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STA261H1S: Solutions of rst quiz

Question 1. P (A B ) = P (A) + P (B ) P (A)P (B ) = 0.4 + 0.6 0.4 0.6 = 0.76. (2 marks) Question 2. (n 1)S 2 / 2 n1 (1 mark), we have E (S 2 ) = 2 and V ar(S 2 ) = 2 4 /(n 1) (2 marks). Since for any > 0, P (|S 2 2 | > ) V ar(S 2 )/2 0, (1)

as n by Chebyschevs Lemma, S 2 is a consistent estimate of 2 (1 mark). m = 2X m ) = (1 mark) and is unbiased since E ( Question 3. The moment estimate is mle = max{X1 , , Xn } (1 mark). The pdf is (1 mark). The mle is mle x) = P (X1 x, , Xn x) = P ( mle ) = E ( mle is biased (1 mark). Hence,
0 n

P ( X i x) =
i=1

xn n

xn1 n xn n = . n+1

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