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NAB Online Retail Sales Index - Update Feb-13

NAB Online Retail Sales Index - Update Feb-13

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Published by Belinda Winkelman

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Published by: Belinda Winkelman on Apr 02, 2013
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04/02/2013

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NAB Online Retail Sales IndexMonthly update – February 2013Online Retail Sales Index weaker in February. Sales grewby +19% yoy in the month, the weakest growth rate sinceMay 2012.
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For the twelve months ending February 2013, Australia’s online retail spending totaled $13.1billion. This level is equivalent to around 5.9% of Australia’s traditional bricks & mortar retailsector (excluding cafés, restaurants and takeaway food for a like-to-like comparison) for theyear to January 2013.
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The NAB Online Retail Sales Index declined in February – down to 193 points (from 202points in January). This was in contrast to trends observed in the past three years, where theindex in the month of February has been broadly in line with the level recorded in January.As noted in our previous release, January appeared to be a relatively strong month for onlinesales. Our latest data seems to indicate that February 2013 was comparatively weak.
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The year-on-year growth rate for online sales pulled back significantly in February. The indexwas adjusted to account for the extra trading day in February 2012 (due to the leap year), butdespite this adjustment, the index increased by just +19% year-on-year, the slowest rate ofgrowth since May 2012. This rate of growth is particularly weak when compared with therates recorded in the latter part of 2012, and into January 2013 (which was +27% yoy).
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The rate of growth for online sales remains well in excess of that of the traditional retailsector. In January 2013, traditional sales increased by +4.2% year-on-year (on a non-seasonally adjusted basis). When seasonal factors are included, this rate was softer, at +2.9%.
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Declines in the growth rate of online sales appear to have occurred across all categories ofretail, particularly in the ‘Online Auctions, Department Stores, Fashion, Cosmetics, VarietyStores’ category, with February appearing to be a relatively weak month across the board,after the strong growth recorded across the latter part of 2012.
Sales soften in February, with the monthlooking relatively weakSales growth slowed to +19% yoy – theweakest rate since May 2012
Online sales vs. Retail sales (nsa, monthly)
 
80100120140160180200220240260 Jan-10Oct-10Jul-11Apr-12Jan-13
Online IndexABS retail sales (ex. takeaway food)
 
Growth in Online sales vs. Retail sales (%, yoy)
 
01020304050 Jan-11Jul-11Jan-12Jul-12Jan-13
Online IndexRetail sales (ex. takeaway food)
 
Monthly online retail statistics
 Points yoy growth (%)Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13Online index 227.0 202.2 192.7 22.8 27.2 18.7For more information, contact:Alan Oster, Chief Economist(03) 8634 2927 0414 444 652
All data is non-seasonally adjusted (nsa). Online sales data is produced byQuantium. Traditional retail sales data is sourced from the Australian Bureauof Statistics (ABS).

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