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identifies a set of success criteria against which the consequences of identified risks can bemeasured; and
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defines a set of key elements for structuring the risk identification and assessment process.Context inputs include the execution strategy, the cost and schedule assumptions, scope definitions,engineering designs and studies, economic analyses, and any other relevant documentation.The output from this stage is a concise statement of the company objectives and specific criteria forsuccess, the objectives and scope for the risk assessment itself, and a set of key elements forstructuring the risk identification process in the next stage.Identify Risks: Risk identification sets out to identify an company’s exposure to uncertainty. Everycompany faces different risks, based on its business, the economic, social and political factors, thefeatures of the industry it operates in – like the degree of competition, the strengths and weaknesses of its competitors, availability of raw material, factors internal to the company like the competence andoutlook of the management, state of industry relations, dependence on foreign markets for inputs,sales, or finances, capabilities of its staff, and other innumerable factors. Each corporate needs toidentify the possible sources of risks and the kinds of risks faced by it. This requires an intimateknowledge of the company, the market in which it operates, the legal, social, political and culturalenvironment in which it exists, as well as the development of a sound understanding of its strategicand operational objectives, including factors critical to its success and the threats and opportunitiesrelated to the achievement of these objectives.The risk identification process must be comprehensive, as risks that have not been identified cannot beassessed, and their emergence at a later time may threaten the success of the company and causeunpleasant surprises. Risk identification should be approached in a methodical way to ensure that allsignificant activities within the company have been identified and all the risks flowing from theseactivities defined. A number of techniques can be used for risk identification, but brainstorming is apreferred method because of its flexibility and capability, when appropriately structured, of generatinga wide and diverse range of risks.Information used in the risk identification process may include historical data, theoretical analysis,empirical data and analysis, informed opinions, and the concerns of stakeholders.The output is a comprehensive list of possible risks, usually in the form of a risk register, withmanagement responsibilities allocated to them. A list of the most important categories of risks is thefollowing
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Business risk, is the risk of failing to achieve business targets due to inappropriate strategies,inadequate resources or changes in the economic or competitive environment.
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Credit risk, is the risk that a counterparty may not pay amounts owed when they fall due.
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Sovereign risk the credit risk associated with lending to the government itself or a partyguaranteed by the government.
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Market risk, is the risk of loss due to changes in market prices. This includes
interest rate risk
foreign exchange risk
commodity price risk
share price risk
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Liquidity risk the risk that amounts due for payment cannot be paid due to a lack of availablefunds.
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Carl Olsson, “Risk Management in Emerging Markets. How to survive and prosper.”
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