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43399
Federal Register
/Vol. 69, No. 138/Tuesday, July 20, 2004/Notices
DEPARTMENT OF ENERGYBonneville Power AdministrationOpportunity for Public Comment;Bonneville Power Administration
sPolicy Proposal for Power Supply Rolefor Fiscal Years 2007
2011
AGENCY
:
Bonneville PowerAdministration (BPA), Department of Energy.
ACTION
:
Notice of Regional Dialoguepolicy proposal and opportunity forpublic comment.
SUMMARY
:
BPA is publishing a policyproposal stating how the agencyproposes to market power and distributethe costs and benefits of the FederalColumbia River Power System (FCRPS)in the Pacific Northwest for Fiscal Years(FY) 2007
2011. This proposal isintended to clarify BPA
s obligation tosupply power to its regional powercustomers and guide BPA in developingand establishing its firm power rates inthe future. Clarifying these issues willcreate valuable certainty for customersover their BPA power supply. Finalpolicy decisions will be made by BPAin December 2004 after all publiccomments have been reviewed.
DATES
:
Public comments will beaccepted through September 22, 2004.Public meeting dates are included in the
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION
section below.
ADDRESSES
:
Written comments should be submitted to Bonneville PowerAdministration, P.O. Box 14428,Portland OR 97293
4428. Commentscan also be sent via e-mail to
comment@bpa.gov 
or submitted on-lineat
http://www.bpa.gov/comment.
Theproposal is also available at
http:// www.bpa.gov/power/regionaldialogue.
 Helen Goodwin, Regional Dialogueproject manager, is the officialresponsible for the development of theRegional Dialogue proposal.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
:
 Helen Goodwin, Regional Dialogueproject manager, at (503) 230
3129.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION
:
Schedule of public meetings:1. August 17, 2004, 6 to 8 p.m.,Seattle, Wash.
MountaineersHeadquarters, Olympus Room, 300Third Avenue West.2. August 19, 2004, 6:30 to 8:30 p.m.,Eugene, Ore.
Eugene Water & ElectricBoard, 500 East 4th Avenue.3. August 26, 2004, 6 to 8 p.m.,Spokane, Wash.
Airport Ramada Inn,8909 Airport Road.4. August 31, 2004, 6 to 8 p.m., Boise,Idaho
Boise Centre on the Grove, 850W. Front Street.5. September 9, 2004, 6 to 8 p.m.,Portland, Ore.
East PortlandCommunity Center, 740 SE 106thAvenue.6. September 15, 2004, 5 to 7 p.m.,Kalispell, Mont.
WestCoast KalispellCenter Hotel, 20 North Main Street.Any changes or additions to thismeeting schedule will be posted onBPA
s Regional Dialogue Web site at
http://www.bpa.gov/power/ regionaldialogue.
