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Losing the World’s Authors:

Vivek Wadhwa

Best and Brightest: AnnaLee Saxenian


Richard Freeman

America’s New Immigrant Entrepreneurs, Part V Alex Salkever

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

March 2009
i
Authors
Vivek Wadhwa
Executive in Residence
Pratt School of Engineering, Duke University
Senior Research Associate
Labor & Worklife Program, Harvard Law School

AnnaLee Saxenian
Dean and Professor
School of Information
University of California, Berkeley

Richard Freeman
Herbert Asherman Chair in Economics, Harvard University
Director, Labor and Worklife Program, Harvard Law School
Director, Labor Studies Program, National Bureau of Economic Research

Alex Salkever
Visiting Researcher
Masters of Engineering Management Program
Pratt School of Engineering, Duke University

Special thanks
Gary Gereffi, Mike Hensen, Bob Litan, E.J. Reedy, Ben Rissing, John Trumpbour

Student researchers
Karna Vishwas, Brian Hilgeford,
Sameer Dash, Aniket Patil, Aishwarya Alladi

This research was funded in part by the Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation.
The contents of this publication are solely the responsibility of the authors.

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

ii
Contents

Introduction and overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1


Our findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Few want to stay permanently . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Most are worried about visas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Where do they think the jobs and opportunities are? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Was the U.S. as they had expected? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
High overall opinion of American education . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Students would recommend American education to their friends, so what is stopping their friends from coming? . . . . . . . 4
Why did students who were leaving the U.S. make this decision? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Entrepreneurial aspirations, but not in the U.S. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Conclusions and interpretation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Characteristics of respondents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Figure 1: Area of study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Figure 2: Level of degree . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Figure 3: Expected date of graduation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Figure 4: Number of years living in the U.S. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Detailed findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Intentions to stay after graduation, and concerns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Figure 5: Would you stay after graduation if given a choice? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Figure 6: For how many years would you like to stay in the U.S. after graduation? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Concerns about jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Figure 7: how difficult will it be for you to find a job in your field in the U.S.? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Concerns about work visas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Figure 8: How concerned are you about obtaining a work visa after graduation? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Obtaining permanent residency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Figure 9: How concerned are you about obtaining permanent residency in the U.S. ? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Perceptions about U.S. opportunities, education system, and economic future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
How did the U.S. stack up against expectations? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Figure 10: Has your view of the U.S. changed since coming here? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Where are the opportunities? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Figure 11: Country perceived as having the best job opportunities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Which economy has a better future? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Figure 12: Foreign national student perceptions: best days of U.S. economy behind or ahead? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Figure 13: Foreign national student perceptions: best days of home country’s economy behind or ahead? . . . . . . . 12

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

iii
Where will the most innovative products be created in the future? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Figure 14: Chinese responses: Which economy do you think will generate the most innovative
products and services over the next… . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Figure 15: European responses: Which economy do you think will generate the most innovative
products and services over the next… . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Figure 16: Indian responses: Which economy do you think will generate the most innovative
products and services over the next… . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Comparisons of education systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Figure 17: How does the U.S. education system compare with your home country’s education systems? . . . . . . . . 13
Advising friends: studying in the U.S. still a highly valued experience . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Figure 18: Would you advise friends in home country to study in the U.S.? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Figure 19: Number of friends in home country wishing to study in the U.S. but unable to . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Reasons for leaving . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Figure 20: How did the following factors contribute to your decision to leave the U.S.? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Entrepreneurial intentions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Figure 21: How interested are you in starting a business some day? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Figure 22: Timeframe for starting a business (if interested in starting a business) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Figure 23: Likely location of business startup (if interested in starting a business) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Figure 24: key problems faced by friends seeking to come to the U.S. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15

