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Public Policy Polling
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888 621-6988
Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
June 2, 2009
INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media
inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen)
QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312
Anyone’s Game in Virginia
Raleigh, N.C. – With a week until election day in Virginia’s Democratic primary for
Governor all three candidates are within five points of each other, the newest survey from
Public Policy Polling finds.
Creigh Deeds is at 27%, followed by Terry McAuliffe at 24%, and Brian Moran at 22%.
That puts the race well within the margin of error.
PPP’s last survey showed McAuliffe leading with 29% and Moran and Deeds both at
20%. Two major developments have shaped the movement in the race over the last week
and a half.
The first is Deeds’ endorsement by the Washington Post. He has gone from 11% in
northern Virginia to 23%. With 30% of the primary electorate coming from that region
that alone accounts for more than half of his jump from 20 to 27%.
The second is a decline in support for Terry McAuliffe in the areas where Brian Moran
has run television ads attacking him. In the last survey McAuliffe was running at 33% in
Hampton Roads and 34% in greater Richmond. He’s now declined to 25 and 23%
respectively in those markets.
“We’ve been saying for months this was anyone’s game and it’s more true now than
ever,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “All three candidates have
a perfectly reasonable chance of coming out on top next Tuesday.”
In the Lieutenant Governor’s race Jody Wagner is pulling away and now leads 27-11.
PPP surveyed 559 likely Virginia Democratic primary voters from May 28th to 31st. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.1%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
Complete results are attached and can be found at www.publicpolicypolling.com.
If you would like an interview regarding this release, please contact Dean Debnam at
(888) 621-6988 or 919-880-4888.
###
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Virginia Democratic Poll
Q1The Democratic candidates for Governor are
Creigh Deeds, Terry McAuliffe, and Brian
Moran. If the election was today, who would
you vote for? If Creigh Deeds, press 1. If
Terry McAuliffe, press 2. If Brian Moran, press
3. If you’re undecided, press 4.
27%
Creigh Deeds..........24%
Terry McAuliffe........
22%
Brian Moran............26%
Undecided...............
Q2Are you solidly committed to your current
choice for Governor, or is there a chance you
could vote for another candidate? If you are
solidly committed, press 1. If there is a chance
you could vote for another candidate, press 2.
56%
Solidly Committed...........................................
44%
Could Change Mind........................................
Q3Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Creigh Deeds? If favorable, press 1. If
unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press
3.
48%
Favorable........................................................
13%
Unfavorable....................................................
40%
Not Sure..........................................................
Q4Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Terry McAuliffe? If favorable, press 1. If
unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press
3.
39%
Favorable........................................................
35%
Unfavorable....................................................
26%
Not Sure..........................................................
Q5Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Brian Moran? If favorable, press 1. If
unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press
3.
44%
Favorable........................................................
18%
Unfavorable....................................................
39%
Not Sure..........................................................
Q6The Democratic candidates for Lieutenant
Governor are Michael Signer and Jody
Wagner. If the election was today, who would
you vote for? If Michael Signer, press 1. If
Jody Wagner, press 2. If you’re undecided,
press 3.
11%
Signer.............................................................
27%
Wagner...........................................................
63%
Undecided.......................................................
Q7Would you describe yourself as a liberal,
moderate, or conservative? If a liberal, press
1. If a moderate, press 2. If a conservative,
press 3.
35%
Liberal.............................................................
50%
Moderate.........................................................
15%
Conservative...................................................
Q8If you are a woman, press 1, if a man, press 2.
57%
Woman...........................................................
43%
Man.................................................................
Q9If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a
Republican, press 2. If other, press 3.
75%
Democrat........................................................
4%
Republican......................................................
22%
Other...............................................................
Q10If you are white, press 1. If you are African-
American, press 2. If Hispanic, press 3. If
other, press 4.
63%
White..............................................................
29%
African American............................................
4%
Hispanic..........................................................
3%
Other...............................................................
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Virginia Democratic Poll
Q1The Democratic candidates for Governor are
Creigh Deeds, Terry McAuliffe, and Brian
Moran. If the election was today, who would
you vote for? If Creigh Deeds, press 1. If
Terry McAuliffe, press 2. If Brian Moran, press
3. If you’re undecided, press 4.
27%
Creigh Deeds..........24%
Terry McAuliffe........
22%
Brian Moran............26%
Undecided...............
Q2Are you solidly committed to your current
choice for Governor, or is there a chance you
could vote for another candidate? If you are
solidly committed, press 1. If there is a chance
you could vote for another candidate, press 2.
56%
Solidly Committed...........................................
44%
Could Change Mind........................................
Q3Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Creigh Deeds? If favorable, press 1. If
unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press
3.
48%
Favorable........................................................
13%
Unfavorable....................................................
40%
Not Sure..........................................................
Q4Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Terry McAuliffe? If favorable, press 1. If
unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press
3.
39%
Favorable........................................................
35%
Unfavorable....................................................
26%
Not Sure..........................................................
Q5Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Brian Moran? If favorable, press 1. If
unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press
3.
44%
Favorable........................................................
18%
Unfavorable....................................................
39%
Not Sure..........................................................
Q6The Democratic candidates for Lieutenant
Governor are Michael Signer and Jody
Wagner. If the election was today, who would
you vote for? If Michael Signer, press 1. If
Jody Wagner, press 2. If you’re undecided,
press 3.
11%
Signer.............................................................
27%
Wagner...........................................................
63%
Undecided.......................................................
Q7Would you describe yourself as a liberal,
moderate, or conservative? If a liberal, press
1. If a moderate, press 2. If a conservative,
press 3.
35%
Liberal.............................................................
50%
Moderate.........................................................
15%
Conservative...................................................
Q8If you are a woman, press 1, if a man, press 2.
57%
Woman...........................................................
43%
Man.................................................................
Q9If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a
Republican, press 2. If other, press 3.
75%
Democrat........................................................
4%
Republican......................................................
22%
Other...............................................................
Q10If you are white, press 1. If you are African-
American, press 2. If Hispanic, press 3. If
other, press 4.
63%
White..............................................................
29%
African American............................................
4%
Hispanic..........................................................
3%
Other...............................................................
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q11If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1 now. If
you are 30 to 45, press 2. If you are 46 to 65,
press 3. If older, press 4.
11%
18 to 29...........................................................
25%
30 to 45...........................................................
44%
46 to 65...........................................................
20%
Older than 65..................................................
Q12
59%
2008 Primary Voter Only.................................
41%
Voted in '05, '06, or '07 primary.......................
Q13
5%
276..................................................................
10%
434..................................................................
18%
540..................................................................
31%
703..................................................................
21%
757..................................................................
15%
804..................................................................
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
May 28-31, 2009
Survey of 559 likely primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q11If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1 now. If
you are 30 to 45, press 2. If you are 46 to 65,
press 3. If older, press 4.
11%
18 to 29...........................................................
25%
30 to 45...........................................................
44%
46 to 65...........................................................
20%
Older than 65..................................................
Q12
59%
2008 Primary Voter Only.................................
41%
Voted in '05, '06, or '07 primary.......................
Q13
5%
276..................................................................
10%
434..................................................................
18%
540..................................................................
31%
703..................................................................
21%
757..................................................................
15%
804..................................................................
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