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tekniksimulasi_peramalan01

tekniksimulasi_peramalan01

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Published by Fawaid Achmad

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Published by: Fawaid Achmad on May 13, 2013
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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06/17/2014

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PERAMALAN (
Forecast
)
Disajikan oleh:
Bernardus Budi Hartono
Web: http://pakhartono.wordpress.comE-mail: pakhartono at gmail dot combudihartono at acmdot org
Teknik Informatika [Gasal 2009 – 2010]
FTI - Universitas Stikubank Semarang
 
 
Peramalan (Forecast)
Peramalan Memprediksi mengenai apa yang akanterjadi di masa depan.Ingat! Masa depan tidak mungkin dapat diramalkansecara tepat sempurna, hanya dapat dilakukanmenggunakan
pendekatan
.Jika pendekatan tersebut tepat maka dilihat sebagaisuatu kebetulan.
Dua macam pendekatan- non-matematis (tidak akan dibahas lebih lanjut…)- matematis
 
 
Pendekatan...
Pendekatan secara non-matematis, contoh:- pengalaman di masa lalu- pengelihatan para ‘ahli’ (supranatural….)- kedekatan relasi- dsb…Pendekatan secara matematis, contoh:-Analisis seri waktu (
time series analysis 
)-Regresi (
regression method 
)-Metode kualitatif (
qualitative method 
)

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