1
Introduction
“Never waste a crisis. It can be turned to joyful transformation”
. This statement isattributed to Rahm Emanuel, US President Barack Obama’s White House Chief of Staff.Other versions are in circulation also, including
“Never waste a good crisis”
, attributed toUS Secretary of State Hilary Clinton. The statement actually goes back at least to that fountof cynical wisdom, fifteenth century Florentine writer and statesman Niccolo Machiavelli
“Never waste the opportunities offered by a good crisis.”
Crises offer unrivalledopportunities for accelerated learning.
I believe that the current crisis teaches us two key lessons. The first concerns the roleof the state in the financial intermediation process and in the maintenance of financialstability. The second concerns the role of private and public sector incentives in the design of regulation.Unless these lessons are learnt, not only will the current crisis last longer thannecessary, but the next big crisis, following the current spectacular example of market failure,will be a crisis of state 'overreach' and of government failure. Central planning failed andcollapsed spectacularly in Central and Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union.Stultifying state capitalism, initiative-numbing over-regulation and overambitious socialengineering may well be the defining features of the next socio-economic system to fail afterthe collapse of the Thatcher-Reagan model currently under way – the chimera of self-regulating market capitalism with finance in the driver's seat – finance as the master of thereal economy rather than its servant.
1.
The essence of the current crisis
This lecture focuses on the lessons for financial regulators and supervisors of the financialcrisis that started around the middle of 2007 and the global contraction in economic activity that
Leave a Comment