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TO: Brown Ulman 2014FROM: Frederick YangDATE: September 20, 2013RE: Latest Statewide Survey Confirms Anthony BrownRemains Strongly Positioned In Democratic Primary ForGovernor
Between September 11 and 15, 2013, Garin-Hart-Yang interviewed a statewidesample of 608 likely Democratic primary voters. The survey, which has a margin of error of +4.0 percentage points, is fully representative of a 2014 statewideDemocratic primary electorate by key geographic and demographic factors.Lt. Governor Brown has significantly INCREASED his strong lead in the Democraticprimary election since our 2012 poll, going from a 14-point lead last September toa 22-point lead this September in the three-way trial heat.
Three-way Trial Heat
SEPTEMBER 2013SEPTEMBER 2012UndecidedUlmanMizeur
Two-way Trial Heat
SEPTEMBER 2013 SEPTEMBER 2012
As we found in last year’s survey, the breadth of the Lt. Governor’s electoralsupport among Maryland Democrats is impressive and truly encompasses a broad-based coalition. The Lt. Governor has a 29-point lead in the Baltimore mediamarket, while he now has a comfortable double-digit lead in the Washington, D.C.,media market. He leads by double-digits with both men AND women, andremarkably, the Lt. Governor leads by almost identical two-to-one margins amongliberals, moderates, and conservatives.