AIR WAR COLLEGEAIR UNIVERSITY
NEGATING THE THREAT OF LIBYANWEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION
byPaul S. Land, Lieutenant Colonel, USAFA Research Report Submitted to the FacultyIn Partial Fulfillment of the Graduation RequirementsAdvisor: Dr. Barry Schneider Maxwell Air Force Base, AlabamaApril 2002
Disclaimer
The views expressed in this academic research paper are those of the author(s) anddo not reflect the official policy or position of the US government or the Department of Defense. In accordance with Air Force Instruction 51-303, it is not copyrighted, but isthe property of the United States government.ii
Contents
Page
DISCLAIMER....................................................................................................................iiILLUSTRATIONS..............................................................................................................vPREFACE..........................................................................................................................viABSTRACT......................................................................................................................viiINTRODUCTION...............................................................................................................1MUAMMAR QADHAFI’S MOTIVATION......................................................................4Muammar Qadhafi’s Quest for Power..........................................................................5Positive Signals?...........................................................................................................8LIBYA’S WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION........................................................12Biological Weapons....................................................................................................12 Nuclear Weapons........................................................................................................14Chemical Weapons.....................................................................................................15LIBYA’S WEAPONS DELIVERY SYSTEMS...............................................................20Aircraft........................................................................................................................20Artillery.......................................................................................................................21The Greatest Threat—Libya’s Missiles......................................................................21DETERRING MUAMMAR QADHAFI..........................................................................25Oil: Qadhafi’s Achilles Heel?.....................................................................................26Rogue States................................................................................................................26THE FUTURE OF U.S. – LIBYA RELATIONS.............................................................30Reasons for Qadhafi to Reconcile...............................................................................30Benefits of Reconciliation...........................................................................................34Reconciliation: America’s Requirements...................................................................35The Libyan Response..................................................................................................38Qadhafi’s Future?........................................................................................................39RECOMMENDATIONS..................................................................................................43CONCLUSION.................................................................................................................48iii
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The Greatest Threat—Libya’s Missiles for US Air Force: land
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