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OBJECTIVE
OUTLINE
Situation Analysis Action Financials Conclusion
Over saturation
STARBUCKS COFFEE
Situation
Analysis
Action
Financials
Conclusion
Threat
Technology cheapens music Negotiations of royalties Competitors
Discounted of prices of mainstream artists
Opportunities
3 types of products-global appeal, locally relevant, local artists Digital Music less inventory cost, more retail
space
Weakness
Localization of music preferences abroad Infrastructure for downloads Buying song via iTunes doesnt ensure entire album purchase
STARBUCKS COFFEE
Situation
Analysis
Action
Financials
Conclusion
POTENTIAL STRATEGIES
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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Analysis
Action
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Conclusion
POTENTIAL STRATEGIES
Music Immersion Live Music Performances
Local artists from HearMusic
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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Analysis
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POTENTIAL STRATEGIES
Maintain focus on CDs
Focus on Coffee
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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POTENTIAL STRATEGIES
STARBUCKS COFFEE
Situation
Analysis
Action
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Conclusion
POTENTIAL STRATEGIES
Comprehensive Moderate
Sustained Focus on Coffee Revenue Potential Feasibility Increase Customer Frequency Alignment with Core Values
Minimal
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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Analysis
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MODERATE STRATEGY
Interactive Display
Shows Now Playing Shows Recently Played Like & Dislike Buttons QR picture to facilitate mobile purchasing Purchase option via Phone App
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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Analysis
Action
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MODERATE STRATEGY
Starbucks Wi-Fi
Music link on Starbucks Homepage Shows Now Playing Like & Dislike option Artist Recommendations Social Media Connection
STARBUCKS COFFEE
Situation
Analysis
Action
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MODERATE STRATEGY
Phone Application
Addition to MyStarbucks App Ability to Purchase Music Listen to previously downloaded Starbucks artists
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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COUNTRY ANALYSIS
Starbucks Culture 25%
Coffee Consumption 10%
Sales
Music 35%
Piracy
Download
Technology 30%
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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POTENTIAL COUNTRIES
Countries Canada Mexico United Kingdom Germany China Japan South Korea Phillipines Technology / Download Access (.30) 4 3 5 5 3 5 5 3 Music Sales, Downloads and Piracy (.35) 3 3 5 4 2 5 3 1 Coffee Starbucks Consumption Culture (.10) (.25) 4 4 1 3 5 3 4 4 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 2 Total 3.65 2.55 4.3 4.15 2.65 4.65 4.2 1.95
Taiwan
Thailand
STARBUCKS COFFEE
4
2
Situation
1
1
Analysis
2
2
Action
2
2
Financials
2.25
1.65
Conclusion
COUNTRY SELECTION
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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Analysis
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JAPAN - Overview
Population GDP per Capita Starbucks stores Overall music sales/year Digital music sales/year Market Geographic Market Demographics Market Behavior 126 million USD 34,200 722 USD 4.05 billion USD 972 million 100 million lives in urban area Middle-upper class Utilization of high technology
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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Hiro yearns for a relaxing environment between work and home He values premium/high quality products including the food he eats and beverages he drinks
Global 30%
Micro 10%
Local 60%
Focus on local taste
STARBUCKS COFFEE
Situation
Analysis
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In store advertising Place cards with logon instructions Music promotion info
Pick of the week promotion Free download of one song every week
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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STARBUCKS COFFEE
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Market Demographics
Market Behavior
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30%
Jane yearns for a relaxing environment between school and home She values a good cup of coffee and is very particular on how it should be prepared
Micro 50%
High focus on individualism
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STARBUCKS COFFEE
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FINANCIAL ASSUMPTIONS
SBUX Total Revenue Growth Specialty Sales Starbucks Entertainment Share of Specialty Sales Japan & UK % of Total Stores Music Consumption COGS 8% per year 15% of total sales, growing by 2% points each year 1.5% with a 30% growth rate 8.59% 85% of purchases through download 15% of purchases of physical CD 53% for physical CDs 61% for digital downloads 59.8% $3000 per unit
Cost of Equity Capital Beta Risk-free rate Return on market K(e): Cost of Debt Capital Interest Rate (10 yr AA Corporate Bond) K(d): 6.15% 6.15% 1.28 3.46% 6.84% 12.22%
Launch Progression
Year 1: 200 stores total in each country Year 2: 300 stores total in each country Year 3: 500 stores total in each country Year 4: All stores in each country Year 5: All stores in each country STARBUCKS COFFEE
Weighted Average Cost of Capital Total Debt Weight 11.90% Total Equity Weight 88.10% Cost of Debt 6.15% Cost of Equity 12.22% Tax Rate 40% K: 11.06%
Situation
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FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
Total Revenue Specialty Sales Japan & UK Portion of Specialty Sales Starbucks Ent. % Share of Specialty Sales Total Starbucks Ent. Sales COGS Marketing / SG&A Costs In-Store Equipment Costs Tax Total Cash Flow NPV 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 11815200.0 12760416.0 13781249.3 14883749.2 16074449.2 1772280.0 2169270.7 2618437.4 3125587.3 3697123.3 152238.9 1.50% 2283.6 1365.6 1000.0 60.0 0.0 -142.0 3663.0 186340.4 1.95% 3633.6 2172.9 1000.0 90.0 148.3 222.4 224923.8 2.54% 5701.8 3409.7 1000.0 150.0 456.9 685.3 268488.0 3.30% 8848.0 5291.1 800.0 0.0 1102.8 1654.1 317582.9 4.28% 13605.7 8136.2 800.0 0.0 1867.8 2801.7
IRR = 290%
Financials Conclusion
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 Project NPV 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2% 4% 8% 12% SBUX Total Revenue Growth Rate
STARBUCKS COFFEE
NPV
Situation
Analysis
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SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
7000 6000 5000 4000 Project NPV 3000 NPV 2000 1000
0
0% 15% 30% 50% SBUX Ent. Growth Rate
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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TIMELINE
YEAR 1
Starbucks Sound Stations
Wi-Fi Music Page Phone App Stores Implementation per country
YEAR 2
YEAR 3
YEAR 4
YEAR 5
Evaluate Strategy
200
300
Physical CD Consideration
500
Physical CD Consideration
All stores
Physical CD Consideration
All stores
Physical CD Consideration
STARBUCKS COFFEE
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