3
Table of Contents
1
Executive Summary..............................................................................................................7
1.1
Introduction and Report Findings..................................................................................7
1.2
Background.................................................................................................................9
1.3
Objectives of Study.....................................................................................................11
1.4
Approach to Study......................................................................................................11
1.5
History of Oil and Gas Assessments and Implications....................................................13
1.6
Summary of Resource Base Cases................................................................................17
1.7
Production Results......................................................................................................18
1.8
Private and Government Sector Economic Impact Analysis Results................................23
2
Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) Impact Analysis.....................................................................27
2.1
Oil and Gas Resources in OCS Moratoria Areas and Resource Base Assumptions...........27
2.2
Field Size Distributions for OCS Moratoria Areas..........................................................30
2.3
Setup of Cases for the OCS.........................................................................................33
2.4
Production Results for OCS Moratoria Areas................................................................35
2.5
Private Sector Economic Impact Results for OCS...........................................................38
3
ANWR Impact Analysis........................................................................................................41
3.1
Oil and Gas Resources in ANWR and Resource Base Assumptions.................................41
3.2
Setup of Cases for ANWR...........................................................................................43
3.3
Production Results for ANWR......................................................................................45
3.4
Private Sector Economic Impact Results for ANWR.......................................................48
4
Rockies Production Impact Analysis......................................................................................49
4.1
Oil and Gas Resources in the Rockies and Resource Base Assumptions..........................49
4.2
Production Results for Rockies.....................................................................................53
4.3
Private Sector Economic Impact Results for Rockies......................................................56
5
Comparison With Published Studies of Future Government Revenues from OCS, ANWR, andRockies......................................................................................................................................57
5.1
Introduction................................................................................................................57
5.2
Analysis of Revenues from Opening Moratoria and Off-Limits Resources.......................60
5.3
Analysis of Revenues from Entire OCS and Entire Federal Portion of Rockies.................64
Appendix A. Comparison with EIA and NPC Studies....................................................................69
Appendix B. MMS Offshore Production Lag Charts.....................................................................75
Appendix C. Industry Revenue and Expenditure Tables for Middle and Alternative Resource Cases.................................................................................................................................................77
Appendix D. Economic Impact Tables for Middle and Alternative Resource Cases........................89