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Developing
recommendations
for
the
delivery
of
Integrated
Coastal
Zone
Management
(ICZM)
in
the
Menai
Strait
and
Conwy
Bay.
Alex
Midlen
and
Theresa
Redding
CCW
Policy
Research
Report
No.
08/28
©
CCGC/CCW
2009
You may reproduce this document free of charge for non-commercial purposes in any format or medium,provided that you do so accurately, acknowledging both the source and CCW's copyright, and do not use it in amisleading context.
This
is
a
report
of
research
commissioned
by
the
Countryside
Council
for
Wales.
However,
the
views
and
recommendations
presented
in
this
report
are
not
necessarily
those
of
the
Council
and
should,
therefore,
not
be
attributed
to
the
Countryside
Council
for
Wales
1
Report
Number:
08/28
Publication
Date:
April
2009
Contract
Number:
FC
73
‐
03
‐
355
Project
Officer:
Kirsty
Lindenbaum
Title:
Developing
recommendations
for
the
delivery
of
Integrated
Coastal
Zone
Management
(ICZM)
in
the
Menai
Strait
and
Conwy
Bay.
Authors:
Alex
Midlen
and
Theresa
Redding
Restrictions:
None
Distribution
List:
Core
CCW
HQ
Library
CCW
North
Region
Library,
Mold
CCW
North
Region
Library,
Bangor
CCW
South
East
Region
Library,
Cardiff
CCW
South
East
Region
Library,
Llandrindod
CCW
West
Region
Library,
Aberystwyth
National
Library
of
Wales
Welsh
Assembly
Government
Library
British
Library
CCW
Kirsty
Lindenbaum,
HQ
Kate
Smith,
North
Region
Tim
Jones,
North
Region
John
Ratcliffe,
North
Region
Neil
Smith,
North
Region
Euros
Jones,
North
Region
Other
Alun
Owen,
Anglesey
Council
Barry
Davies,
Cyngor
Gwynedd
Council
Christian
Branch,
Anglesey
Council
Euryn
Roberts,
Environment
Agency
Wales
Gwynne
Morris
Jones,
CPRW
Hugh
Knott,
Menter
Môn
Jane
Richardson,
National
Trust
Janet
Jones,
Welsh
Assembly
Government
Jean
Baker,
Menai
Community
Heritage
Trust
Kathryn
Beard,
Welsh
Assembly
Government
Nia
Haf
Jones,
North
Wales
Wildlife
Trust
‐
Marine
Awareness
North
Wales
Rhys
Jones,
Cyngor
Gwynedd
Council
Tom
Gravett,
Conwy
County
Borough
Council
Virginia
Prieto,
North
Western
&
North
Wales
Sea
Fisheries
Committee
2
CONTENTS
Executive
summary
1.
Introduction
9
1.1
Scoping
study
1.2
Background
1.3
Situation
analysis
2.
Planning
for
the
future
19
2.1
The
necessity
of
a
long
term
approach
2.2
Understanding
uncertainty
3.
Methodology
21
3.1
Forward
planning
in
an
uncertain
world
3.2
Identifying
principle
uncertainties
3.3
The
framework
scenarios
3.4
Scenario
narratives
4.
Using
the
scenarios
27
4.1
Stakeholder
feedback
4.2
Developing
the
action
plan
5.
Conclusions
and
Recommendations
33
5.1
Conclusions
5.2
Recommendations
Annex
I.
Scoping
study
tender
and
CoastNet
offer
47
Annex
2.
Driver
validation
and
prioritisation
53
Annex
3.
Stakeholder
responses
to
scenarios
71
Annex
4.
Vision
and
strategy
84
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