Table of Contents
I. The Origins of Regional DialogueII. Scope of the ProposalIII. Council Recommendations on BPA
sFuture RoleIV. Link to FY 2007
2011 Strategic DirectionA. The Report to the RegionB. Strategic DirectionC. Customer and Stakeholder Comments onthe Agency VisionV. BPA Loads and Resources FY 2007
2011VI. An Integrated Strategy for FY 2007
2011A. FY 2007
2011 Rights to Lowest-CostPriority Firm (PF) RateB. Tiered RatesC. Term of the Next Rate PeriodD. Service to Publics with Expiring Five-Year Purchase Commitments that Do NotContain Lowest PF Rate Guaranteethrough FY 2011E. Service to New Publics and AnnexedInvestor-Owned Utility (IOU) LoadsF. Product AvailabilityG. Service to Direct Service Industries(DSIs)H. Service to New Large Single Loads(NLSL)I. Service to Residential and Small-FarmConsumers of Investor-Owned Utilities(IOUs) J. Conservation ResourcesK. Renewable ResourcesL. Controlling Costs and Consulting withBPA
s StakeholdersVII. Long-Term IssuesA. Proposed Long-Term Policy: LimitingBPA
s Long-Term Load ServiceObligation at Embedded Cost Rates forPacific Northwest Firm RequirementsLoadsB. Proposed Schedule for Long-Term IssueResolutionVIII. Risk AnalysisIX. Environmental AnalysisX. Next Steps
I. The Origins of Regional Dialogue
BPA is engaged in the RegionalDialogue process as part of its effort toprovide clarity around key issues theagency and region will face when thecurrent rate period ends with FY 2006.BPA
s immediate goal is to decideissues for the FY 2007
2011 period thatprepare the way for setting rates for thenext rate period while assuring that theagency
s long-term strategic goals andits long-term responsibilities to theregion are aligned.BPA must make and carry out policydecisions that promote the developmentof a cost-effective electric industryinfrastructure and protect the value of the existing Federal system for theregion in the long run without shiftingrisk to U.S. taxpayers.These decisions will providecustomers greater clarity about theirFederal power supply so that they canplan effectively for the future and makecapital investments in long-termelectricity infrastructure, if they sochoose. This process and ongoing effortswithin the Western Interconnection andthe Pacific Northwest to developresource adequacy metrics will providenecessary transparency to the region
sload serving entities regarding theamount of resources needed to serveload. BPA
s strategic interest is toimprove this clarity soon to avoidcreating significant risk for the region
sratepayers that would come fromdelaying the development of thenecessary infrastructure. Delays couldcreate imbalance between supply anddemand, which could in turn causeexcessive price levels and volatility.The Regional Dialogue began in April2002 when a group of BPA
s PacificNorthwest electric utility customerssubmitted a
‘‘
joint customer proposal
’’
 to BPA. This proposal focused onsettling the outstanding litigation on theResidential Exchange ProgramSettlement Agreement signed in 2000,as well as on determining how to marketFederal power and distribute the costsand benefits of the FCRPS for 20 years.Although BPA agreed with substantialportions of the proposal, there were alsoareas of disagreement, such as themethodology and magnitude of benefitspotentially offered to investor-ownedutilities (IOUs) for the benefit of theirresidential and small-farm consumers.In June 2002, BPA and the NorthwestPower and Conservation Council(Council) jointly initiated a publicprocess regarding BPA
s marketing of Federal power post-2006. In September2002, several jointly sponsored publicmeetings were held throughout theregion for interested parties to discusstheir proposals and provide new ideasand suggestions. BPA and the Councilaccepted comments and proposals fromall interested parties. This phase of theRegional Dialogue ended when theCouncil submitted finalrecommendations on
‘‘
The Future Roleof Bonneville
’’
to BPA in December2002.In February 2003, faced with acontinuing financial crisis, BPAannounced that it would proceed witha rate-setting process for the Safety NetCost Recovery Adjustment Clause (SNCRAC). Consequently, BPA decided thatthe Regional Dialogue discussions
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Federal Register
/Vol. 69, No. 138/Tuesday, July 20, 2004/Notices
should take on a slower, more deliberatepace, focusing only on a couple of keyitems, such as the level of benefits forthe residential and small-farmconsumers of the region
s IOUs, untilthe rate case concluded.In a June 5, 2003, letter, the governorsof the four Pacific Northwest statesencouraged BPA and the Council tojointly restart the Regional Dialogue. Inresponse, BPA and the Council hosteda series of informal meetings withcustomers and interested partiesthroughout the region in the fall of 2003.Shortly thereafter, the Council releaseda set of principles and an issue paperentitled
‘‘
Proposed Council Principlesfor the Future Role of the BonnevillePower Administration in PowerSupply
’’
for public comment. Followingthe close of comment in December 2003,the Council held several workgroupmeetings aimed at gathering input fromcustomers and others to help guide itsnext round of recommendations on thefuture role of BPA in power supply.Following conclusion of theworkgroup meetings, the Councilreleased in April 2004 its draftrecommendations on
‘‘
The Future Roleof the Bonneville Power Administrationin Power Supply
’’
and took publiccomment. Those recommendations werefinalized and sent to BPA in May 2004.In February 2004, BPA sent a letter tothe region updating BPA
s plans forresolving Regional Dialogue issues. Thisletter included a plan to present thispolicy proposal to the region forcomment by the end of June 2004.
