June 28, 2013

If you no longer wish to receive this free newsletter, CLICK HERE to unsubscribe

The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools available from In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information. The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing. If you are not yet a member of ValuEngine's stock analysis service, sign up now for a two-week free trial at www.valuengine.com! ValuEngine.com.

VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up 70% of our universe and 33.7% of the universe is calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. 15 of 16 sectors are calculated to be overvalued. MARKET OVERVIEW

Index
DJIA NASDAQ RUSSELL 2000 S&P 500

Week Open
14795.79 3326.38 956.93 1588.77

Thurs Close
15024.49 3401.86 979.92 1613.2

Change
228.7 75.48 22.99 24.43

% Change
1.55% 2.27% 2.40% 1.54%

YTD
14.14% 11.19% 15.08% 12.85%

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 29.71% 70.29% 11.48% 33.68%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities

Change
1.12% 1.60% 1.15% 0.98% 1.27% 1.94% 1.33% 0.90% 0.98% 1.37% 0.97% 1.33% 0.76% 1.17% 1.13% 1.61%

MTD
0.22% 0.82% -7.64% -0.59% 0.61% -1.61% 0.38% -0.47% -0.92% -1.83% 0.70% -4.33% -2.70% -1.04% -2.95% -1.72%

YTD
20.62% 26.83% -3.32% 14.79% 18.04% 23.62% 22.82% 10.96% 17.70% 20.01% 20.03% 1.10% 7.55% 25.68% 19.43% 8.08%

Valuation
22.42% overvalued 18.62% overvalued 12.31% undervalued 12.06% overvalued 23.74% overvalued 11.18% overvalued 14.88% overvalued 15.79% overvalued 16.65% overvalued 12.28% overvalued 17.14% overvalued 7.01% overvalued 8.01% overvalued 21.76% overvalued 20.96% overvalued 8.99% overvalued

Last 12MReturn
32.60% 32.47% -28.69% 20.26% 14.81% 34.20% 22.99% 14.00% 17.94% 21.11% 13.96% 15.55% 6.57% 30.22% 16.80% 7.04%

P/E Ratio
17.76 18.08 18.49 21.39 27.81 23.52 23.73 19.77 17.11 18.56 25.59 14.65 25.93 21.96 19.92 18.78

Sector TalkConstruction
Below, we present the latest data on leading Construction Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Construction Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
RVLT LPX BZH PHM ICA

Name
REVOLUTION LT LOUISIANA PAC BEAZER HOMES PULTE GROUP ONC EMPRESAS ICA

Mkt Price
3.9 15.12 17.76 19.38 7.42

Valuation(%)
N/A -18.17 -26.17 22.39 -63.89

Last 12-M Retn(%)

1400 42.37 15.32 96.15 10.09

Top-Five Construction Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
RVLT LPX BZH PHM ICA

Name
REVOLUTION LT LOUISIANA PAC BEAZER HOMES PULTE GROUP ONC EMPRESAS ICA

Mkt Price
3.9 15.12 17.76 19.38 7.42

Valuation(%)
N/A -18.17 -26.17 22.39 -63.89

Last 12-M Retn(%)

1400 42.37 15.32 96.15 10.09

Top-Five Construction Sector Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
LPX CBI KBR ICA PHM

Name
LOUISIANA PAC CHICAGO BRIDGE KBR INC EMPRESAS ICA PULTE GROUP ONC

Mkt Price
15.12 59.72 32.65 7.42 19.38

Valuation(%)
-18.17 -4.75 -5.53 -63.89 22.39

Last 12-M Retn(%)

42.37 67.85 39.11 10.09 96.15

Top-Five Construction Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
NCS TXI SPF CX PGTI

Name
NCI BLDG SYSTEM TEXAS INDS STANDARD PAC CEMEX SA ADR PGT INC

Mkt Price
15.78 67.74 8.46 10.65 8.64

Valuation(%)
300 71.02 69.77 56.76 46.95

Last 12-M Retn(%)

50 78.88 46.11 75.25 205.3

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know, ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a variety of portfolio screening and creation tools. If you are reading this you should sign up for ValuEngine's award-winning To Sign Up for a stock valuation and forecast FREE TRIAL, service Please Click HERE NO OBLIGATION, 30 DAY FREE TRIAL!

Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers, we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Detailed Stock Valuation Reports--this report is normally $25.00 This week's free download is our report on Brown-Forman Corporation (BF.B). Brown-Forman Corporation is a producer and marketer of fine quality beverage alcohol brands. The brands include Jack Daniel's, Southern Comfort, Finlandia, Canadian Mist, Fetzer, Korbel, Gentleman Jack, el Jimador, Tequila Herradura, Sonoma-Cutrer, Chambord, Tuaca, Woodford Reserve, and Bonterra. They globally market and sell various categories of beverage alcohol products, such as Tennessee, Canadian, and Kentucky whiskies; Kentucky bourbons; California sparkling wine; tequila; table wine; liqueurs; vodka; and readyto-drink products. They sell their wine and spirits brands either through wholesale distributors or in states that directly control alcohol sales, state governments that then sell to retail customers and consumers. Their main international markets are the U.K., Australia, Mexico, Poland, Germany, France, Spain, Italy, South Africa, China, Japan, Canada, and Russia. ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on BROWN FORMAN B for 2013-06-27. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that BROWN FORMAN B has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and Sharpe Ratio.

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Brown-Forman HERE.

What's Hot-Suttmeier in the News

ValuEngine.com Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier has been making the financial media rounds again. Click the image below to listen to Suttmeier's recent appearance with Frank Curzio on the Frank Stansberry Radio Show "S&A Investor Radio." Suttmeier discusses his prediction that the DOW may fall another 2000 points by the end of 2013 and provides investors with his pick for the right sector to invest in right now.

Now YOU can take advantage of the same market and trading expertise as the financial media with Richard Suttmeier's ValuTrader Model Portfolio The ValuTrader Portfolio Newsletter is based on ValuEngine Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier's proprietary market analytics. Suttmeier combines his technical analysis expertise with ValuEngine's proprietary valuation, forecast, and ratings data for more than 4000 equities trading on US markets to come up with a 20 stock portfolio tailored to current market conditions. With ValuTrader, subscribers access Suttmeier's "Buy and Trade" strategy with a portfolio designed to function well in both up and down markets. Every edition of Richard Suttmeier's ValuTrader model portfolio includes technical risk, pivot, and value levels, as well as critical ValuEngine data points-ratings, valuation, and forecast--for the current portfolio. Whenever Suttmeier buys a new stock or sells a current holding, subscribers receive an email alert so that they can take advantage of Suttmeier's proven market-timing expertise. The portfolio may include long as well as short positions according to Suttmeier's read of the markets.

Click HERE to Sign Up for Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier's ValuTrader Model Portfolio

Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com Treasury Yields 10-Year--(2.472) Daily and semiannual value levels are 2.731 and 3.063 with annual and weekly pivots at 2.476 and 2.569 and monthly, annual and semiannual risky levels at 2.092, 1.981 and 1.413. Commodities and Forex Comex Gold ($1198.1) My daily value level is $1164.1 with weekly, monthly, annual, semiannual, quarterly and annual risky levels at $1299.4, $1379.5, $1599.9, $1719.2, $1808.3 and $1852.1. Nymex Crude Oil ($96.76) Daily, monthly and quarterly value levels are $94.15, $92.32 and $79.66 with weekly and annual risky levels at $97.22 and $115.23. The Euro (1.3041) Daily, semiannual and quarterly value levels are 1.2931, 1.2797 and 1.2169 with weekly, daily and annual pivots at 1.3119, 1.3011 and 1.3257, and monthly risky level at 1.3322. Major Indices Daily Dow: (15,024) Daily, monthly, semiannual, quarterly and annual value levels are 14,680, 14,739, 14,323, 13,755 and 12,696 with a weekly risky level at 15,461, and the May 22 all time high at 15,542.40. S&P 500 (1613.2) Daily, semiannual, quarterly and annual value levels are 1572.5, 1566.9, 1448.7 and 1348.3 with a monthly pivot at 1602.8, a weekly risky level at 1673.5, and the May 22 all time high at 1687.18. NASDAQ (3402) Daily, monthly, quarterly and annual value levels are 3325, 3288, 3106 and 2806 with the May 22 multi-year high at 3532.04, and weekly and semiannual risky levels at 3573 and 3583.

NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2907) Daily, quarterly, monthly and annual value levels are 2839, 2819, 2784 and 2463 with the May 22 multi-year high at 3053.51 and weekly risky level at 3075.

Dow Transports (6200) Daily, semiannual, annual and quarterly value levels are 6044, 5955, 5925, 5469 and 5324 with a weekly risky level at 6485, the May 20 all time high at 6562.85, and monthly risky level at 6734.

Russell 2000 (979.92) Daily, annual and quarterly value levels are 955.86, 860.25, 809.54 and 807.82 with semiannual and monthly pivots at 965.51 and 978.21, the May 22 high at 1008.23, and weekly risky level at 1018.23.

The SOX (466.74) Daily, monthly, quarterly and annual value levels are 458.24, 458.41, 357.61 and 338.03 with a weekly risky level at 492.78, a semiannual risky level is 520.17 and the July 2007 high at 549.39.

Dow Utilities: (482.89) Daily and weekly value levels are 468.49 and 458.38 with a semiannual pivot at 474.63, a monthly pivot at 491.15, a quarterly risky level at 524.16 and an annual risky level at 540.37.

Stock of the Day One of the more popular features of Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing for investors is his stock of the day. In every issue, Suttmeier highlights one stock and provides VE data as well as his own proprietary technical data. Here is today's stock of the day from Richard Suttmeier's Morning Briefing Newsletter. Novo Nordisk (NVO) ($158.05) Novo Nordisk is a world leader in insulin and diabetes care and also manufactures and markets a variety of other pharmaceutical products. Furthermore the company is the world's largest producer of industrial enzyme products. The company believes that everyone must care for the environment and our natural resources.

Analysis Novo Nordisk has a Buy rating according to ValuEngine with fair value at $191.80, which makes the stock 19.2% undervalued, The ValuEngine one-year price target is $167.97. The daily chart for NVO shows rising momentum with the stock below its 21-day, 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages at $161.07, $166.77 and $166.46. My annual value level is $140.02 with a quarterly pivot at $156.58 and weekly risky level at $159.71.

ValuEngine.com Tools and Services

We provide a variety of means for accessing ValuEngine market analysis and other content. You can find us on some of the leading financial media websites as well as the more popular social media services. While our own website ValuEngine.com provides access to lots of analysis--and you can always sign up to receive email daily and weekly bulletins HERE, some users prefer to download PDF reports of content while others prefer to garner info while browsing the web. Our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is a prolific market observer and you can find his content in a variety of places. His weekly column on Forbes provides insights into his "Buy and Trade" strategy while his daily market analysis can be followed and accessed at Scribd, Twitter, and Minyanville. Senior Editor Steve Hach re-posts PDFs and web-accessible copies of Daily and Weekly ValuEngine bulletins at Seeking Alpha and Scribd.

In most cases, you can receive notification of VE content posting by Suttmeier and Hach by following the ValuEngine feed on twitter @ValuEngine. Links for this content are provided below, you may also find these links on our website HERE

Intelligent Investing with Richard Suttmeier Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Get short, timely messages from ValuEngine Inc Daily Bulletin PDFs, Weekly Newsletter PDFs, and PDF Research Reports