Today’sTabbloidPERSONALNEWSFORYOU 29April,2009
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Sherman,astatedepartmentofficialduringtheClintonadministration whonowworksfortheAlbrightGroup,aforeignpolicythinktank. “Itisatoneofleadingandlistening...[Understanding]thattheworldisa complicatedplace[and]theUnitedStatesalonecannotsolveallofthese problems,”shesays. “ButalsounderstandingthattheUShasaresponsibilitytolead,accepts thatresponsibility,willbeheldaccountableforthatresponsibility. “So,Ithinkthey’vegottenofftoatremendousstartinprobablythemost complexworldI’veseeninmylifetime.” ButcriticssaythatPresidentObama’sattemptstoreachouttoalliesto wintheirco-operationisagamblethathasnot(sofar)paidoff. CommentatorswritingaboutMrObama’striptoEuropesaiditwasa successonmanylevels,buthehadstillcomehomeempty-handedon issueslikeEuropeantroopcommitmentsforAfghanistan.
Changinglandscape
SofarMrObamahasdeliveredplentyofforeignpolicyvision,butlessin thewayofsubstance. Manyexpertssaythatiswhatthefirst100daysareallabout-butthe gapsneedtobefilledoutsoon. “Theadministrationhaslaunchedthecountryonanimportant diplomaticenterprise.Itnowneedstofulfilitsvisionwithadiplomatic plan,”wroteMrKissinger. Complicatingsomeofthepolicyformulationsisafast-changingworld. CrisisandconflictshaveeruptedinMexico,PakistanandevenIraq whereviolenceisrisingagain. Electionsarechangingthepoliticallandscapeinwhichthe administrationhastooperateandtheinterlocutorsitendsupwith,from BenjaminNetanyahuinIsraeltopotentialnewregimesinAfghanistan, Iraq,LebanonandIran. Bythepresident’ssideisastraight-talkingsecretaryofstatewithher ownstar-powerandsome60,000airmilesalreadyunderherbelt- HillaryClinton. Theadministration’snewemphasisondiplomacymeansthestate departmentissquarelybackattheheartofAmerica’seffortstoengage withtheworld,fromalliestorivals. Thepolicyformulationinthisadministrationisatightlycontrolled process,closelyco-ordinatedbetweentheWhiteHouse,theNational SecurityCouncilandthePentagon,witheverybodysofarseeminglyon- message. TherivalriesthatplaguedthefirsttermofGeorgeWBushhavebeen avoided,despiteacastofverypowerfulplayers.
Contrition‘doesnothing’
Butasheundoespastpolicies,BarackObamaisalsofacingcriticism, albeitfromexpectedsources. “Ithinkgoingabroadandbeingsocontriteforsomanyallegedsinsof theUnitedStatesisnotsomethingthatAmericanswanttoseeintheir leaderswhenthey’retravellingabroad,”saysJohnHannah,whowasan advisertoformerVice-PresidentDickCheney. Headdedthatthepolicyofcontritionwasnotevenprovingeffectivein changingthebehaviourofcountriesintheworldthatwereofconcernto theUS,likeIranorCuba. PresidentObamahastriedtoengagewithAmerica’slong-timefoe,Iran, issuingavideoaddresstoboththepeopleandleadersofIranandcalling thecountrybyitsofficialname,theIslamicRepublicIran,tosignalthat Washingtonwasnotseekingregimechange. OnCuba,hehasliftedrestrictionsontravelandremittancesforCuban- Americans,buthishandshakewithWashington’sbetenoire,Venezuelan PresidentHugoChavez,promptedcriticstosaythepresidenthadto avoidturningengagementintopandering. Thenewapproachishelpingtochangethemoodandperhapseventhe internaldynamicinplaceslikeTehranandHavana,asCubansand IraniansstarttodebatethebenefitsofengagementwiththeUS. Onherfirsttripabroad,MrsClintonsaidthatbyengaging“something positivemightactuallyhappen,youneverknow”. “Butifyoustandatoppositesidesoftheroomandrefusetoengage,it’s guaranteednothingwillhappen,”sheadded. Themomentumandgoodwillarestillthereandthevisionhasbeenlaid outinthefirst100days,butthenext1,000dayswilldeterminewhether thisadministrationwillbeabletoimplementitsvisionandachieve resultsorwhetherithasbittenoffmorethanitcanchewinacomplex world. Thebiggesttestsareyettocome.
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