Let me make an important qualification here. In claiming the positive relationshipbetween GDP and human welfare indicators, I am referring to the full range of societies, from the poor to the rich. Within rich countries, and within the middleand upper classes of all countries, the relationship between income or wealthand various measures of happiness has shown itself to be problematical. In hisattack on the idea of growth, Richard Douthwaite (1999) summarizes andpresents a large number of studies showing that Americans, British, and WesternEuropeans appear no happier now than they were 40 years ago, despitesubstantial economic growth and rising incomes. For us, these findings areimportant, but for people in the poor countries and for poor communities in thericher nations, the data indicate that growth remains a necessity.This brings us back to the problem of the fuel. Particularly since the end of WorldWar 2, economists have been searching for the right materials to inject into thelow-GDP economies to release their energy and jump-start economic growth.They have advocated massive foreign investment, entrepreneurship training,technology transfers, changing the psychological make-up of the people towardsmore future orientation and greater need for achievement, giving people moreeducation, and targeting benefits to the poorest groups to solve the problems of basic needs. These proposals have led to scattered successes, but no approachhas shown itself consistently able to bring about high rates of growth. Todays
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free trade campaign shows few signs of improving on the situation. In anextended critique, economist Arthur MacEwan (1999:31-65) argues that theeconomics literature of recent years provides consistent refutations of theargument that free trade fuels economic growth. A recent empirical study thatseems to support his argument. Mark Weisbrot, Robert Naiman, and Joyce Kim(2000:9) found that worldwide per capita output grew by 83% during the pre-freetrade period of 1960-80, but declined to 33% in the 1980-2000 period. The 33%growth was accounted for mostly by China, other East Asian economies, andSouth Asia while Arab States and Subsaharan Africa registered economic declinewith the onset of free trade. Latin America and The Caribbean dropped from 75%growth to just above 6% (Weisbrot, Naiman and Kim 2001a:3). Of 116 countriesin the study, 89 experienced growth rate declines in the 1980-2000 period of increased free trade. And in a further paper co-authored with Dean Baker, Egor Kraev, and Judy Chen, Weisbrot[http://www.cepr.net/globalization/scorecard_on_globalization.htm] found that thecorrelation between growth and welfare held up. The declines in the rates of growth have been paralleled by declines in the rates of improvement in lifeexpectancy, infant mortality, and literacy rates in almost all cases except for therich countries where such rates are already the best. In the second poorestgroup, adult female mortality actually worsened (Weisbrot et al 2001:11).If none of the mainstream approaches can identify a fuel for economic growthand improvements in human welfare, where do we look? Revolutionary societiessuch as Cuba, Vietnam, or North Korea offer alternatives, but many people wouldshrink from the heavy state domination they use to bring about growth. The non-
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