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Worldwide spending on weapons has reached record levels amounting to well over $1tn last year,
a leading research organisation reported today.
Global military expenditure has risen by 45% over the past decade to $1.46tn, according to the
latest annual Yearbook on Armaments, Disarmament, and International Security published by the
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.
Though the US accounts for more than half the total increase, China and Russia nearly tripled their
military expenditure over the decade, with China now second only to the US in the military
expenditure league table.
"China had both the largest absolute and the largest relative increase," says the Sipri report. The
increase "has roughly paralleled its economic growth and is also linked to its major power
aspirations," it adds.
Other regional powers, including India, Brazil and Algeria, also substantially increased their
spending on arms, the report says.
Despite increasing its military expenditure by 3% in real terms in 2008 and by 21% since 1999,
Britain faces a significant military budget shortfall. Sipri says this is due partly to the UK's
involvement in two conflicts, in Afghanistan and Iraq, which are projected to have cost a total of
£12bn ($18bn). It is also partly due to commitments to numerous large weapons procurement
projects that cannot be funded under current budget plans. To close the budget shortfall, the MoD
decided last year to reduce or postpone, but not cancel, large projects including plans to build two
aircraft carriers, and high-tech armoured cars for the army.
"The idea of the 'war on terror' has encouraged many countries to see their problems through a
highly militarised lens, using this to justify high military spending," said Dr Sam Perlo-Freeman,
head of Sipri's military expenditure project. "Meanwhile, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have cost
$903bn in additional military spending by the USA alone."
Sipri's yearbook also lists the top 100 arms producing companies, excluding Chinese ones, for
which figures were unavailable. Boeing remained the top arms producer in 2007 – the most recent
year for which reliable data is available – with arms sales worth $30.5bn. All the top 20 companies
are American or European.
Their aggregate arms sales amounted to $347bn in 2007, an increase of 5% in real terms over
2006.
Sipri estimates that in total there are about 8,400 operational nuclear warheads in the world, of
which almost 2,000 are kept on high alert and capable of being launched in minutes. Counting
spare warheads, those in storage and those due to be dismantled, there are 23,300 nuclear
weapons in the arsenals of eight states – the US, Russia, China, the UK, France, India, Pakistan
and Israel, according to the yearbook.
The number of people forcibly displaced by conflict has also increased in recent years, with
internally displaced persons (IDPs) reaching 26 million, more than twice the number of refugees,
says the Sipri report. "For a large share of these people, no sustainable solution is in sight. Mass
population displacement is often a result – and even a goal – of violence against civilians."
1 USA 607
2 China 84.9
3 France 65.7
4 UK 65.3
5 Russia 58.6
6 Germany 46.8
7 Japan 46.3
8 Italy 40.6
9 Saudi Arabia 38.2
10 India 30
SIPRI
YEARBOOK
2009
Armaments,
Disarmament and
International
Security
Summary
STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL
PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) is an independent
international institute for research into problems of peace and conflict, especially those of
arms control and disarmament. SIPRI was established in 1966 to commemorate 150 years
of unbroken peace in Sweden.
GOVERNING BOARD
Ambassador Rolf Ekéus, Chairman (Sweden)
Dr Alexei G. Arbatov (Russia)
Ambassador Lakhdar Brahimi (Algeria)
Jayantha Dhanapala (Sri Lanka)
Dr Nabil Elaraby (Egypt)
Professor Mary Kaldor (United Kingdom)
Ambassador Wolfgang Ischinger (Germany)
The Director
DIRECTOR
Dr Bates Gill (United States)
Signalistgatan 9
SE-169 70 Solna, Sweden
Telephone: +46 8 655 97 00
Fax: +46 8 655 97 33
Email: sipri@sipri.org
Internet: www.sipri.org © SIPRI 2009
THE SIPRI YEARBOOK
The SIPRI Yearbook was first published in 1969 and is now in its 40th edition. SIPRI
Yearbook 2009 presents a combination of original data in areas such as world military
expenditure, international arms transfers, arms production, nuclear forces, major armed
conflicts and multilateral peace operations with state-of-the-art analysis of important
aspects of arms control, peace and international security. The Yearbook is written by both
SIPRI researchers and invited outside experts.
