/  72
 
 
April 2009
The Impact of Expanding BiofuelProduction on GHG emissions
White paper #1: Accessing and interpreting existing data.
 
1
 
CONTENTSSUMMARY .....................................................................................................................................3
 
INTRODUCTION ..........................................................................................................................5
 
SCOPE AND AIM OF THE WHITE PAPER .............................................................................8
 
ASSESSING GHG IMPACTS OF BIOFUELS ...........................................................................9
 
A
TTRIBUTIONAL VS CONSEQUENTIAL LIFE CYCLE ANALYSIS
(LCA) .........................................10
 
B
IOFUELS AND CO
-
PRODUCTS
.....................................................................................................12
 
S
CALE OF ASSESSMENT
...............................................................................................................12
 
S
YSTEM
B
OUNDARIES
.................................................................................................................13
 
F
OSSIL
F
UEL
R
EFERENCE
............................................................................................................14
 
EXISTING STUDIES AND TOOLS FOR QUANTIFYING GHG EMISSIONS .................16
 
KEY METHODOLOGICAL CHOICES THAT INFLUENCE RESULTS ...........................17
 
A COMPARISON OF FUEL CHAIN GHG EMISSIONS.......................................................21
 
T
ECHNOLOGICAL
I
MPROVEMENTS
&
 
GHG
EMISSIONS
..............................................................28
 
UNDERSTANDING LIMITATIONS OF APPROACHES TO DATE ..................................30
 
F
UTURE POLICY
&
RISK OF DOUBLE
-
COUNTING
.........................................................................30
 
‘N
EW
CO
-
PRODUCTS
..................................................................................................................31
 
L
AND
U
SE
,
 
L
AND
U
SE
C
HANGE AND
GHG
EMISSIONS
..............................................................32
 
D
ATA UNCERTAINTIES
&
VARIABILITY
......................................................................................35
 
WHAT IMPACTS ON DECISION-MAKING MIGHT VALUING GHG REDUCTIONSHAVE? ..........................................................................................................................................37
 
D
OWNSTREAM INCENTIVES
........................................................................................................38
 
U
PSTREAM
GHG
 
I
NCENTIVES
.....................................................................................................40
 
I
MPACT OF INCENTIVES ON FEEDSTOCK PRODUCERS
..................................................................41
 
FINDINGS ....................................................................................................................................44
 
ANNEX A: GHG CRITERIA IN SUSTAINABILITY STANDARDS ...................................46
 
ANNEX B: EMISSION FACTORS ............................................................................................49
 
ANNEX C: BACKGROUND DATA & CALCULATIONS .....................................................57
 
REFERENCES .............................................................................................................................66
 
 
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This work has been funded by The David & LucilePackard Foundation. Winrock wishes to thank thenumerous organisations and individuals for providingand making available information and documentationon GHG-related topics including the Inter-AmericanDevelopment Bank, Roundtable on SustainableBiofuels, Global Bioenergy Partnership, BetterSugarcane Initiative, E4Tech UK, Steve Delgrosso(Colorado State University & USDA), Nigel Mortimer(North Energy Associates), Adrian Leip and RobertEdwards (EU Joint Research Centre), DavidMcLaughlin (WWF-US), Jean-Francois Larive(CONCAWE), Elke Stehfest (MNP), FOLicht, MairiBlack (Imperial College), Isiais Macedo (University of Campinas) and CTC, Brasil.
Winrock International aims tosupport the efficient developmentof sustainable biofuels standardsby assisting in providing access torelevant data on the technical,social, economic andenvironmental characteristics ofbiofuels.Winrock International will developthree technical White Papers onGHG emissions, the role of waterand building capacity to monitorstandards. Three country impactevaluations of applying standardsin national settings will beundertaken for the US, Brazil andIndonesia.This White Paper focuses onaccessing and interpreting data onGHG emissions related to biofuels.For questions or commentscontact:Jessica Chalmers or,David WaldenWinrock International1621 North Kent Street, Suite1200Arlington VA 22209+44 (0) 7985 499 061Email: jchalmers@winrock.org+1 (703) 525 9430Email: dwalden@winrock.org

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