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Educational Outcomes of Occupational Postsecondary Students
Thomas Bailey*Mariana Alfonso*Marc Scott**Timothy Leinbach**Institute on Education and the Economy and the Community College Research Center Teachers College, Columbia University**Steinhardt School of Education, New York UniversityAugust 2004Prepared for the National Assessment of Vocational Education,U.S. Department of Education
 
 
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This report was prepared for the U.S. Department of Education under Contract Number ED-00-CO-0023. Elizabeth Warner served as the contracting officer’s representative. The viewsexpressed herein do not necessarily represent the positions or policies of the Department of Education. No official endorsement by the U.S. Department of Education is intended or should be inferred.
 
 
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Contents
List of Tables.................................................................................................................................ivExecutive Summary........................................................................................................................vI. Introduction.................................................................................................................................1II. Literature Review on the Educational Attainment of Postsecondary Students..........................4III. The Three Categories of Postsecondary Students.....................................................................8IV. Description of the Outcome and Independent Variables........................................................15Outcome Variables...................................................................................................................15The Determinants of Educational Achievement.......................................................................21Demographics of the Groups....................................................................................................27V. Educational Outcomes for the Three Groups of Postsecondary Students...............................31The Logistic Model and Interpretation of Coefficients............................................................31Determinants of Educational Attainment for the Certificate Group.........................................33Determinants of Educational Attainment for the Baccalaureate Group...................................36Determinants of Educational Attainment for the Associate Group..........................................39Associate Degree Completion Rates for Special Populations..................................................44VI. The Likelihood of Persistence Among Occupational Associate Students..............................51Short-Term and Three-Year Persistence Rates.........................................................................53Determinants of Short-Term and Three-Year Persistence........................................................56Reasons for Enrolling and Their Effect on Persistence............................................................60VII. Conclusions...........................................................................................................................63Summary of Findings................................................................................................................64Policy Implications...................................................................................................................68Tables ...........................................................................................................................................71References...................................................................................................................................105Appendix A. Notes on the Design of the Datasets......................................................................110Appendix B. Classification of Program of Study.......................................................................114Appendix C. Definition of 
 Full-Time Equivalent 
(FTE)............................................................118Appendix D. Event History Analysis—Application to Associate Students...............................120Appendix E. Nontraditional Occupational Majors.....................................................................130
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