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Introduction and overview

Foreign national students have come to the United in science and engineering fields.2 After declining
States to study in increasing numbers and have briefly in the period following 9/11, when visa
participated in some of the most advanced academic standards were tightened, the total foreign student
research efforts to date, lending enormous brainpower enrollment in U.S. universities has resumed a rapid
to the development of technological and scientific rate of increase. While studying, foreign national
innovations that benefitted America. The students graduate students have contributed significantly
were drawn to the United States by the country’s to innovation and patent applications. According
highly vaunted academic research institutions and to research by Chellaraj, Maskus, and Mattoo, a 10
enormous budgets for funding basic and applied percent increase in the number of foreign graduate
research. students would raise patent applications by 4.5
U.S. foreign national students have focused in percent, university-patent grants by 6.8 percent, and
particular on the science, technology, engineering, non-university patent grants by 5.0 percent.3
and mathematics (STEM) fields. In these fields, Those who have stayed have comprised a rising
they have had disproportionate representation. percentage of the U.S. science and engineering
According to statistics collected by the National workforce. According to research by the National
Science Foundation,1 foreign students received Science Foundation, between 1990 and 2000 the
nearly 60 percent of all engineering doctorates number of individuals with college degrees (bachelor’s
awarded in the U.S. and over 50 percent of all or higher) born in Asia who were employed in science
doctorates in engineering, mathematics, computer and engineering occupations in the United States rose
sciences, physics, and economics. Foreign students from approximately 141,000 to 460,000.4
also received over 40 percent of all doctorates in Upon completion of their studies, significant
agricultural sciences, a field of growing importance numbers of foreign students have traditionally
today. chosen to remain in the U.S. to work full-time or
Foreign enrollments in STEM fields are also pursue post-doctoral work. According to research
growing quickly. According to data from the Bureau by Michael Finn,5 two-thirds of foreign citizens who
of Citizenship and Immigration Services, from April received science/engineering doctorates from U.S.
2006 to April 2007, foreign enrollment in science and universities in 2003 lived in the United States in 2005.
engineering fields grew by 8 percent. The growth was The five-year stay rates for Chinese and Indians was
concentrated in computer sciences (up by 14 percent) much higher: 92 percent and 85 percent respectively.
and engineering (up by 10 percent). In April 2007, 70 More recently, as the economies of the developing
percent of the 66,500 Indian foreign graduate students world have grown rapidly and Western economies
in the U.S. were pursuing science or engineering. have grown less quickly, anecdotal evidence has
There were 48,300 foreign graduate students from begun to suggest that fewer foreign national students
China enrolled in U.S. institutions, with 67 percent wish to stay in the U.S. after graduation. Reports in

1 http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind08/c2/c2s5.htm
2 Ibid.
3 Chellaraj, Gnanaraj, Maskus, Keith E. and Mattoo, Aaditya, The Contribution of International Graduate Students to U.S. Innovation. Review of International Economics,
Vol. 16, Issue 3, pp. 444-462, August 2008. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1158794 or DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2007.00714.x
4 National Science Foundation, Division of Science Resources Statistics. 2007. Asia’s Rising Science and Technology Strength: Comparative Indicators for Asia, the
European Union, and the United States. NSF 07-319. Arlington, VA.
5 http://orise.orau.gov/sep/files/stayrate07.pdf

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

1
INTRODUCTION

the popular press6,7 and elsewhere have suggested graduated by the end of the 2008 academic school
that many of these students now believe that greater year. The survey respondents comprise 229 students
opportunities exist elsewhere in the world.8 To from China (and Hong Kong), 117 students from
date, there has been very little empirical research, Western Europe, and 878 students from India.
aside from the NSF surveys, into the postgraduate This survey was not conducted by random means,
intentions of foreign nationals, and into the decisive and the responses we received are not representative
factors in their decisions either to seek to stay in the of the relative student populations of their
U.S. or to move abroad. This paper attempts to fill nationalities. This study also was not longitudinal and
some of this void. is only a snapshot of current intentions. It should be
The survey reported here was conducted noted that this survey occurred during a period when
in October 2008 via the social-networking site the U.S. economy was clearly deteriorating and the
Facebook. Members of this site were asked to political leadership of the U.S had become unpopular
introduce team members to their foreign student both at home and abroad. This context may have
friends, and those who referred the most students affected responses. Clearly, many of the questions
who completed our survey were awarded prizes. asked on this survey require longer-term analysis and
This paper is based on responses from 1,224 foreign thinking. Regardless, the information culled from
nationals who are currently studying in institutions this survey appears to be of significance.
of higher learning in the United States or who had

6 “Students in overseas business schools look to India placements”, Livemint.com/WSJ.com, January 27,2009, (http://www.livemint.com/2009/01/27002136/Students-in-
overseas-business.html?h=A1)
7 ‘Brain gain’ for India as elite return”, The Observer, Sunday 20 April 2008 (http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/apr/20/india.globaleconomy?gusrc=rss&feed=networkf
ront)
8 A. Saxenian, Y. Motoyama, and X. Quan “Local and Global Networks of Immigrant Professionals in Silicon Valley” Public Policy Institute of California, 2002.

