Time Value of Money
Time value of money is the value of money figuring in a given amount of interestfor a given amount of time. For example 100 Rupees of todays money held for ayear at 5 percent interest is worth 105 Rupees, therefore 100 Rupees paid now or 105 Rupees paid exactly one year from now is the same amount of payment of money with that given interest at that given amount of time[1]. This notion dates atleast to Martín de Azpilcueta of the School of Salamanca.All of the standard calculations for time value money derive from the most basicalgebraic expression for the present value of a future sum, "discounted" to thepresent by an amount equal to the time value of money. For example, a sum of FV to be received in one year is discounted (at the rate of interest r) to give a sumof PV at present: PV = FV — r·PV = FV/(1+r).Some standard calculations based on the time value of money are:
Present Value
The current worth of a future sum of money or stream of cashflows given a specified rate of return. Future cash flows are discounted at thediscount rate, and the higher the discount rate, the lower the present value of thefuture cash flows. Determining the appropriate discount rate is the key to properlyvaluing future cash flows, whether they be earnings or obligations[2].
Present Value
of a Annuity
An annuity is a series of equal payments or receiptsthat occur at evenly spaced intervals. Leases and rental payments are examples.The payments or receipts occur at the end of each period for an ordinary annuitywhile they occur at the beginning of each period for an annuity due[3].
Present Value
of a Perpetuity
is a constant stream of identical cash flows withno end.
Future Value
is the value of an asset or cash at a specified date in the future thatis equivalent in value to a specified sum today[5].
Future Value of an Annuity
(FVA) is the future value of a stream of payments(annuity), assuming the payments are invested at a given rate of interest.
Compound Value
– We have thus developed a logic for deciding between cashflows that are separated by one period, such as one year. But most investmentdecisions involve more than one period. To solve such complicated investmentdecisions, we simply need to extent the logic developed above.
Present Value
– This process work in the reverse direction of Compound Value –working from future cash flows to their present values. The present value of afuture cash inflow maker, to a specified amount of cash to be received or paid at afuture date. The process of determining present value of a future payment (or receipts) or a series of future payments (or receipts) is called
discounting
. Thecompound interest rate used for discounting cash flows is also called the
discount rate
.
Annuity Due -
An annuity due requires payments to be made at the beginning of the period. For example, in many lease arrangements, the first payment is dueimmediately and each successive payment must be made at the beginning of themonth. The concepts of compound value and present value of an annuitydiscussed earlier are based on the assumption that series of payments are madeat the end of the year. In practice, payments could be made at the beginning of the year.
Multi period Compounding
– In practice, cash flows can occur more than once ayear. For example, banks may pay interest on savings account quarterly. Onbonds or debentures and public deposits, companies may pay interest on savingsaccount quarterly. On bonds or debentures and public deposits, companies maypay interest semi-annually. Similarly, financial institutions may require borrowersto pay interest quarterly or half-yearly. Its also called as
ContinuousCompounding
.
Rate of Return
- Rate of return (ROR), also known as Return on Investment(ROI), rate of profit or sometimes just return, is the ratio of money gained or lost(whether realized or unrealized) on an investment relative to the amount of moneyinvested. The amount of money gained or lost may be referred to as interest,profit/loss, gain/loss, or net income/loss. The money invested may be referred toas the asset, capital, principal, or the cost basis of the investment. ROI is usuallyexpressed as a percentage rather than a fraction.
Investment Decisions
–
Investment Decisions / Capital budgeting
(or
investment appraisal
) is the planning process used to determine whether afirm's long term investments such as new machinery, replacement machinery, newplants, new products, and research development projects are worth pursuing. It isbudget for major capital, or investment, expenditures.Many formal methods are used in capital budgeting, including the techniquessuch as - Net present value, Profitability index, Internal rate of return, ModifiedInternal, Rate of Return, Equivalent annuity
Features
– the exchange of current funds for future benefits, the funds areinvested in long-term assets, the future benefits will occur to the firm over a seriesof years.
Importance
– They have long-term implications for the firm, and can influence itsrisk complexion, They involve commitment of large amount of funds, They areirreversible decisions, They are among the most difficult decisions to make.
Types
– Expansion of existing business, Expansion of new business,Replacement and modernisation.
