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PRIVATE CLIENT RESEARCH

TRADERS PLAYBOOK
APRIL 2, 2013

Shrikant Chouhan shrikant.chouhan@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6360

Amol Athawale amol.athawale@kotak.com +91 20 6620 3350

Premshankar Ladha premshankar.ladha@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6261

Traders Playbook
Scripts Action Stop loss NIFTYFUT BANKNIFTY-F RELIANCE SAIL RANBAXY TATASTEEL HDFC LT ONGC M&M MARUTI TATAMOTORS DLF BHARTIARTL LICHSGFIN RAYMOND TITAN JETAIRWAYS JSWSTEEL TECHM RELCAPITAL AXISBANK YESBANK SBIN INDUSINDBK ICICIBANK INFY TCS ACC AMBUJACEM BHEL RELINFRA TATAPOWER Buy at 176 Buy at 326 174 324 179 332 Buy at 302 300 308 Buy at 507 503 515 Buy at 248 246 252 Buy at 436 433 444 Target (Rs) Extreme 5628 11287 766 60 436 303 794 1345 304 824 1235 255 244 271 213 266 239 507 622 996 302 1234 425 1986 390 1011 2832 1497 1117 163 176 326 92 Supports Probable Achievable 5664 11358 771 61 441 306 805 1364 306 835 1250 259 248 279 215 269 243 513 630 1008 306 1249 428 2036 395 1024 2885 1526 1138 166 179 332 94 5686 11402 774 62 444 311 815 307 847 1268 262 250 286 221 276 251 526 647 314 1282 430 2065 405 Closings (Rs) Achievable 5721 11473 778.75 62.7 451.75 314.7 825.2 308.85 857.1 1283.8 265.5 253.2 293.65 226.55 283.1 254.75 539.95 663.2 322.15 1314.9 432.3 2090.6 415.7 5756 11544 784 64 459 319 835 1416 311 868 1300 269 256 301 232 290 261 547 671 1074 326 1348 435 2116 421 1065 2981 1576 1175 179 185 343 97 Resistance Probable 5778 11588 787 64 463 323 846 1433 312 879 1317 272 258 305 235 294 267 560 688 1102 334 1365 437 2145 431 1079 3003 1588 1184 181 186 346 98 Extreme 5814 11659 791 66 466 327 857 1452 314 890 1333 276 263 316 241 301 274 573 704 1135 342 1396 439 2195 441 1092 3057 1616 1205 185 189 352 100 Trend Levels 5682 11363 772.9 62.55 438.75 312.85 826.25 1366.2 311.4 861.3 1281.2 269.15 234.7 291.75 224.9 285.85 256.4 517.9 672.35 1059.5 312.7 1300.7 428.9 2072.75 404.7 1045.2 2889.35 1575.75 1159.2 174.2 177 324.45 96.5 % pft/ Loss 0.69% 0.97% 0.76% 0.24% 2.96% 0.59% -0.13% 2.38% -0.82% -0.49% 0.20% -1.36% 7.88% 0.65% 0.73% -0.96% -0.64% 4.26% -1.36% 0.16% 3.02% 1.09% 0.79% 0.86% 2.72% 0.61% 1.90% -1.20% 0.15% 0.03% 3.11% 4.41% -0.67% Strong Strong Strong Strong Strong Strong Weak Strong Weak Weak Strong Weak Strong Strong Strong Weak Weak Strong Weak Strong Strong Strong Strong Strong Strong Strong Strong Weak Strong Strong Strong Strong Weak Trend

1381 1398.65

1035 1061.15

1039 1051.55 2908 2944.2

1538 1556.85 1147 170 180 335 95 1160.9 174.25 182.5 338.75 95.85

Source:

Trading Tool changes daily and is valid only for the day. For Nifty and Bank Nifty, we have considered the F&O price For stocks, we have used cash price because of discount and premium variations. You can trade in cash segment or Futures using this as a base. If the cash segment is nearing the Stop Loss level, then it is recommended to exit the trade from the F&O segment irrespective of the discount or premium in cash levels.

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TRADERS PLAYBOOK

April 2, 2013

Closing Prices Closing price is that price at which a scrip closes on the previous day. Traders can start their intraday trade on this level. The stock or index should sustain above or below the closing price else you should exit the trade. Ideally, half a percent should be the stop loss above or below the closing price to enter the trade. Trend Trend is the level at which the tendency of Indices and Stocks can be identified. For best results, you can use the 'Trend Remarks' to trade. A 'Weak' trend means that traders can trade with a negative bias. If the trend is 'Strong', you can trade long with a positive bias. Base price should be the closing price. Achievable (Supp/Resis) It is the price which can be achieved if the Index/Stock trades above or below the closing price. During normal course of trading, first levels are important as one can take profits around first resistance and supports levels. Probable (Supp/Resis) It's a second resistance/support and can be achieved if stocks/indices are in trending mode. Events can lead stocks and indices to reach these levels. Extreme levels Sometimes, the stocks fall or rise to their average lowest or highest levels FOR THE DAY and that may act as an excellent contra buying or selling opportunity with a stop loss given in the table. This means buying around extreme support and selling around extreme resistance strictly with a given stop loss. For e.g. If the extreme support for Nifty is given at 5605, and in case the market comes down to similar levels, then you can initiate long positions with the given 'stop loss for long' in the column, say at 5585. If it breaks 5585 then the trader must exit the position. This is valid on both the sides.
Fundamental Research Team
Dipen Shah IT dipen.shah@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6301 Sanjeev Zarbade Capital Goods, Engineering sanjeev.zarbade@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6305 Teena Virmani Construction, Cement teena.virmani@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6302 Saurabh Agrawal Metals, Mining agrawal.saurabh@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6309 Saday Sinha Banking, NBFC, Economy saday.sinha@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6312 Arun Agarwal Auto & Auto Ancillary arun.agarwal@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6143 Ruchir Khare Capital Goods, Engineering ruchir.khare@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6448 Ritwik Rai FMCG, Media ritwik.rai@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6310 Sumit Pokharna Oil and Gas sumit.pokharna@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6313 Amit Agarwal Logistics, Transportation agarwal.amit@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6222 Jayesh Kumar Economy kumar.jayesh@kotak.com +91 22 6652 9172 K. Kathirvelu Production k.kathirvelu@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6311

Technical Research Team


Shrikant Chouhan shrikant.chouhan@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6360 Amol Athawale amol.athawale@kotak.com +91 20 6620 3350 Premshankar Ladha premshankar.ladha@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6261

Derivatives Research Team


Sahaj Agrawal sahaj.agrawal@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6343 Rahul Sharma sharma.rahul@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6198 Malay Gandhi malay.gandhi@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6350 Prashanth Lalu prashanth.lalu@kotak.com +91 22 6621 6110

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