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

2
Our findings

Here is what we learned about the sample of foreign Where do they think the jobs and opportunities
students who responded to our survey: are?
Chinese students in particular strongly feel that the
Few want to stay permanently
best job opportunities lie in their home country—52
Very few would like to stay in the U.S. permanently— percent of them, as do 32 percent of Indian
only 6 percent of Indian, 10 percent of Chinese, and respondents and 26 percent of Europeans ones. This
15 percent of European students. Many students contrasts starkly with the beliefs of most skilled
would like to stay for a few years after graduation if immigrants in the 1980s and 1990s that the best
given a choice—58 percent of Indians, 54 percent of opportunities were in the U.S.
Chinese, and 40 percent of Europeans. But 30 percent Only seven percent of Chinese students, nine
of Indians, 36 percent of Chinese, and 39 percent of percent of European students, and 25 percent of
Europeans are undecided. Indian students stated that they believe the best days
The largest group of respondents wants to return of the U.S. economy lie ahead. Conversely, 74 percent
home within five years—55 percent of Indian, 40 of Chinese students and 86 percent of Indian students
percent of Chinese, and 30 percent of European stated that the best days for their home country’s
students. Additionally, 16 percent of Indians, 13 economy lie ahead.
percent of Chinese, and 12 percent of Europeans Indians are the most positive on the economic
would like to stay for six to 10 years. future of their home country and are less than one-
third as likely to see the economic future of their
Most are worried about visas
home country as negative as Chinese students are to
The vast majority of foreign students, and 85 percent view their own that way.
of Indians and Chinese and 72 percent of Europeans
are concerned about obtaining work visas. Seventy- Was the U.S. as they had expected?
four percent of Indians, 76 percent of Chinese, and Foreign students found the American people to be
58 percent of Europeans are also worried about friendlier than they had expected. On a scale of one
obtaining jobs in their fields. to five—five being much better than expected and
Students appear to be less concerned about one being much worse than expected—Chinese,
getting permanent-resident visas than they are about European, and Indian students on average rated
short-term jobs. Only 38 percent of Indian students, their U.S. experience with regard to friendliness of
55 percent of Chinese, and 53 percent of Europeans Americans as 3.2, 3.7, and 3.6 respectively.
expressed concerns about obtaining permanent Indian students thought that the quality of life in
residency in the U.S. the U.S. was somewhat better than they had expected,

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

3
FINDINGS

and Europeans thought it was slightly worse. Chinese Chinese and Indian students indicated that they had
students rated it as a 2.9, European students as a 2.8, large numbers of friends who would like to come
and Indian students as a 3.3. and study in the U.S but couldn’t. Sixty-one percent
On the other two measures—opportunities to of Chinese respondents had three or more friends
start a business and opportunities for immigrant who would like to come but couldn’t. Of Indian
success—foreign students stated their experience in respondents, 53 percent had three or more friends
the U.S. was slightly worse than they had expected, who would like to study in the U.S. but couldn’t.
the Chinese recording the lowest responses and the Europeans had a lesser percentage.
Europeans the highest. The strongest barrier cited by respondents as
preventing friends from coming to the U.S. is lack of
High overall opinion of American education funding or scholarships. Visa problems and lack of
All nationalities thought that American education proper academic credentials were the least-important
quality was better than in their home countries. On barriers cited.
a scale of one (the U.S. is a lot worse) to five (the U.S.
is a lot better), on average, Indians gave education Why did students who were leaving the U.S.
quality a comparison rating of 4.2; Chinese, 4.3; and make this decision?
Europeans, 3.6. The strongest reason students cited for leaving the
Comparing U.S. and home-country teaching United States was the desire to be with friends and
of independent thinking, Chinese, Europeans, and families at home. The second-most important factor
Indians gave averages of 4.3, 3.3, and 4.3 respectively. was a perception that economic opportunities in
With regard to preparing one to enter the the home country were better. The least-important
workforce in their country, Chinese, Europeans, and factor cited of those provided in the survey was
Indians gave average comparison ratings of 3.7, 3.1, discrimination, followed by the difficulty of getting a
and 3.8 respectively; and with regard to preparing visa to stay in the U.S. and availability of jobs in the
them to enter the workforce in the U.S., average U.S. This was consistent with our previous findings
ratings of 4.1, 4.0, and 4.0 respectively. of why experienced, skilled workers had returned to
Indian and Chinese students said on average India and China.
that U.S. education offered better value for money
than the education in their home countries (average Entrepreneurial aspirations, but not in the U.S.
comparison ratings, 3.3 each), and Europeans thought Seventy-four percent of Indian, 77 percent of
it offered somewhat worse (2.6). European, and 71 percent of Chinese students
indicated that they wished to start a business within
Students would recommend American education the next decade. Of Indian and Chinese students
to their friends, so what is stopping their friends wishing to start a business at some time, the majority
from coming? (53 percent and 55 percent respectively) hoped to do
Seventy-one percent of Chinese, 75 percent of so in their home countries, whereas only 35 percent
Europeans, and 70 percent of Indians would definitely of corresponding European students wished to start
advise friends to study in the U.S. their business in their home country.

