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teori pengambilan keputusan

teori pengambilan keputusan

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Published by alul85

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Published by: alul85 on Mar 23, 2009
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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06/26/2013

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Teori Pengambilan Keputusan
Pola dasar berpikir dlm konteks organisasi:
Penilaian situasi (
Situational Approach
): untuk menghadapi pertanyaan “apa yg terjadi?”
Analisis persoalan (
 Problem Analysis
): dari pola pikir sebab-akibat
Analisis keputusan (
 Decision Analysis
): didasarkan pada pola berpikir mengambil pilihan
Analisis persoalan potensial (
 Potential Problem Analysis
): didasarkan pada perhatian kita mengenai peristiwa masadepan, mengenai peristiwa yg mungkin terjadi & yg dapatterjadi
 
 
Inti pengambilan keputusan:
 berarti memilih alternatif, yg jelas harus alternatif yg terbaik (
the best alternative
)
terletak dlm perumusan berbagai alternatif tindakan sesuai dg yg sedang dlm perhatian &dlm pemilihan alternatif yg tepat, setelah suatuevaluasi/penilaian mengenai efektifitasnya dlmmencapai tujuan yg dikehendaki pengambilkeputusan
 
 
Lingkungan situasi keputusan:
1.
lingkungan eksternal:- sosial- budaya- ekonomi- politik - alam- pembatasan-pembatasan suatu negara berupa “quota”
8.
lingkungan internal;- mutu barang rendah- kurangnya promosi- pelayanan konsumen tdk memuaskan- sales/agen tdk bergairah

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