Sustainability Foresight 3
approach is entitled Sustainability Foresight and comprises thefollowing three steps:(A) Exploration of transformation dynamics: Construction of alternative paths of transformation in participatory scenario workshops, identification of highly dynamic fields of innovation.(B) Sustainability assessment: Elicitation of evaluation criteriaheld by different stakeholders and discursive assessment of innovations with respect to sustainability impacts.(C) Development of strategies: Analysis of options andconstraints for actors to shape transformation, development of measures to modulate innovation processes with respect tosustainability.The method was developed and is currently being probed in theGerman utility system. By utility system we refer to the provisionof electricity, natural gas, water and telecommunications.
Thesesectors show similar characteristics with respect to stability,change and sustainability as described for electricity. TheSustainability Foresight method aims at providing a platform forcollective, future oriented learning across the sectors and differentaction domains of production, consumption and regulation.The approach was developed against the background of fundamental challenges linked to bringing about sustainabledevelopment which are particularly acute in the context of thetransformation of complex socio-technical systems like electricity.Conventional problem-solving routines which are based on amechanistic steering paradigm cannot be applied in this case, because the central underlying presumptions do not hold. Whereas conventional problem-solving requires
The work is supported through the programme on socio-ecologicalresearch by the German Federal Ministry for Education and Research( www.sozial-oekologische-forschung.org). The project title is „Integratedmicrosystems of supply. Dynamics, sustainability and shaping of transformation processes in network-bound infrastructures [
Integrierte Mikrosysteme der Versorgung. Dynamik, Nachhaltigkeit und Gestaltungvon Transformationsprozessen in netzgebundenen Versorgungssystemen