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

4
Conclusions and interpretation

Foreign national students in our sample are planning to underwrite key research, and, perhaps most
to leave the U.S. after graduation in numbers that importantly, to provide expert insights into the inner
appear to be higher than the historical norm as workings of their home countries. It is unclear,
measured in STEM disciplines. A significant however, at what point a brain circulation becomes
percentage of these students also say they intend to a reverse brain drain. It is troubling that these
open businesses in the future. This expressed intent, students expressed so much pessimism about the
prevalent among Indian and Chinese nationals future of the U.S. Whilst this is hardly a completely
currently studying in the U.S., appears to be in representative sample, the sample size is large enough
marked contrast with the recent past, when Chinese to confer significant validity on the trends indicated
and Indian degree holders were very likely to stay in in responses.
the U.S. and continue working or researching (even From this survey, however, it seems clear that
more so in the PhD ranks). the U.S. higher-education system remains highly
Should their intentions turn into actions, regarded. Nearly three-quarters of Europeans,
the departure of these foreign nationals could Chinese, and Indians indicated that they would
represent a significant loss for the U.S. science and advise friends to study in the U.S. Almost as many
engineering workforce, in which such immigrants respondents stated they had one or more friends who
have played increasingly larger roles over the past would like to study in the U.S. but had been unable
three decades. Foreign nationals are also represented to. The double-digit increases in foreign students
disproportionately among the ranks of founding matriculating here suggest that the supply of talented
executives at technology firms around the U.S. Key foreign nationals coursing through academe is
impetuses for their intention to depart are the fear unlikely to abate. At the same, roughly one-fifth of
that they will not be able to find a job in this country all foreign students who plan to open businesses also
upon graduation and their growing belief that the plan to do so in the U.S. Should the U.S. economy
economy of the U.S. will shortly lag behind global rebound or, alternatively, their home economies
growth rates. Many of these foreign nationals are also considerably weaken, the U.S. may become a more
very worried about obtaining the work visas required palatable long-term option.
to pursue employment in the U.S. and about the Better job prospects, looser visa restrictions, and a
difficulties of obtaining permanent residency. U.S. economic rebound could all prove to be attractive
In her book The New Argonauts,9 A. Saxenian to would-be entrepreneurs holding newly minted
notes that the loss of talented entrepreneurs and sheepskins. Adding incentive programs to encourage
researchers to their home countries is not necessarily foreign-immigrant entrepreneurship—perhaps
a zero-sum game. These entrepreneurial pioneers pairing fast-track residency status with launching of
may leave U.S. soil, but they often maintain networks companies—could go a long way toward ensuring
of contacts inside the U.S. and return regularly that those who want to stay and start companies can
to use specialized services, to found companies, do so.

9 AnnaLee Saxenian. The New Argonauts: Regional Advantage in a Global Economy. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 2006. 424 pp. ISBN 0-674-02201-7

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

5
Methodology

This survey was conducted during the month of feelings about prospects for growth in the U.S. and
October 2008 through social networking website abroad, and their impressions of the higher-education
Facebook. Members were asked to invite their system in the U.S.
friends who are foreign students currently studying in Questions were asked in multiple-choice, ratings-
institutions of higher learning in the United States or scale, text-box, and open-ended formats. Response
who had graduated by the end of the 2008 academic level varied from question to question. Some
school year to complete our survey. When a friend questions were mandatory, the respondent being
did complete a survey, the member who referred unable to proceed with the survey unless the question
the friend was given points. Those with the highest was answered. The remainder were optional.
points were awarded prizes. In total, we received 1,957 responses from students
The survey was administered on line. We required of a large assortment of nationalities. The analysis
each respondent to provide an e-mail address, which in this paper is based on responses from the largest
we matched with our lists of e-mails sent to check groups who took our survey—1,224 students from
the validity of the response. We also validated that India (878 responses), China and Hong Kong (229
the respondent were foreign studens by checking responses), and Western Europe (117 responses).
their Facebook profiles or by asking them to provide This survey was not conducted by random means,
university e-mail addresses. We asked the subjects and the relative numbers of responses from various
a series of questions covering a variety of topics, nationalities is not representative of the student
including their intended academic degree, their populations of those nationalities, and our findings
intentions upon graduating from their current may not generalize to all foreign students. They do
program, the effects of visa and residency concerns provide insights into the views of a fairly large sample
upon their impending decisions to stay or leave, their of foreign students.

