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For Official Use DSTI/SU/SC(2006)4
 
Organisation de Coopération et de Développement EconomiquesOrganisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
08-Feb-2006
 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 
English - Or. English
DIRECTORATE FOR SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRY
STEEL COMMITTEETHE INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRYJoint India/OECD/IISI Workshop, New Delhi (India), 16-17 May 2006
This document by Parijat Consulting (India) is submitted for information and discussion to the participants to the joint India/OECD/IISI Workshop.
Contact : Mr. Wolfgang Hübner, Structural Policy Division and Steel Unit, tel: +33 1 45 24 91 32;fax: +33 1 44 30 62 63; e-mail: wolfgang.hubner@oecd.org
JT00200679
Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origineComplete document available on OLIS in its original format
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DSTI/SU/SC(2006)42
THE INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRYTABLE OF CONTENTS
THE INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY...............................................................................................................2
 
CURRENT STRUCTURE.............................................................................................................................5
 
Executive summary.....................................................................................................................................5
 
Overview.................................................................................................................................................5
 
Industry outlook and dispersion demographics.......................................................................................5
 
Trends in domestic pricing......................................................................................................................5
 
The Financial Scenario............................................................................................................................6
 
The Regulatory Interface.........................................................................................................................6
 
Outlook for Industry................................................................................................................................6
 
Introduction.................................................................................................................................................6
 
An overview: The steel industry.................................................................................................................7
 
The Indian steel industry - Backbone of the Indian economy.................................................................8
 
The Indian steel industry can be divided into two distinct producer groups...........................................9
 
Key highlights.............................................................................................................................................9
 
Production & consumption trends.............................................................................................................10
 
Demand – supply.......................................................................................................................................11
 
Demand..................................................................................................................................................11
 
Supply....................................................................................................................................................13
 
Geographical structure of demand............................................................................................................15
 
Reason for capacity concentration.........................................................................................................15
 
Imports of iron & steel..............................................................................................................................16
 
Exports of iron & steel..............................................................................................................................16
 
Ownership structure..................................................................................................................................16
 
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE AND COMPARISON....................................................................................17
 
Financial performance...............................................................................................................................17
 
Steel sector: In the midst of a boom......................................................................................................17
 
Credit profile steady despite declining profitability..............................................................................19
 
Operating profitability to fall.................................................................................................................19
 
Industry: Cumulative financial..................................................................................................................21
 
A comparative look...................................................................................................................................21
 
Income statement [Rs mn].....................................................................................................................21
 
Balance sheet [Rs mn]...........................................................................................................................22
 
Ratio analysis.........................................................................................................................................22
 
Market capitalization and equity related ratios......................................................................................23
 
Competitive position of the 5 principal producers....................................................................................23
 
 
DSTI/SU/SC(2006)43STEEL MARKET DEVELOPMENT..........................................................................................................24
 
M&A activity and consolidation trends....................................................................................................24
 
Global steel industry on a merger spree................................................................................................24
 
Indian companies not lagging behind....................................................................................................25
 
Recent change in the steel industry...........................................................................................................26
 
Trends in raw material scenario in India and overseas..............................................................................26
 
The Indian steel industry – challenges for the future................................................................................28
 
REGULATORY PERSPECTIVE AND GOVERNMENT POLICY UPDATE..........................................30
 
Government policies.................................................................................................................................30
 
Government's role is crucial..................................................................................................................30
 
 New steel policy....................................................................................................................................30
 
Impact of duties and tariffs........................................................................................................................31
 
Tariffs effect on major players in steel..................................................................................................31
 
FUTURE OUTLOOK...................................................................................................................................32
 
Growth projection and outlook analysis....................................................................................................32
 
Domestic demand capacity ratio............................................................................................................34
 
Indian steel - Should emerge from the current weakness......................................................................34
 
Lure of Iron ore......................................................................................................................................35
 
Short-term Outlook: steady growth in steel demand until 2006................................................................36
 
India: low per-capita consumption, attractive growth prospects...........................................................36
 
Infrastructure and construction: key drivers..........................................................................................36
 
Automobile/White goods sectors to further drive growth.....................................................................36
 
Low but rising gross domestic capital formation...................................................................................36
 
Industrial production and manufacturing sector drive growth...............................................................37
 
The principal drivers.................................................................................................................................38
 
Power: massive investments on the cards..............................................................................................38
 
Roads.....................................................................................................................................................38
 
Housing shortages to prop up demand for steel.....................................................................................39
 
Duties cut and assumed forecast...............................................................................................................40
 
The Pie gets bigger in India.......................................................................................................................41
 
Advantage India........................................................................................................................................42
 
ISSUES AND CHALLENGES....................................................................................................................43
 
Current global issues and implication on Indian industry.........................................................................43
 
Issues.....................................................................................................................................................43
 
Conclusion.............................................................................................................................................45
 
Key India centric industry constraints.......................................................................................................45
 
Steel companies in India operate in an adverse factor cost scenario.....................................................46
 
Recommendations.....................................................................................................................................46
 
Backward integration is the key to leadership.......................................................................................47
 
THE PRINCIPAL PLAYERS - A COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVE.......................................................48
 
Tata steel...................................................................................................................................................48
 
SAIL..........................................................................................................................................................51
 
Jindal steel and power (JSPL)...................................................................................................................53
 
Essar steel..................................................................................................................................................55
 
Ispat steel...................................................................................................................................................56
 
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