II. Scope of the Proposal
BPA
s current firm power rates expireat the end of FY 2006 while nearly allof BPA
s regional power sales contractscontinue through FY 2011. BPA believesits first priority in the Regional Dialoguemust be to resolve policy issues thatlikely will influence the next rate caseand which must otherwise be made before 2007. This is the focus of thisproposal.In the February 2004 letter, BPAidentified issues that are a priority toresolve for the FY 2007
2011 period.While this Regional Dialogue proposalfocuses primarily on the FY 2007
2011issues, key long-term questions remainunanswered. BPA is committed toresolving the long-term issues soon afterthe conclusion of this current process. Aproposed process and schedule forresolving these issues is included inSection VII.B. BPA is strongly motivatedto meet that schedule with the greatestdegree of regional alignment possible.However, even if regional consensusdoes not emerge, BPA is committed toresolving the longer-term issues of whohas the obligation to serve. BPA intendsto make decisions based on the scheduleoutlined in Section VII.B.
III. Council Recommendations onBPA’s Future Role
BPA thoroughly examined theCouncil
s recommendations as itdeveloped this proposal. This reviewshowed that BPA
s proposal and theCouncil
s recommendations differrelatively little where the two addressthe same issues. BPA has intentionallylimited the scope of this proposalprimarily to issues that have to beresolved for FY 2007
2011.Consequently, issues such as the long-term
‘‘
allocation
’’
of the system are notaddressed. As already mentioned, BPAagrees with the Council over theimportance of these long-term issuesand proposes a schedule for theirresolution in Section VII.B.Overall, BPA and the Council agreeon the overall goals of the RegionalDialogue process
resolution of BPA
slong-term role in providing power toregional customers at the lowestembedded cost-based rate, andcapturing that role in long-termcontracts and rates as soon as possibleto create a durable solution. Thisproposal is the first step toward meetingthese goals.
IV. Link to FY 2007–2011 StrategicDirection
The financial impacts of the WestCoast energy crisis of 2000
2001 ledmany utilities to examine their policiesand approaches to their power supply.BPA is no exception. Over the past year,BPA has invested much time and effortin strategic planning. The agency is inthe process of finalizing its strategicdirection with emphasis on FY 2007
2011.This re-examination of BPA
s missionand values is, along with comments andadvice from the Council, customers, andother regional stakeholders, informingthe agency
s approach to the RegionalDialogue process.
A. The Report to the Region
In early 2003, BPA initiated a detailedexamination of the events that began in2000 that led to the significant rateincreases and deterioration of BPA
sfinancial condition. On April 18, 2003,BPA released a Report to the Region thatincluded lessons the agency hadlearned, with the intention of translatingthose lessons into future actions.Among a number of other lessons, thereport noted that the level of BPA
scosts and risks are driven heavily by theload obligations BPA assumes. Meetingthose obligations was a large driver of BPA
s cost and rate levels. The reportpointed out that the amount of risk(market volatility and uncertainty) to bemanaged in the region
s power systemhas grown substantially in recent years,and the fraction of that risk that BPAcan absorb has gotten smaller. Thereport also noted that BPA must avoidthe need to acquire large amounts of power on short notice to meet demand.There were also a number of recommendations for processimprovement in cost management,decision making, risk analysis, andcommunications that BPA has put intoplace agency wide and used indeveloping this proposal.The Regional Dialogue proposal has been developed specifically with thoselessons in mind, particularly to resolvethe agency
s load uncertainty as soon aspossible and provide customers with thecertainty they need.