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

6
Characteristics of respondents
Figure 2
The average age of Chinese respondents was 24. The Level of degree
areas of study most popular among Chinese students 0.9%
Other 3.4%
were engineering (25.8 percent), business and 2.2%

economics (21.4 percent), and biological sciences (9.2 Postdoc/Researcher


1.1%
20.5%
3.5%
percent). The average age of European respondents 13.0% Indians
PhD 25.6%
was 26. The most popular areas of studies among 30.6%
Europeans
European students were business and economics MD
0.1%
0.9% Chinese
0.0%
(17.9 percent), engineering (17.1 percent), and 0.0%
JD 0.0%
biological sciences (17.1 percent). The average age of 0.4%

Indian respondents was 24. The areas of study most Masters 27.4%
78.0%
24.9%
popular among Indian students were engineering 6.8%
Bachelors 22.2%
(51.1 percent), computer science (16.9 percent) and 38.4%

biological sciences (6.4 percent). Indian students


were concentrated in engineering, computer science, Figure 3
biological sciences and business and economics fields. Expected date of graduation
Chinese and European respondents were fairly evenly
1.1%
distributed between Bachelors, Masters, and PhD Don't know 4.3%
3.1%

degree tracks. Indian students were primarily (78.1 2014 or later


0.1%
0.9%
2.2%
percent) pursuing Masters degree tracks, with a small Indians
1.1%
but significant number also pursuing PhD tracks. The 2013 3.4%
7.9% Europeans

majority of students in all three ethnic groups intend 2012


3.9%
6.0% Chinese
13.5%
to graduate within the next five years.
4.8%
2011 12.0%
14.0%

22.4%
Figure 1 2010 19.7%
19.7%
Area of study 39.3%
2009 40.2%
30.1%

16.2% 19.4%
Computer science 4.3% 12/01/2008 6.0%
4.8%
4.8%
Graduated in May/June 7.9%
7.7%
0.7% 2008 4.8%
Physics 1.7%
4.4%

51.1%
Engineering 17.1%
25.8%

0.3% Indians
Chemistry 2.6%
4.4%
Europeans
Business & 4.9%
17.9% Chinese
economics 21.4%

6.4%
Biological sciences 17.1%
9.2%

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

7
METHODOLOGY

Figure 4
Number of years living in the U.S.

0.5%
10 or more 2.6%
0.0%

0.3%
9 1.7%
1.3%

0.6%
8 1.7%
2.2% Indians

1.1%
7 0.9% Europeans
1.3%

1.4% Chinese
6 0.9%
2.2%

1.9%
5 6.0%
7.0%

3.4%
4 11.1%
4.8%

6.9%
3 13.7%
9.2%

25.8%
2 20.5%
21.0%

58.1%
1 or less 41.0%
51.1%

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

8
Detailed findings

Intentions to stay after graduation, and Figure 6


For how many years would you like to stay in the U.S.
concerns
after graduation?
Chinese and Indian students showed a significant 20.4%
Don't know
preference to stay in the U.S. after graduation if 33.0%
40.2%

given a chance. Among these groups, 54.3 percent of 5.8%


Permanently 14.9%
Chinese and 57.8 percent of Indian students said they 9.5%

would like to remain. Of European respondents, 39.5 11 or more years


3.2%
3.4%
percent said they would like to stay. Only 9.9 percent 5.0% Indians

of Chinese and 11.8 percent of Indian students 6-10 years


15.9%
11.5%
Europeans

12.5% Chinese
stated that they did not wish to remain in the U.S
54.9%
after graduation; 21.9 percent of European students 1-5 years 29.9%
40.0%
indicated they did not wish to remain. The remainder
were unsure.
Concerns about jobs
Figure 5
Would you stay after graduation if given a choice? Respondents expressed significant concerns that,
should they chose to try to remain in the U.S., they
Indians
Europeans
would have difficulty finding a job. Seventy-six
Chinese percent of Chinese students stated that it would be
difficult to find a job in their field in the U.S. Of
European respondents, 68.9 percent agreed that
57.8%
38.6% it would be difficult. Of Indian respondents, 83.9
54.3%
percent stated that it would be difficult.
35.9%
39.5% 21.9%
30.4%
Figure 7
11.8%
9.9% How difficult will it be for you to find a job in your field
in the U.S.?
Yes No Unsure
2.1%
Not at all difficult 3.4% Indians
1.5%
Europeans
Survey respondents do not intend to remain in the 14.2% Chinese
U.S. for very long after graduation, however, the Not very difficult 27.6%
22.5%