This booklet summarizes the contents of SIPRI Yearbook 2009 and gives samples of the
data and information in its appendices and annexes.
CONTENTS
Introduction. International security, armaments and disarmament in 2008 2
5. Military expenditure 10
6. Arms production 12
7. International arms transfers 14
8. World nuclear forces 16
Annexes 22
INTRODUCTION. INTERNATIONAL SECURITY, ARMAMENTS AND
DISARMAMENT IN 2008
bates gill
The year 2008 saw increasing threats to that will be. The fragmentation of
security, stability and peace in nearly violence in weak states of the
every corner of the globe. The effects of developing world appears set to
the global financial crisis will be likely continue and carry with it protracted
to exacerbate these challenges as suffering for civilians and further
governments and non-governmental regional instabilities. The security
organizations struggle to respond situation in Afghanistan is likely to
effectively. The conflicts in Afghanistan worsen before long-hoped-for stability
and Iraq continued, with moderate and development can be achieved, with
improvements to the security situation the security situation in neighbouring
in the latter and worsening conditions Pakistan—arguably a more important
in the former. A total of 16 major armed long-term concern for regional and
conflicts raged on, with many gathering global security—also taking a turn for
intensity over the course of 2008. the worse.
Deliberate violence against civilians by Russia and the USA may be able to
warring parties was increasingly and improve relations quickly in the coming
appallingly common. year, including cooperation on arms
The year also saw some promising control and non-proliferation.
developments. High expectations— Nonetheless, a successful Non-
probably overly so—generated by the Proliferation Treaty Review Conference
election of Barack Obama as US in 2010—and progress on disarmament
President carried with them hopes for a and tightened controls against
sound exit strategy from Iraq, would-be proliferators—seems far from
stabilizing Afghanistan and changes in certain, even as high-profile efforts are
the way that the USA engages with the mobilized to assure such progress.
international community. Expectations Attacks by non-state actors with
are also high that President Obama will chemical, biological, radiological or
seek to rebuild transatlantic relations, nuclear weapons remain an ominous
establish more productive relations prospect.
with Russia, reach out to the Muslim These and other challenges may be
world and devote more time and energy exacerbated by the effects of the world
to improving the security situation in financial crisis as key countries find it
Afghanistan, the Middle East and difficult to muster the necessary
Pakistan, and relations with Iran. political and economic will to
Looking ahead, SIPRI Yearbook 2009 collectively address global and regional
underscores just what a difficult task security problems.
ekaterina stepanova
No. of conflicts
15
sided violence by states have been in
relative decline in the present decade, 10
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THE GLOBAL PEACE INDEX 2009
insurgency campaigns on
government-aligned militia—a form The Global Peace Index (GPI) seeks to
of ‘outsourcing’ direct violence and determine what cultural attributes and
abuses against civilians; institutions are associated with states of
ƀɟ ."ɟ!,)1#(!ɟ,)&ɟ) ɟ,&-ɟ#(ɟ/-#(!ɟ peace. It ranks 144 countries by their
civilian fatalities through one-sided relative states of peace using
violence, including terrorist attacks, 23 indicators.
which are increasingly employed as
The most and least peaceful states, 2009
a tactic in asymmetrical
confrontation with the state. Rank Country Score
ƀɟ ."ɟ .ɟ.".ɟ#(ɟ."ɟ,),ɟ)(.2.ɟ) ɟ 1 New Zealand 1.202
the fragmentation of violence and 2 Denmark 1.217
the diversification of armed actors— 2 Norway 1.217
especially in weak and dysfunctional 4 Iceland 1.225
states—some of the worst violations 5 Austria 1.252
against civilians may be committed 140 Sudan 2.922
by local power brokers, armed 141 Israel 3.035
irregulars and criminal gangs with 142 Somalia 3.257
no explicit political agendas. 143 Afghanistan 3.285
144 Iraq 3.341
sharon wiharta
120
40
100
30 80
20 60
40
10
20
0 0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
tim foxley
The debate about Afghanistan’s future concern, the insurgents. The next two
takes place against a backdrop of or three years may well see a
increasingly confident insurgent redefinition of ‘success’ that will enable
attacks, slow political and economic international forces to start to pull out.
