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Table Of Contents

EXTRAPOLATION PROCEDURE
ENDNOTES
GEOMETRIC CURVE
Error of Estimates for Sample Linear Curves
Comparison of Linear and Geometric Curves
PARABOLIC CURVE
MODIFIED EXPONENTIAL CURVE
Figure 2.5 Alternate Forms of the Modifed Exponential Curve
GOMPERTZ CURVE
Alternate Estimates and Projections
INPUT EVALUATION PROCEDURES
Input Evaluation Test for Modifed Exponential Curve
Input Evaluation Test for Gompertz Curves
Input Evaluation Test for Logistic Curve
OUTPUT EVALUATION PROCEDURES
APPLICATION OF THE EVALUATION PROCEDURES
Input and Output Evaluation Statistics
The Cohort-Component Technique
POPULATION COHORTS
POPULATION PYRAMIDS
Population by Age and Sex, 1980
Figure 4.1 Population by Age and Sex, 1980
MORTALITY COMPONENT
Figure 4.2 Population by Age and Sex for Four Countries
Figure 4.3 Population by Age and Sex, 1980 and 1990
Figure 4.4 Surviving Population in a Ten-Year Period
FERTILITY COMPONENT
MIGRATION COMPONENT
LIFE TABLES
Life Table for Ohio Females, 1979 to 1981
COMPUTING ONE-YEAR SURVIVAL RATES
COMPUTING MULTIPLE· YEAR SURVIVAL RATES
Computing Ten-Year Survival Rates
PROJECTING SURVIVING POPULATION
Projecting Surviving Female Population, 1990
PROJECTING MORTALITY RATES
Estimating Age-Specifc Fertility Rates, 1980
PROJECTING MALE AND FEMALE BIRTHS
Projecting Average Female Population, 1980 to 1990
Projecting Annual Births, 1980 to 1990
PROJECTING FERTILITY RATES
ESTIMATING TEN-YEAR NET MIGRATION
Estimating Female Net Migration by Age, 1970 to 1980
ESTIMATING FIVE-YEAR NET MIGRATION
PROJECTING FUTURE NET MIGRATION
Projecting Female Net Migration by Age, 1980 to 1990
Projecting Female Population by Age, 1990
Projecting Female Population by Age, 2000
SELECTING APPROPRIATE PROJECTIONS
EVALUATION
ECONOMIC BASE PROJECTION MODEL
STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM
ASSUMPTION APPROACH
LOCATION QUOTIENT APPROACH
Location Quotients, 1985
REFINEMENTS TO THE LOCATION QUOTIENT APPROACH
Location Quotient Estimates with Exports Adjustment
Minimum Shares Estimation Parameters, 1980
REFINEMENTS TO THE MINIMUM REQUIREMENTS APPROACH
Second Minimum Shares Estimation Parameters, 1980
SELECTING APPROPRIATE BASIC SECTOR ESTIMATES
Projected Growth Rates, Ohio: 1985 to 2000
Constant Share Employment Projections, 2000
Computing Projected Employment Shift, 1985 to 2000
Shift-Share Employment Projections, 2000
Constant-Share Basic Employment Projections, 2000
PROJECTING OTHER VARIABLES
STABILITY OF THE MULTIPLIERS
ROLE OF THE BASIC SECTOR
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Community Analysis and Planning Techniques

Community Analysis and Planning Techniques

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Published by RowmanLittlefield

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Published by: RowmanLittlefield on Oct 02, 2013
Copyright:Traditional Copyright: All rights reservedISBN:9780742574403
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04/14/2015

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