................................30The Logistic Model and Interpretation of Coefficients.............................................................30Determinants of Educational Attainment for the Certificate Group..........................................32Determinants of Educational Attainment for the Baccalaureate Group ...................................35Determinants of Educational Attainment for the Associate Group...........................................38Associate Degree Completion Rates for Special Populations...................................................42VI. The Likelihood of Persistence Among Occupational Associate Students ..............................49Short-Term and Three-Year Persistence Rates..........................................................................50Determinants of Short-Term and Three-Year Persistence........................................................54Reasons for Enrolling and Their Effect on Persistence.............................................................58VII. Conclusions............................................................................................................................61Summary of Findings................................................................................................................62Policy Implications....................................................................................................................66Tables69References......................................................................................................................................94Appendix A: Notes on the Design of the Datasets........................................................................99Appendix B: Classification of Program of Study........................................................................103Appendix C: Definition of Full-Time Equivalent (FTE).............................................................106Appendix D: Event History Analysis—Application to Associate Students................................108Appendix E: Nontraditional Occupational Majors......................................................................117iii
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