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10 Key Lessons From the GFC for Investors and Traders

10 Key Lessons From the GFC for Investors and Traders

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The hand-out notes from Brainy's free 90 minute seminar on "10 Key Lessons from the GFC" held in May 2009.
The hand-out notes from Brainy's free 90 minute seminar on "10 Key Lessons from the GFC" held in May 2009.

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Published by: Robert on Jun 15, 2009
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06/15/2009

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Brainy's
10 Key Lessons
from the GFC*
for investors and traders
Free 90-minute Seminar 
May 2009
Handout Notes
Edition 2 
* GFC — Global Financial Crisis
 © June 2009, R.B.Brain – Consulting
document filename:Brainy:...10-Key-Lessons-from-the-GFC.odtPrinted: 15/06/2009
The share market can seemmystical and almost like blacmagic; but with the right support and assistance, it just seems like magic.” 
Robert Brain
 
Robert (“
Brainy 
) Brain'sFREE Semina
10 Key Lessons from the GFC for Investors and Traders
Important Notice (and disclaimer)
Robert does not hold an AFS license. There is no intention with any of these workshops, seminars or thishandbook to provide investment advice. None of the information presented takes into account theinvestment objectives, financial situation and/or particular needs of any person or class of persons. Theinformation is strictly for education and information only. To this end, it has to be said here that anyproduct that is mentioned or referred to in this workshop or handbook is not recommended by the author.The reader should seek professional advice to this end.This handbook does not contain any advice.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Robert has a tertiary qualification in Mechanical Engineering, and 30+ years experience in a number ofindustries using specialist skills and knowledge in the ICT field Information and CommunicationsTechnology. He is a computer power user, and very proficient in a variety of desktop software products(including BullCharts charting software).Robert became seriously interested in the stock market at about the time of the tech crash (2000-2001),and he has been studying and applying Technical Analysis since then. He has been the convenor of theMelbourne BullCharts User Group since its inception in 2006. With the computer background, he is veryknowledgeable in each of the share market, BullCharts software and technical analysis.Robert now runs a business to provide ongoing support and tuition to share market investors and traders,and specialising in supporting BullCharts software users. Robert presents a variety of seminars andworkshops, and writes a number of eNewsletters and Tip Sheets.
ABOUT THESE NOTES AND THE SEMINAR
These notes accompany Robert's “
10 Key Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis 
” seminar.Other seminars and workshops are also available for those people who might be interested in more detailson various aspects.More information about Brainy's various seminars and workshops, including registration for upcomingevents, is available at Robert's web site:
Acknowledgements
Phil Anderson of
Economic Indicator Services 
(athttp://www.businesscycles.biz/ )has provided some research and information which is a real eye-opener. His book is highly recommended "The Secret Life ofReal Estate". (Anderson, Phillip J,
The Secret Life of Real Estate — How it moves and why 
”, Shepheard-Walwyn, 2008)Frank Watkins of
Protrader 
really tells it all in his book “
Exploding the Myths 
”, which is a fantastic read.(Watkins, Frank, “Exploding the Myths”, Vocational Education & Training Publications, 2003) Visitwww.protrader.com.au for more information.Stan Weinstein's book “
Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets 
” (McGraw-Hill, 1988) is a classic thathelps put a lot into perspective for anyone who is looking for answers when they start their investing journey.These books are available from theEducated Investor bookshop (www.educatedinvestor.com.au) in Melbourne (tell Janene in the shop that Robert Brain sent you, and you will receive a 10% discount).
NOTE: This document does NOT contain any advice
.Page 2
This entire document is for education only.There are NO recommendations in this document.
© May 2009, R.B.Brain – Consulting
 
Robert (“
Brainy 
) Brain'sFREE Semina
10 Key Lessons from the GFC for Investors and Traders
Table of Contents
1 Seminar Introduction.....................................................................................................
4
1.1 Your own notes................................................................................................................
4
2 Recent history................................................................................................................
5
2.1 From 1986 to 2009............................................................................................................
5
2.2 Ups and downs — 1988 to 1998......................................................................................
6
2.3 Ups and downs — 1993 to 2003......................................................................................
7
2.4 The big picture — 1986 to 2009.......................................................................................
8
3 Principles........................................................................................................................
9
3.1 The trend is your friend...................................................................................................
9
3.2 The stock market does rise over time............................................................................
9
4 The 10 Key Lessons.....................................................................................................
4.1 Lesson #1 — Property values — they rise and they fall..............................................
4.2 Lesson #2 — Stock market corrections — How often? How long?............................
4.3 Lesson #3 — Bear markets — share markets do fall (a long way).............................
4.4 Lesson #4 — Financial advisors, brokers, bankers.....................................................
4.5 Lesson #5 — "Timing" the market? or "Time in" the market?....................................
4.6 Lesson #6 — Your investments and capital-protected schemes — safe?.................
4.7 Lesson #7 — Leveraged investments and derivatives (eg. CFDs).............................
4.8 Lesson #8 — Margin lending — can it be safe?...........................................................
4.9 Lesson #9 — Can Blue Chip investments really fall 90% or more?............................
4.10 Lesson #10 — The old "Buy and Hold" strategy is dead!.........................................
5 Technical Analysis.......................................................................................................
5.1 Share price charts..........................................................................................................
5.2 Trends and Trend lines..................................................................................................
5.3 The Moving Average (MA)..............................................................................................
5.4 Candlesticks...................................................................................................................
5.5 Support and Resistance.................................................................................................
5.6 Technical Analysis — in summary................................................................................
6 Stop! — Before you take up share trading................................................................
6.1 Stop loss positions........................................................................................................
6.2 Trading Plans and Strategies........................................................................................
6.3 Money Management.......................................................................................................
6.4 Can you cope with the emotion?...................................................................................
7 What to do next?..........................................................................................................
7.1 Should I take some action, or no action?.....................................................................
7.2 Possible action steps.....................................................................................................
8 More information and help..........................................................................................
9 Summary.......................................................................................................................
10 Bibliography...............................................................................................................
NOTE: This document does NOT contain any advice
.Page 3
This entire document is for education only.There are NO recommendations in this document.
© May 2009, R.B.Brain – Consulting

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