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This Week at ISN 2013-06-14

This Week at ISN 2013-06-14

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Published by ISN Zurich
Following last week's context-setting discussion on South America's changing dynamics, this week we specifically look at how Brazil might boost its geopolitical influence; the economic and political challenges confronting Venezuela and Argentina; the current status of Colombia's peace negotiations with the FARC; and the region's possible political trajectory.
Following last week's context-setting discussion on South America's changing dynamics, this week we specifically look at how Brazil might boost its geopolitical influence; the economic and political challenges confronting Venezuela and Argentina; the current status of Colombia's peace negotiations with the FARC; and the region's possible political trajectory.

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Published by: ISN Zurich on Jun 14, 2013
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ETH ZurichInternational Relations and Security Networkwww.isn.ethz.ch
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This Week at ISNOur Weekly Editorial Roundup
10 – 14 June 2013JUMP TO
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South America: Issues in Focus
Following last week's context-setting discussion onSouth America's changing dynamics, this week we specifically look at how Brazil might boost its geopolitical influence; the economic and political challenges confronting Venezuela andArgentina; the current status of Colombia's peace negotiations with the FARC; and the region's possible politicaltrajectory.
10 June 2013
Inadequate resources and institutional capacity have limited Brazil's geopolitical influence in South America, or so argueour partners at Stratfor. They also believe, however, that Brasilia can reverse these shortcomings by better protecting itscoastline and selectively expanding into its vast interior and Rio de la Plata region.» More
11 June 2013
 The death of Hugo Chávez has created a dangerous power vacuum in Venezuela. We rely on the work done by three of our partners to identify the actual nature of this vacuum and some of the steps different actors might take to preventfurther instability in a post-Chávez society.» More
12 June 2013
Over a decade after Argentina's sovereign default in 2001, there are worrisome signs that its economy may be slidingback into crisis. Former Argentine Minister of Economy Domingo Cavallo profiles Argentina's economic status, which hedescribes as a "ticking time-bomb.» More
13 June 2013
A recent agreement on rural land reform might suggest that talks between Bogota and the FARC are making progress,but Antonio Sampaio isn't so sure. He argues that conflict over land ownership is a real possibility and that some localFARC leaders remain as committed as ever to their decades-old struggle.» More
14 June 2013
What social, economic and political factors are likely to shape Latin America over the next 50 years? To answer thisquestion, we present "Latin America 2060: Consolidation or Crisis?" which is produced by the Pardee Center for theStudy of the Longer-Range Future» More
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Security Watch
10 June 2013
Italy's most recent elections left the impression that it is a politically divided and seemingly ungovernable country. Thatmay seem like a familiar tale, argues Roberto Mastroianni, but the election results actually reflect a 20-yeartransformation in Italian politics and a new capacity to export instability.» More
11 June 2013
Nawaz Sharif's third term as Pakistan's Prime Minister is likely to cast a dark shadow over Afghanistan's efforts to rebuilditself, or so write Hafizullah Gardesh and Mina Habbib. To many Afghans, his campaign promise to no longer supportcounterterrorism operations confirms that he is a 'long-term enemy.» More
 
12 June 2013
Will Armenia sign up to the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement with the European Union this comingNovember? Robert Coalson believes it will and that it marks yet another attempt by Yerevan to rebalance its ties withRussia.» More
13 June 2013
The recent European Security Conference in Moscow confirmed that Russia and NATO remain poles apart on ballisticmissile defenses and conventional forces. But it's not all bad news, notes Richard Weitz. Both sides still seecounterterrorism as an ideal way to promote deeper Russia-NATO cooperation.» More
14 June 2013
The decision to annul former President Efrain Rios Montt's conviction for genocide angered many Guatemalans. JordanKatz believes that to ensure justice the international community must pressure Guatemala's courts to uphold the originalconviction.» More
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Blog
10 June 2013
Peace mediation presents its practitioners with a fluid set of ever-changing problems. A first and necessary step to stayabreast of them, argues the CSS' Simon Mason, is for mediators to make a full and frank appraisal of the current issuesand dilemmas that they face.» More
11 June 2013
Western media and policymakers are wrong about Iran's nuclear program, or so argue Peter Oborne and DavidMorrison. Not only has Tehran not developed nuclear weapons, since 2007 the US intelligence community hasn'tbelieved in the existence of such a program. So why the misconceptions?» More
12 June 2013
Davide Tentori doubts that US-EU negotiations later this year will result in the creation of the biggest free trade zone inthe world. Nevertheless, he remains convinced that a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership would be ageopolitical powerhouse, if not quite an 'Economic NATO'.» More
13 June 2013
In the latest ISN-CSS roundtable event, Gary LaFree used data from the Global Terrorism Database to dispel a number of public policy "myths" about terrorism. As William Rooke points out, however, the picture of terrorism generated fromthe raw data may not necessarily be the whole story.» More
14 June 2013
 Adding ballistic missile defenses in the Arctic would probably not affect the day-to-day security dynamics of the region.However, it would be naïve to think that they wouldn't irritate the likes of Russia, the United States and China, writesErnie Regehr, and therefore taint their broader security concerns.» More
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Video
In this video, Kathryn Hochstetler, who is CIGI's Chair of Governance in the Americas, discusses Brazil's status as anemerging power, to include its growing presence across Latin America and the world.» More

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