Investment Evaluation Criteria
– 3 Steps -> Estimation of cash flows, Estimationof the required rate of return
Characteristics
– It should -- consider all cash flows to determine the trueprofitability of the project, provide for an objective and unambiguous way of separating good projects from bad projects, help ranking of projects according totheir true profitability.
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW - Net Present Value Method
- NPV compares thevalue of a Rupee today to the value of that same Rupee in the future, takinginflation and returns into account. If the NPV of a prospective project is positive, itshould be accepted. However, if NPV is negative, the project should probably berejected because cash flows will also be negative. Each cash inflow/outflow isdiscounted back to its present value (PV). Then they are summed. Therefore NPVis the sum of all terms , where --
t
- the time of the cash flow
i
- the discount rate (the rate of return that could be earned on an investment inthe financial markets with similar risk.)
R
t
- the net cash flow (the amount of cash, inflow minus outflow) at time t (for educational purposes, R0 is commonly placed to the left of the sum to emphasizeits role as (minus the) investment.
Acceptance Rule –
Accept if NPV > 0 (positive), Reject if NPV < 0 (negative)
Merits
– consider all cash flows, true measure of profitability, based on theconcept of the time value of money, satisfies the value-additivity principle,consistence with wealth maximisation principle
Demerits
– Requires estimates of cash flows which is a tedious task, Requirescomputation of the opportunity cost of capital which poses practical difficulties,sensitive to discount rates
Internal Rate of Return Method (IRR)
- The internal rate of return (IRR) is acapital budgeting metric used by firms to decide whether they should makeinvestments. It is also called discounted cash flow rate of return (DCFROR) or rate of return (ROR).[1] It is an indicator of the efficiency or quality of aninvestment, as opposed to net present value (NPV), which indicates value or magnitude.Instead of converting to the present we can also convertto any other fixed time; the value obtained is zero if and only if the NPV is zero.
Acceptance Rule –
Accept if IRR > k, Reject if IRR < k, Project may be acceptedif IRR = k.
Merits
– considers all cash flows, true measure of profitability, based on theconcept of time value of money, generally consistent with wealth maximisationprinciple.
Demerit
– requires estimates of cash flows which is a tedious task, does not holdthe value-additivity principle, At times fails to indicate correct coice betweenmutually exclusive projects, At times yields multiple rates, Relatively difficult tocompute
Profitability Index -
An index that attempts to identify the relationship betweenthe costs and benefits of a proposed project through the use of a ratio calculatedasA ratio of 1.0 is logically the lowest acceptable measure on the index. Any valuelower than 1.0 would indicate that the project's PV is less than the initialinvestment. As values on the profitability index increase, so does the financialattractiveness of the proposed project.
Acceptance Rule
– Accept if PI > 1.0, Reject if PI < 1.0, Project may be acceptedif PI = 1.0
Merits
– Considers all cash flows, Recognises the time value of money, Relativemeasure of profitability, Generally consistent with the wealth maximisationprinciple.
Demerits
– Requires estimates of the cash flows which is a tedious task, At timesfails to indicate correct choice between mutually exclusive projects.
NON DISCOUNTED CASH FLOWPayback (PB)
- the number of years required to recover the initial outlay of theinvestment is called payback.PB = Initial Investment / Annual cash flow = C
o
/ C
Acceptance Rule
– Accept if PB < standard payback, Reject if PB > standard…
Merits
– Easy to understand and compute and inexpensive to use, Emphasisliquidity, easy and crude way to cope with risk, Uses cash flows information
Demerits
– Ignores the tome value of money, ignores cash flows occurring after the payback periods, not a measure of profitability, no objective way to determinethe standard payback, no relation with the wealth maximisation principle.
Discount Payback
– The number of years required in recovering the cash outlayon the present value basis is the discounted payable period. Except usingdiscounted cash flows in calculating payback, this method has all the demerits of payback method.
Accounting rate of return (ARR)
– An average rate of return found by dividingthe average profit [EBIT (1 –
T
)] by the average investment.ARR = Average profit / Average investment
Acceptance Rule
– Accept if ARR > minimum rate, Reject if ARR < minimum rate
Merits
– Uses accounting data with which executives are familiar, Easy tounderstand and calculate –
Demerits
– Ignores the time value of money, Doesnot use cash flows, Gives more weightage to future receipts, No objective way todetermine the minimum acceptable rate of return.
Leave a Comment