largest proportion intending to leave within five years 51.5%


Somewhat difficult 49.4%
of graduation. Forty percent of Chinese students, 50.0%

54.9 percent of Indian students, and 29.9 percent of Very difficult


24.3%
16.1%
European students intended to stay five years or less. 22.5%

It is notable, however, that there remains significant Extremely difficult


8.1%
3.4%
3.5%
uncertainty on this question: a considerable
percentage of respondents stated that they were
unsure when they would return home.

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

9
DETAILED FINDINGS

Concerns about work visas


Figure 9
Respondents expressed serious concerns about How concerned are you about obtaining permanent
obtaining work visas after graduation: of Chinese residency in the U.S.?
respondents, 85 percent; of European respondents, 9.9%
Don't want a green card 10.3%
72.4 percent; and of Indian respondents, 85.1 percent. 1.5% Indians
7.5% Europeans
Don't know 3.4%
5.0% Chinese

Figure 8 Not at all concerned


14.2%
9.2%
How concerned are you about obtaining a work visa 4.5%
31.5%
after graduation? Not Very concerned 24.1%
24.0%

1.5% 21.4%
Don't know 2.3% Somewhat concerned 24.1%
2.0% Indians 37.5%
Europeans 9.4%
3.0% Very concerned 17.2%
Not at all concerned 2.3% Chinese 16.5%
3.0%
6.2%
10.6% Extremely concerned 11.5%
Not very concerned 23.0% 11.0%
10.0%

33.6%
Somewhat concerned 27.6%
38.0%

Very concerned
32.8%
27.6%
Perceptions about U.S. opportunities,
33.0%
education system, and economic future
18.7%
Extremely concerned 17.2%
14.0%

How did the U.S. stack up against expectations?

Obtaining permanent residency Spending time in the U.S. studying resulted in only
minor changes in perceptions, overall. The only
Students had greater short-term concerns about clear area where the U.S. exceeded expectations was
jobs and work visas than about permanent-resident with regard to friendliness of the American people.
visas. Of Indian respondents, 37 percent stated that Indian and European respondents, in particular, said
they were concerned about obtaining permanent taht the U.S. was considerably friendlier than they
residency in the U.S. Of the Chinese respondents, 65 had expected. This was also true, to a lesser degree,
percent stated they were; of European respondents, quality of life. Indian respondents, in particular, felt
52.8 percent stated that they were. Conversely, 55.6 that quality of life in the U.S. was somewhat better
percent of Indian students stated they were not very than they had expected. In no area was experience in
or not at all concerned about obtaining permanent the U.S. appreciably worse than expectations, and in
residency in the U.S. most it was very slightly better.

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

10
DETAILED FINDINGS

Which economy has a better future?


Figure 10
Has your view of the U.S. changed since coming The respondents generally believed that the U.S.
here? economy will not continue to grow at its historical
pace and that the economies of their home countries
Quality of life 2.8
3.3
would grow faster. Amongst the respondents, 51.4
2.9
percent of Chinese students, 54.9 percent of European
2.7 students and 37.5 percent of Indian students stated
Opportunities to start a business 2.9
2.5 Indians they believed the best days of the U.S. economy lay
Europeans
2.9 Chinese
in the past. Only 7.2 percent of Chinese students
Opportunities for immigrants to
achieve success
2.5
2.9
and 8.8 percent of European students stated that they
believe the best days of the U.S. economy are in the
3.6
Friendliness/helpfulness of American
people
3.7 future. Indian students were less pessimistic, with
3.2
24.8 percent stating they believe the U.S. economy
(1 = much worse than expected, 5= much better than expected) will grow even faster in the future and its best days
are still to come. Indian and Chinese students were
Where are the opportunities? far more optimistic about the future of their home
Of Chinese respondents, 51.6 percent perceived their country’s economy than were European students.
home country as having the best job opportunities. Seventy-four percent of Chinese students and 85.8
Of Europeans respondents, 26.3 percent perceived percent of Indian students agreed that their home
their home country as having the best; of Indians, country’s economy would grow even faster in the
32.1 percent perceived their home country as having future than it had in the past decade. Amongst
the best. Only 26.5 percent of Chinese students European respondents, only 21.2 percent agreed that
agreed that the best job opportunities could be found their home country’s economy would grow faster in
in the U.S., but of Europeans, 46.5 percent agreed that the future than it had in the past decade.
the best job opportunities could be found in the U.S.,
and of Indians, 47.2 percent did. It is noteworthy that Figure 12
fewer than 50 percent of members of all three groups Foreign national student perceptions: best days of
perceived the U.S. to have the best job opportunities. U.S. economy behind or ahead?

