NATIONAL FORUM OF EDUCATIONAL ADMINISTRATION AND SUPERVISION JOURNAL
This article examines ten world trends that will impact educational organizations overthe next 25 years. Some of these trends, such as shifting demographics, are alreadyhaving minor effects on educational organizations. Other trends, although barelyemerging, such as changing perspectives, have obvious potential effects on educationalorganizations. How these minor and barely emerging effects will grow to have majorimpacts on educational organizations is investigated and explored. This article alsoconsiders the impacts of each of the ten trends on the practical aspects of educationalstructures. Potential means for addressing the impacts of each trend are provided andexamined as well.
The Road Ahead: Ten Trends That Will ImpactEducation in This Century
ince the mid-1980s many professionals (Deming, 1987;Deming, 2000; Baker, 1992; Lynch & Kordis, 1988; Skrtic,1991; Rader, 1998; Blackbourn, Edmundson, Rose, & Dye,1996; Hamson, Heckman, Lyons, Exterbille & Beerten, 1997; Center & Blackbourn, 1993; Blackbourn, Papasan, Vinson & Blackbourn,2000) have emphasized the need for organizations to:
1) recognize that change is a constant,2) identify factors influencing change, and3) develop strategic plans to outline the manner in whichorganizational responses will foster continuous adaptationto change.For the most part, organizations have responded well to thefirst item. However, the ability to develop a strategic plan has often been constricted by a lack of vision on the part of organizationalmembers as to which changes will have significant, fundamental, andlong term impacts.While several professionals (Mann, 1975; Hoyle, 1995) havetaken visionary perspectives, too often organizational vision is limitedto factors of immediate or short-term concern (i.e., changing NCATE