progress and negative perceptions A rushed declaration of Afghan
about the country’s prospects. Although Government and security force
the efforts and commitment of capability followed by a hasty
international organizations remain international exit would risk leaving
crucial for Afghanistan, their lack of behind a dangerously messy political
coordination and strategy hampers and security situation.
progress and frustrates the Afghan Regrettably, Afghanistan’s fate over
Government and people. In 2008 there the next few years still looks to be finely
was a significant media and analytical balanced. Progress will continue to be
shift towards perceiving the war as slow, flawed and fragile. Any number of
‘unwinnable’. The long-term prospects factors, such as a political assassination,
for Afghanistan continue to look bleak. a mass-casualty incident (whether
It is encouraging that the caused by the International Security
international community, and the Assistance Force or Afghans) or a shift
United States in particular, is in warlord allegiances, could
reassessing motivations, goals and individually or in combination quickly
resources. The sense of international cause progress to unravel. Although
war-weariness and willingness to much of the Obama Administration’s
compromise on expectations appear encouragingly ‘regional’ thinking on
strong. Despite optimism following the Afghanistan hinges on Pakistan, there
election of US President Barack Obama, are arguably even greater problems in
judgement is only being temporarily that country.
suspended. The ‘new’ strategy looks Perhaps the only real guarantee for
very similar to old ones and much the new US strategy, based on the
depends on how effectively the Obama international community’s experience
Administration can apply itself over the over the past seven years, is that future
next year or two, before individual political, military and development
states start to withdraw their troops. efforts in and around Afghanistan will
The wavering commitment of the be more complex, will take longer and
international community is not going the results will be more fragile than the
unnoticed by the Afghan Government, original expectations.
the Afghan people and, perhaps of most
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<http://www.caus.org.lb/>
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<http://www.fundacioperlapau.org/>
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<http://www.vlaamsvredesinstituut.eu/>
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Stratégiques (IRIS), Paris, <http://www.iris-france.org/>
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sam perlo-freeman
shannon n. kile
The effort to control ‘inhumane return. On the other hand, the current
weapons’ at the global level achieved a crisis creates an opportunity to rethink
remarkable breakthrough in 2008. The the pertinence of the CFE regime to the
Oslo process, which was launched in new realities of European security. A
2006 to stigmatize and effectively future conventional arms control
tackle cluster munitions, resulted in a regime, if it is to be relevant, will
legally binding convention, the demand much improved security
Convention on Cluster Munitions cooperation in the Euro-Atlantic area,
(CCM). Despite continued claims of the which is currently lacking.
military usefulness of cluster munitions In contrast to the plight of the CFE
and the limited effect of the convention Treaty regime, the subregional arms
due to the non-participation of major control framework in the Western
users, producers and stockpilers, it is Balkans continued to operate smoothly.
hoped that the CCM will contribute to Confidence- and security-building
the moral and political stigmatization measures in Europe are now focused on
of cluster munitions to such an extent select areas, while similar initiatives
that governments which are not party elsewhere have not progressed
to the convention will be increasingly satisfactorily. The Organization for
reluctant to use such weapons. Security and Co-operation in Europe
The situation in European (OSCE) community strives to counter
conventional arms control in 2008 multidimensional threats, increasingly
remained troubling. After Russia’s of a non-state nature. The practical
decision to ‘suspend’ its participation in assistance given to the OSCE
the 1990 Treaty on Conventional Armed participating states through the
Forces in Europe (CFE Treaty) in implementation of projects on small
December 2007, the treaty was in arms and light weapons and on
abeyance during 2008. The Western stockpiles of conventional ammunition
states’ ‘parallel actions’ proposal as well as the updating and
remained on the negotiating table, streamlining of the 1994 Code of
while Russia sent vague signals about a Conduct on Politico-Military Aspects of
broader European security treaty. All of Security are considered a key
the CFE states parties except Russia component in the improvement of
have thus far fully implemented the security and stability in the OSCE
treaty’s provisions but, despite goodwill region.
on their part, the treaty’s continuing
erosion risks reaching a point of no
nenne bodell
annexes 23
RECENT SIPRI PUBLICATIONS
Transparency in Transfers of Small Arms and Light Weapons: Reports to the United
Nations Register of Conventional Arms, 2003–2006
SIPRI Policy Paper No. 22
By Paul Holtom
July 2008
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