19.1%
Not Sure 15.9% Indians
Figure 11 18.5% Europeans

Country perceived as having the best job Chinese


18.6%
opportunities Same -- things will remain
the same
20.4%
23.0%

16.1% 24.8%
Ahead -- the U.S. will grow
Don't know 16.7% Indians even faster
8.8%
7.2%
21.1% Europeans
Chinese Behind -- the U.S. will not 37.5%
4.6% continue to grow as it has 54.9%
Other country 10.5% historically 51.4%
0.9%

32.1%
Home country 26.3%
51.6%

47.2%
U.S. 46.5%
26.5%

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

11
DETAILED FINDINGS

Figure 13 Figure 15
Foreign national student perceptions: best days of European responses: Which economy do you think
home country’s economy behind or ahead? will generate the most innovative products and
services over the next…
4.5%
Not Sure 7.1% Indians
13.0%
4.9% Europeans Other 4.6% 50 years
2.7%
Chinese 25 years
Same -- growth will 7.6% 5.6%
continue at the same 39.8% Germany 4.6% 10 years
pace as the last 10 years
8.1%
14.3%
7.4%
Ahead -- my home Japan 13.8%
85.8% 18.9%
country will grow even
21.2%
faster than it has been
74.0% 25.9%
growing over the last… India 21.1%
Behind -- my home
4.5%
2.1%
country will not
31.9% 30.6%
continue to grow as fast China 35.8%
6.7% 16.2%
as it has over the last…

17.6%
U.S. 20.2%
49.5%

Where will the most innovative products


be created in the future? Figure 16
Indian responses: Which economy do you think will
Respondents from both India and China conclusively generate the most innovative products and services
stated that they expect that the generation of over the next…
innovative products and services in their home other
5.0%
0.7% 50 years
countries will increase during the next quarter 0.1%
25 years
2.8%
century at a much faster pace than in the U.S. Germany 2.1%
2.0%
10 years

Europeans feel that innovation will also shift to China 3.8%


Japan 6.1%
and India, but they give China a slight lead in that 12.6%

regard. India 53.9%


69.3%
17.4%

10.4%
China 25.2%
Figure 14 30.9%
Chinese responses: Which economy do you think will 8.7%
U.S. 12.0%
generate the most innovative products and services 36.9%
over the next…

Other
2.9%
1.4% 50 years Comparisons of education systems
0.5%
25 years

Germany
2.4%
1.9% 10 years
To the respondents, the U.S. education system
0.5%
compared extremely favorably with those of their
2.9%
Japan 13.9%
10.0%
home countries. On not a single measure did the
5.7%
education comparison rating score below 2.5 on
India 5.6%
0.5% a scale of one to five, and only in one instance did
China 44.4%
71.0% ratings drop below 3 (for European respondents
22.8%
on “value for the money”). Indians and Chinese,
15.2%
U.S. 32.9%
65.8%
in particular, found the U.S. much better than

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

12
DETAILED FINDINGS

their home countries’ systems in terms of teaching 84.4 percent had one or more friends wishing to the
independent thought, overall quality, preparing study in the U.S. but unable to, and 17.6 percent of
for entry into the U.S. workforce, and, surprisingly, respondents had 10 or more. Only 60.2 percent of
preparing graduates for entry into the home country’s European respondents have one or more friends who
workforce. The one area where the U.S. was less wish to come study in the U.S. but are unable to, and
successful in this regard was value, which likely only 10.2 percent have 10 or more.
reflects the stiff price of collegiate and graduate
education programs in the U.S. Europeans were Figure 18
less positive than Indians or Chinese but were still Would you advise friends in home country to study in
decidedly positive about a U.S. education on a the U.S.?
comparative basis.

