USDA: aquaculture23

Assessing InectiousDisease EmergencePotential in the U.S. Aquaculture Industry

Phase 2: Inectious Disease EmergenceQualitative Risk Assessment Tool:DevelopmentPhase 3: Inectious Disease EmergenceQualitative Risk Assessment Tool: Application and Results

United StatesDepartment o Agriculture Animal andPlant HealthInspectionServiceVeterinaryServicesCenter orEmergingIssuesJuly 2007

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Phases 2 and 3: Inectious Disease Emergence Qualitative Risk Assessment Tool Development, Application and Results i

Project Approach

.......................................................................1

Overview o Factors Associated with Inectious Disease Emergence in Aquaculture

....2

New Appearance and Evolution o Pathogens

................................................2

Pathways or Transboundary Spread

.......................................................3

Intracountry Spread

.....................................................................3

Project Overview

.......................................................................5

Phase 1: U.S. Aquaculture Industry Profle

...................................................5

Phase 2: Inectious Disease Emergence Qualitative Risk Assessment Tool Development

............5

Phase 3: Inectious Disease Emergence Qualitative Risk Assessment Tool Application and Results

...5

Phase 2: Inectious Disease Emergence Qualitative Risk AssessmentTool Development

.......................................................................6

Overview

..............................................................................6

Risk Factors

............................................................................6Risk Factor Categories....................................................................6Levels o Risk ...........................................................................8Primary and Secondary Factors.............................................................8

Evolution Element

.......................................................................9

Pathways Element

.....................................................................13

Spread Element

........................................................................15

Interpreting the Results

.................................................................17

Phase 3: Inectious Disease Emergence Qualitative Risk AssessmentTool Application and Results

...........................................................18

Disease Evolution Element

..............................................................18Catsh................................................................................18Salmon ...............................................................................19Saltwater Shrimp .......................................................................19Tilapia ................................................................................19

Pathways Element

.....................................................................19

Table o Contents