Time of issue: 1100 hours IST Dated: 12-10-2013
Bulletin No.: BOB 04/2013/30Sub: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘PHAILIN’ over westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay ofBengal: Cyclone Warning for North Andhra Pradesh and Odisha Coast.
The very severe cyclonic storm,
over westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay ofBengal moved northwestwards during past 6 hours with a speed of 15 kmph and lay centred at 0830hrs IST of today, the 12
October 2013 over westcentral & adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal nearlatitude 17.8
N and longitude 86.0
E, about 200 km southeast of Gopalpur, 200 km east-southeastof Kalingapatnam and 280 km southeast of Paradip. It would move northwestwards and cross northAndhra Pradesh and Odisha coasts between Kalingapatnam and Paradip, close to Gopalpur(Odisha) by evening of today i.e. the 12
October, 2013 as a very severe cyclonic storm with amaximum sustained wind speed of 210-220 kmph gusting to 240 kmph.Estimated track and intensity of the system are given in the Table below:
E)Sustained maximum surface wind speed (kmph)Category12-10-2013/083017.8/86.0210-220 gusting to 240Very Severe Cyclonic Storm12-10-2013/113018.3/85.5210-220 gusting to 240Very Severe Cyclonic Storm12-10-2013/173019.1/84.9210-220 gusting to 240Very Severe Cyclonic Storm12-10-2013/233019.8/84.5170-180 gusting to 200Very Severe Cyclonic Storm13-10-2013/053020.5/83.980-90 gusting to 100Severe Cyclonic Storm13-10-2013/173021.0/84.150-60 gusting to 70Deep Depression14.10.2013/053022.0/83.540-50 gusting to 60Depression
Warning for Odisha, Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal
Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and isolated extremelyheavy falls (≥ 25 cm) would occur over coastal Odisha during next 48 hrs and over interiorOdisha from today afternoon for subsequent 48 hrs. Rainfall at most places with isolatedheavy to very heavy falls would also occur over north coastal Andhra Pradesh during next 48hrs. Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur over coastal areas of West Bengalcommencing from afternoon of today i.e. the 12
winds speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph would prevail alongand off Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh coasts during next 6 hours. It would increase inintensity thereafter with gale wind speed reaching 100-150 kmph from noon and 210-220kmph gusting to 235 along and off coastal districts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh andsouth Odisha at the time of landfall. State of Sea along and off Odisha and north AndhraPradesh coast is high and will become gradually phenomenal from forenoon of today. It willbe rough to very rough along and off West Bengal coast during the above period.
(iii)Storm Surge Guidance:
Storm surge with height of 3.0 to 3.5 metre. above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of Ganjam, Khurda, Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts of Odisha andSrikakulam district of Andhra Pradesh during landfall.