Indians
Figure 17
Europeans
How does the U.S. education system compare with
Chinese
your home country’s education systems? 75.0%

71.4%
4.3 69.5%
Teaching you how to think independently 3.3
4.3

Preparing you for entering the workforce in 3.8


3.1
your home country 3.7 25.5%
21.2%
Preparing you for entering the workforce in 4.0
the U.S.
4.0 18.5%
4.1 9.3%
Indians
6.5%
Value for money
3.3
Europeans
3.2%
2.6
3.3 Chinese
Yes No Maybe
4.2
Quality 3.6
4.3

(1 = U.S. much worse, 5 = U.S. much better)


Figure 19
Number of friends in home country wishing to study in
the U.S. but unable to
Advising friends: studying in the U.S. still a
highly valued experience 17.6%
Indians
More than 10 10.2%
22.7% Europeans
Respondents indicated that they would Chinese
35.3%
overwhelmingly advise friends in their home 3 to 10 20.4%
40.3%
countries to study in the U.S. if possible. Amongst
respondents, 71.4 percent of Chinese, 75 percent 31.5%
1 or 2 29.6%
of Europeans, and 69.5 percent of Indians would 31.5%

advise friends to study in the U.S. Most respondents 15.6%


had significant numbers of friends in their home None
5.6%
39.8%

countries who wish to study in the U.S. but are unable


to. Of Chinese respondents, 94.4 percent had one
or more friends in wishing to study in the U.S., and
22.7 percent had 10 or more. Of Indian respondents,

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

13
DETAILED FINDINGS

Reasons for leaving


Out of the total sample, 240 students responded to percent; and of Indian respondents, 56 percent.
questions about why they had decided to leave the Only a small percentage of respondents have
U.S. The relatively low percentage responding of actually started their own business. The majority of
the total sample is likely due to the fact that many respondents that expressed interest in launching a
of the students had not yet left and were undecided. business planned to do so within the next decade: of
Regardless, the responses from this sample were Chinese respondents, 71.2 percent plan; of European
instructive. respondents, 77.2 percent; and of Indian respondents,
The respondents rated on average the desire to be 74 percent. Respondents appeared to be more
with family and friends in their home countries as inclined to launch a business in their home country
the most important factor in a decision to leave the than in the U.S. Of Chinese respondents interested
U.S. No other factor rated above 3.5 on the five-point in starting a business, 52.5 percent indicated they
scale. Most notable, discrimination was cited as the would be more likely to start a business in their home
least-important reason to depart. country; of European respondents, 34.6 percent; and
of Indian respondents, 54.7 percent.
Figure 20
How did the following factors contribute to your Figure 21
decision to leave the U.S.? How interested are you in starting a business some
day?
Discrimination I felt because of my
2.4
nationality or religion
I have already started a 0.6%
0.9%
Economic opportunities in home country 3.4 business 1.4% Indians
Europeans
19.1%
Desire to be with my family and friends Extremely interested 9.2% Chinese
3.9 9.6%
in home country
16.0%
Family obligations in home country 3.3 Very interested 8.3%
23.9%

No opinion on this right 31.1%


Availability of jobs in the U.S. 2.9 28.4%
now 23.4%
Difficulty in getting a visa to stay in the 20.3%
2.8 Somewhat interested 25.7%
U.S.
33.5%

(1= not at all a factor, 5 = an extremely important factor) 12.9%


Not at all interested 27.5%
8.3%

Entrepreneurial intentions
Over all, respondents expressed a strong interest in
starting a business. Of Chinese respondents, 68.4
percent are interested in starting a business or have
already started one; of European respondents, 44.1

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

14
DETAILED FINDINGS

Figure 22
Timeframe for starting a business (if interested in
starting a business)

7.3%
More than 15 years Indians
6.3%
from now
5.9% Europeans
Chinese
18.8%
11-15 years 16.5%
22.8%

46.3%
6-10 years 49.4%
45.0%

27.7%
5 years or less 27.8%
26.2%

Figure 23
Likely location of business startup (if interested in
starting a business)

24.6%
Not sure yet 33.3%
27.5%
Indians
3.1% Europeans
In another country 14.1%
Chinese
1.5%

54.7%
In your home country 34.6%
52.5%

17.6%
In the U.S. 17.9%
18.6%

Figure 24
Key problems faced by friends seeking to come to the
U.S.

2.2
They cannot get a student visa 1.7
2.3
Indians
They do not have the necessary academic 1.9 Europeans
2.0 Chinese
qualifications 2.3

2.4
Family issues prevent them 2.4
2.3

They cannot get scholarships/support 3.3


3.3
from U.S. universities 3.3

They cannot get financial support from 3.2


3.3
family/friends 3.2

(1 = no one has this problem, 5 = everyone has this problem)

Losing the World’s Best and Brightest

15

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