B. Strategic Direction
The Report to the Region highlightedthe need for BPA to have a clear andsteady strategy and manage to clearobjectives. In response, the agencydevoted a significant amount of time inthe last year to clarifying its strategicdirection.BPA
s strategic direction establishesthe agency
s most important objectivesand the actions that will help it manageto these objectives. The strategicdirection calls on BPA to advance thePacific Northwest
s future leadership infour core values
high reliability, lowrates consistent with sound businessprinciples, responsible environmentalstewardship, and clear accountability tothe region.It should come as no surprise that thesubjects to be covered in the RegionalDialogue process are well represented inthe agency
s strategic direction,particularly with regard to BPA
s role asa low-cost provider and for clearregional accountability. The strategicdirection guiding this proposalincludes:1.
Regional InfrastructureDevelopment:
BPA policies encourageregional actions that ensure adequate,efficient, and reliable transmission andpower service.2.
Conservation and Renewables:
 Development of all cost-effective energyefficiency to meet BPA loads,facilitation of regional renewableresources, and adoption of cost-effectivenon-construction alternatives totransmission expansion.3.
Benefits to Residential and Small-Farm Consumers of IOUs:
The post-2011 benefit that BPA provides to IOUsfor their residential and small-farm
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Federal Register
/Vol. 69, No. 138/Tuesday, July 20, 2004/Notices
consumers is equitable based on theNorthwest Power Act.4.
Rates:
BPA
s lowest firm powerrates to public preference customers areconsistent with sound businessprinciples, reflect the cost of theundiluted Federal Base System (FBS)and are below market for comparableproducts, are predictable, and have lowvolatility.5.
Service to Direct Service Industrial Customers (DSIs):
Explore a post-2006DSI service option with a known orcapped value.6.
Regional Stakeholder Satisfaction:
 Customer, constituent, and tribalsatisfaction, trust, and confidence meettargeted levels.7.
Management:
Collaborativecustomer/constituent/tribalrelationships are supported bymanaging to clear long-term objectiveswith reliable results.8.
Cost Recovery:
Consistent costrecovery over time.9.
Treasury Payment:
BPA will planto achieve and maintain a Treasurypayment probability (TPP) that is theequivalent of a 95 percent probabilityfor a two-year period and 88 percent fora five-year period. Options for achievingthis goal include, but are not limited to,Cost Recovery Adjustment Clauses(CRACs) and Planned Net Revenue forRisk (PNRR).10.
Ratepayer and Taxpayer Interests:
 FCRPS assets are managed to protectratepayer and taxpayer interests for thelong-term.11.
Best Practices:
Best practices (withemphasis on cost performance andsimplicity) are obtained in key systemsand processes.12.
Risk:
Risks are managed withinacceptable bounds. An additionalprinciple guiding the Regional Dialogueis:13.
Legal Criteria:
Approaches orpolicy options should not requirelegislative change and should minimizelegal risk.
C. Customer and Stakeholder Commentson the Agency Vision
In the spring of 2004, BPA publiclyreleased information about its long-termstrategic direction as a springboard fordiscussions with customers and otherstakeholders. The issues addressed inthe strategic direction, as mentionedabove, serve as the foundation for theRegional Dialogue. Account Executivesheld informal meetings andconversations with customers anddiscussed and recorded their comments.Some customers, as well as otherconstituents, also submitted writtencomments.In the process of developing thisproposal, BPA analyzed and considered388 comments related to RegionalDialogue issues. Many who commentedsaid that allocation of the system is ahigh priority issue and that theappropriate timing is now. Theycautioned that discussions regardingBPA
s long-term obligation to serve atembedded cost rates for PacificNorthwest firm requirements loads andrelated decisions would be difficult, andtheir objections to tiered rates weremuch more frequent than support.Commenters said that any allocationshould be done before entering into theprocess to tier power rates.
