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Monetary Value of a Webseries Distributed In One Platform
(c) 2009 Armando Gutierrez VelascoDistributed under a Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial Share Alike license (http://creativecommons.oREADME:
If you make any useful modifications, feel free to share them with others. You can re
AssumptionsHow much is it worth today?
Net CPM€25.00
PessimisticProbable
Annual Rate10.00%
Per series
2,936.94 €9,749.64 €Monthly Rate0.80%
(in dollars)
$3,898.81 $12,942.74Exch. Rate€0.75329
Per minute
58.74 194.99 Length in minutes50
Relative GrowthGrowth multiplicatoMonthSeriesPessimisticProbableOptimistic
0 100%100%100%100%120%-5%0%5%2-5%-5%0%5%3-10%-5%0%5%4-10%-5%0%5%510%-5%0%5%65%-5%0%5%75%-5%0%5%85%-5%0%5%9-5%-5%0%5%10-10%-5%0%5%11-15%-5%0%5%12-20%-5%0%5%13-30%-5%0%5%
Views per EpisodeMonthPessimisticProbableOptimisticInitial Views
04,000 10,000 20,0001 4,600 12,000 25,0002 4,140 11,400 25,0003 3,519 10,260 23,7504 2,991 9,234 22,5635 3,141 10,157 25,9476 3,141 10,665 28,5427 3,141 11,199 31,3968 3,141 11,758 34,5359 2,827 11,171 34,53510 2,403 10,053 32,80911 1,922 8,545 29,52812 1,442 6,836 25,09913 937 4,785 18,824Total 41,343 138,065 377,526Series Growth(Cumulative)Numbers inblueare your assumptions; change them to your satisfaction. Stuff with
 
100%120%115%105%95%105%110%115%120%115%105%90%70%40%
Row53Row54Row55Row56Row57Row58Row59Row60Row61Row62Rw6 0%20%40%60%80%100%120%
 
rg/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/ )
ach me at forecastmodel@the.otherinbox.com or through my blog at webseries.posterous.com
 Optimistic
26,505.05 €$35,185.71530.10 €
Expected growth of viewership for individual episodes, as a
123456 
Novelty kick100%34%31%22%25%17%Summer dipWinter kickSpring dip
Predicted Views (Pessimistic Scenario)Month1234560
4000136012408801000680
1
46001564142610121150782
2
4140140812839111035704
3
351911961091774880598
4
29911017927658748508
5
31411068974691785534
6
31411068974691785534
7
31411068974691785534
8
31411068974691785534
9
2827961876622707481
10
2403817745529601408
11
1922654596423481327
12
1442490447317360245
13
937319290206234159
Total4134414059128199099103417034
Predicted Views (Probable Scenario)
agraybackground is automatically calculated
Column IColumn JColumn KColumn LColumn MColumn NColumn OColumn PColumn QColumn R0%20%40%60%80%100%Expected Growth of Viewership for Individual Episodes
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