Statistical Analysis of Texas Hold
Em Table of Contents
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Table of Contents
List of Figures ............................................................................................................ 4
List of Tables.............................................................................................................. 4
1
Executive Summary ............................................................................................ 5
2
Goals and Methodology .................................................................................... 5
2.1
Data Acquisition ..................................................................................... 5
2.2
Data Analysis .......................................................................................... 7
2.2.1
Showdown Determination...................................................................7
2.2.2
Best Hand Win Determination ............................................................7
2.3
Statistical Method ................................................................................... 8
2.3.1
Description of the analysis...................................................................8
2.3.2
Assumptions and possible sources of error ....................................10
2.4
Verifying Log Data ................................................................................11
2.4.1
Rationale............................................................................................... 11
2.4.2
Mechanics............................................................................................. 11
2.4.3
Results...................................................................................................12
3
Findings .............................................................................................................. 12
3.1
Margin of Error ..................................................................................... 12
4
Conclusion.......................................................................................................... 14
5
Recorded Artifacts ............................................................................................ 15
5.1
PokerStars Log Files............................................................................. 15
5.2
Player-submitted Hand Histories ...................................................... 15
For More Information ............................................................................................ 16
About Cigital, Inc.................................................................................................... 16