FOR RELEASE: MAY 13, 2009
NEW YORK GOV. PATERSON GETS LOW SCORES FROM ALL RACES,QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;GIULIANI NARROWS GAP WITH CUOMO IN GOVERNOR’S RACE
New York Gov. David Paterson’s approval rating is hovering at historic lows, with a disapprovalof 61 – 28 percent among all voters, including 49 – 37 percent among black voters, according to aQuinnipiac University poll released today.In a Democratic primary for the 2010 Governor’s race, Attorney General Andrew Cuomotops Gov. Paterson 62 – 17 percent, including 48 – 26 percent among blacks, the independentQuinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll of more than 2,800 New York State voters finds.Paterson’s 61 – 28 percent disapproval compares to a 60 – 28 percent disapproval April 6,the lowest ever for a New York State Governor.In the latest survey, white voters disapprove 66 – 24 percent and Hispanic votersdisapprove 47 – 43 percent.In contrast, voters approve 68 – 12 percent of the job Attorney General Cuomo is doing,with approval ratings of 78 – 8 percent among black voters, 68 – 12 percent among white votersand 63 – 12 percent among Hispanics. Even Republicans approve 55 – 22 percent.“Black New Yorkers give the black Governor a negative job approval rating, not as bad ashis overall rating but still on the downside,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the QuinnipiacUniversity Polling Institute.“With support in every demographic sub-group, including a 22-point lead among black voters, Attorney General Andrew Cuomo trounces Gov. Paterson in a Democratic primary.Paterson has time to turn things around before the 2010 election, of course, but there’s not a hintof good news for him in this poll.”
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Maurice Carroll, DirectorQuinnipiac University Polling InstituteRubenstein Associates, Inc.,Public RelationsPat Smith (212) 843-8026
Quinnipiac University Poll/May 13, 2009 – page 2
In an early look at the 2010 Governor’s race, former New York City Mayor RudolphGiuliani leads Paterson 54 – 32 percent. Giuliani leads 86 – 6 percent among Republicans and60 – 21 percent among independent voters, while Democrats back Paterson 56 – 30 percent.Giuliani leads 62 – 25 percent among white voters and 51 – 42 percent among Hispanics, while black voters back Paterson 64 – 18 percent.
Cuomo-Giuliani
Cuomo leads Giuliani 47 – 41 percent in a head-to-head matchup, down from a 53 – 36 percent lead April 6. Independent voters have shifted from 49 – 38 percent for Cuomo April 8 to44 – 40 percent for Giuliani today. In this latest survey, Giuliani leads 80 – 9 percent amongRepublicans while Democrats back Cuomo 78 – 16 percent. Cuomo leads 76 – 13 percent among black voters and 52 – 40 percent among Hispanics, as white voters go to Giuliani 47 – 42 percent.“If the Republicans nominate Mayor Giuliani, he beats Paterson by a lot. Cuomo beatsGiuliani but that lead is shrinking as independent voters shift to the Republican. That’s a trend towatch,” Carroll said. New York State voters say 64 – 21 percent, including 46 – 33 percent among black voters,that Paterson does not deserve to be reelected.A total of 33 percent of voters say it is “very likely” or “somewhat likely” that Patersonwill run next year for a full four-year term as Governor, while 62 percent say it is “not too likely”or “not likely at all.”If Paterson runs, it will be bad for other Democrats running in the state, voters say 48 – 29 percent. Black voters split 40 – 39 percent on this question.“A lot of politicians think that the torrent of bad news will persuade Paterson not to run.Voters think so, too,” Carroll said.“If the Governor does what he says he will, and runs in 2010, voters think he’ll be badnews for other Democrats on the ballot.”From May 5 – 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,828 New York State registeredvoters, with a margin of error of +/- 1.8 percentage points. The survey includes 1,238 Democratswith a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts publicopinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio andnationwide as a public service and for research.
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q poll, may 13; paterson approval rating, 2010 race
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