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The Correlation Between HighwayDeaths and the US Economy
Figure 1: The annual US highway fatalities (y) plotted versus time (t) incalendar years. Thus, the US traffic fatalities have been generally decreasing,after reaching a peak in 1972 (with 54,589 traffic deaths). However, we seeshort periods of increasing deaths, during this overall decline and ever increasing VMT over the years.
Notice that this is NOT the “first” uptick
recorded. There have been several such upticks since the overall decline began in 2012.
The magnitude of the present uptick, from 32,367 in 2011 to theestimated 34,080 fatalities in 2012, an increase of 1713 fatalities per year,is quite high (based on historical standards) and must be closely watched.
25,00030,00035,00040,00045,00050,00055,00060,0001950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
U S H i g h w a y F a t a l i t i e s
Time t [Calendar years]
First (???)uptick in 2012after six straight years of decline since 2005(1972, 54,589)(2005, 43,510)