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Global Technology Outlook 2013

Global Technology Outlook 2013

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Published by Chris Sparsott
The GTO is a comprehensive analysis that
identifies and evaluates significant, disruptive technology trends that will lead to industrychanging
products and services over a three- to ten-year period
The GTO is a comprehensive analysis that
identifies and evaluates significant, disruptive technology trends that will lead to industrychanging
products and services over a three- to ten-year period

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Published by: Chris Sparsott on Apr 22, 2013
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04/23/2013

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IBM Research
Global TechnologyOutlook 2013
 
2
IBM Research
The 2013 Global Technology Outlook
Since 1982, IBM Research’s worldwide community o top scientists has created theGlobal Technology Outlook (GTO). The GTO is a comprehensive analysis that identies and evaluates signicant, disruptive technology trends that will lead to industry-changing products and services over a three- to ten-year period. IBM Research considersthe societal and business applications in which these technologies could be used – and theimpact that they will have on IBM and the world. The GTO has a history o inuencingIBM’s business and the Inormation Technology (IT) industry. In past years it haspredicted such emerging trends as virtual server security, optimized systems, pervasiveconnectivity and the rising importance o data and analytics.In the last hal century there have been three major waves o technology that have denedcomputing in the enterprise. The advent o the IBM System 360 in the 1960s enabled thesystems management o business processes and so-called “back oce” computing. Thebirth o the personal computer in the 1980s ushered in client-server computing. In the1990s and early 2000s, the commercialization o the Internet ueled the growth o the World Wide Web, revolutionizing culture and helping to create e-business. Today we have reached a new inection point and sit on the cusp o a ourth wave. This wave is characterized by the conuence o social, mobile and cloud technologies, therise o Big Data and the new kinds o analytics needed to create value in thisenvironment. The GTO 2013 ocuses on this conuence, which is transorming the way companies deliver millions o systems, sotware, and services to billions o users. While each technology driver is important when considered individually, thisconuence is ueling our “mega-trends” with signicant implications or enterprises:
Growing Scale / Lower Barrier of Entry:
 A massive expansion in the number o smart devices, sensors, transactions and users o digital technologies is creating hugeamounts o structured and unstructured data — while the rise o easy-to-use andafordable programming interaces is simultaneously lowering the barrier o entry orcompanies to create applications and services that derive value rom this data.
 
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IBM Research
Increasing Complexity / Yet More Consumable:
 While the volume, variety, velocity, and veracity o data is contributing to the increasing complexity o datamanagement and workloads — creating a greater need or advanced analytics todiscover insights — mobile devices have made technology more consumable, creatinguser demand or interactive tools or visual analytics.
Fast Pace:
Change is coming aster than ever — disruptive models or thedevelopment and consumption o technology are emerging to penetrate globalenterprise ecosystems, resulting in rapid innovation and decreased time-to-value.Open online courses are experiencing exponential growth making education andtraining more accessible.
Contextual Overload:
 The prolieration o sensors and devices and the explosivegrowth in structured and unstructured data are causing inormation and contextualoverload. With the increasing afordability and sophistication o smart devices, new opportunities exist to provide contextually aware and personalized services based onuser views, desires, preerences and location, delivered just-in-time. This report is designed or your organization to benet rom the exploration o theseinsights, just as we have at IBM.Dr. William R. LaFontaine Vice President, Technical Strategy IBM Research
Contents
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Mobile First
5
Scalable ServicesEcosystems 
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Sotware DefnedEnvironments 
 7 
Multimedia and Visual Analytics
9
Contextual Enterprise
11
Personalized Education
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