V. BPA Loads and Resources FY 2007
2011
In order to match BPA
s firm powerobligation for FY 2007
2011 to itsresources, this discussion needs to beginwith a clear understanding of BPA
scurrent loads and resources.For the FY 2007
2011 period, BPAprojects that firm power salesobligations will exceed firm Federalresources, with the difference growingfrom a deficit of about 15 averagemegawatts (aMW) in FY 2007 to about190 aMW by FY 2011. Although it willhave to be carefully managed, a deficitof this size does not create the samedegree of cost and rate risk exposure asthat BPA faced in 2000
2001 when theagency was preparing to solve the 3,300aMW deficit it faced for FY 2002
2006.Historically, the system has remained in balance either by BPA making powerpurchases or through customer loadreductions consistent with then-effective contractual terms andconditions. The price of solving BPA
s3,300 aMW deficit has been a 50 percentincrease in BPA
s wholesale powerrates.BPA assesses its loads and resourcesin its annual Loads and ResourcesStudy, or
‘‘
Whitebook,
’’
as well as in theforecasts used to set firm power rates.These studies, which are a compilationof load and resource projections,provide a synopsis of BPA
s loads andresources analyses. They share threemajor interrelated components: (1)BPA
s Federal system load forecast; (2)BPA
s Federal system resource forecast;and (3) load and resource balances.The Federal system load forecast isthe forecast of firm energy sales thatBPA expects to make during the FY2007
2011 period. It comprisesaggregated net requirements salesforecasts for public utilities and Federalagencies, DSI customers, IOUs, andother BPA contractual obligations.The majority of BPA
s public utilityand Federal agency customers havecontracts that continue throughSeptember 30, 2011. A small number of contracts terminate or contain off-rampsas of September 30, 2006. For thisestimate, BPA assumes public utilitysales to Block and Slice/Blockcustomers will equal their currentcontractual amounts, including step-upsin 2007, and that BPA will continue toserve those loads during the FY 2007
2011 period. There are no sales to theDSIs and no deliveries of power to theIOUs assumed during the FY 2007
2011period because contracts currently donot call for deliveries to any of thesecustomers. In fact, recently signedagreements with the IOUs explicitlystate that there will not be any powersales for FY 2007
2011.The forecast of available generatingand contract resources includes theoutput of Federally-owned hydrogeneration, non-Federally-ownedresources (hydro, thermal, and windprojects), exchange energy associatedwith BPA
s existing capacity-for-energyexchanges, power purchases, and otherBPA hydro-related contracts. Firmhydro resources are based on 1937critical water conditions under the 2000Biological Opinion that wasimplemented December 20, 2000, andincorporates changes associated inhydro regulation 03SN67a and up to 172aMW of hydro improvements by FY2012. The thermal firm resource isColumbia Generating Station. Examplesof non-Federally owned resourcesinclude the Foote Creek 1, 2, and 4,Stateline, Condon, and Klondike Phase1 wind projects; Ashland solar; Waunacogeneration and Cowlitz Falls andDworshak hydro.To calculate the BPA load resource balance, BPA compares Federal systemfirm energy loads with Federal systemenergy outputs for each month of thestudy period years. The results of thiscomparison yield the monthly andannual firm energy surplus or deficit of the Federal system.
VI. An Integrated Strategy for FY 2007
2011
A. FY 2007 
– 
2011 Rights to Lowest-Cost Priority Firm (PF) Rate
Most current 10-year Subscriptioncontracts with public utility customerscontain a guarantee that BPA will applythe lowest cost-based PF ratesthroughout the remaining term of theSubscription power sales contracts.Three five-year contracts also containthis 10-year guarantee.Upon review, BPA believes thiscontractual guarantee is clear.Accordingly, even if BPA were to adopta tiered-rate design during the term of 
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